Topic: Artificial Intelligence Gambling Using Grok! (Results: 5/9) - page 2. (Read 633 times)

If you want get some realistic result from your experiment please add ODD of the event you're going to gamble.
Since you're already selecting the matches to gamble in this way you can avoid any kind of bias.

it is not the same result if a bot is able to give prediction of easy odds... its not the same guess a result 1.01 or 10!
Of course if you will count both as "winner" but it's not the same if you don't consider also the odd of the event... this experiment is just useless it's more "toss a coin" and the fact that you're close to 50% well...

Perhaps I've found the special sauce by asking it what game it wants to bet on instead of asking it for the winner of a game.  It's also possible that Grok just got lucky 2 days in a row.  Tonight's pick of the Cavs over the Warriors wasn't a cake walk though.  We'll see what Grok has in store for us tomorrow, but I for one am glad that it is back above 50% accuracy.  Considering it hasn't bet against the odds once yet, it should at least be performing this well.

Grok came through with a win tonight but I must say that was a pretty obvious pick. We’ll have to see what tomorrow holds. Maybe asking it to choose the game and then pick the winner might be the secret sauce. I doubt it, but this is fun either way. Hopefully Grok can build on this win and get it’s win % up.

Good to know that you are aware of that possibility of inaccuracy in Grok picks and the neeed to test it futher before making any decision of how effective Grok performance is and how to via into other aspects of games, selection such as football bettings, and from the first page and the result posted so far, Grok may have strick the first winning by luck.

But the remaining games and other future games selections are going to be the determination of wether or not Grok get something going or not so let hope to see more positive results from Grik future predictions.

Grok has some strong words to say about the Bucks today and has chosen them as the game to bet on.  The odds heavily favor the Bucks who have been playing terribly, but Grok says tonight is the night that Giannis steps up and brings home a win.  Grok said his prediction took into account, "team form, player matchups, and historical performance against similar competition."  That's good enough for me.

Bucks to beat the Jazz.

By personal bias, it is like we already know if who will win? Hmm.. that is interesting. It is to know that they really work, right? I think AI's can't read our minds, so I'm sorry to spoil the fun but they might still not work even on that scenario/situation. I think that is still a good thing, in a way that people will only depend on their selves and not be lazy. The good thing is it also builds them experience. They can only improve continuously this way.

Same here. I would also like to wish OP a good luck and then I am also excited to look forward on this experiment but who wouldn't be? This is like debunking the myth about AI being used in gambling if they really work or not. I know there are other/a couple of experiments like this I see on the past but I think they are a bit unclear so I/we would want to see another one and hopefully this is it already, right in front of us. I think that using AI's are like using auto bet, in which we may not feel the full excitement of the game anymore.

This is why some of us don't use it and we can stick with it no matter what will be the outcome of the experiment here. Yeah that once the game rolls, we can't do much about it anymore but I think AI's that we are talking about here are used even before the game starts. It is the same as analysing or doing a research about the teams involved, weather, etc... though analysis can also occur even if the game already starts and finished.

I'd also be interested to see threads like this being updated about the progress of the AI that they depend on for their bets. The results will help us to know how reliable and the levels of accuracy that AI has regarding bets. I'm quite skeptical when it comes to using AI for gambling, they don't have emotions and wouldn't make compromises when necessary like humans, they can only function how they're programed to think. If I find out that their predictions are above 60% accurate then I can give it a trial. Although I guess that AI can not be effective in gambling to favor the gamblers because it won't benefit the gambling sites.

The statistics would certainly be on your side with that.  Grok is 3 out of 7 so far and each game it has chosen to bet on the favorite to win.  That means if you bet the opposite of what Grok said you would not only have won a higher % of your bets, but the wins you had would have been for great odds.  I might have to continue to tweak how I ask it for winners in the hopes that I can find some way to make it a little more accurate, or at least not horribly wrong to the point where you're better off going against it.

I don't think the idea of ​​placing your entire bet on the decision of an AI is the most sensible choice.

As players, and humans, we have to go through several processes and analyze a huge amount of information to make a good sports bet, not to mention a lot of intuition, something that AI will never have. The main advantage of artificial intelligence is precisely the analysis of a vast range of data in a very short time.

In any case, regardless of the bets you are going to use, you know that they are not an exact science, as they depend on a huge amount of variables and are subject to several unforeseen events that range from the weather on the day of the event to the injury of an important player in the first minutes of the game, and in this regard of adapting quickly to situations and trying to predict events, humans do better.

In other words, never blindly trust an AI when placing sports bets, especially because they are still prone to errors... the ideal is to combine the benefits that AI has to offer with your intuition to obtain the best possible result.

Yes, Grok is from the X platform.  It costs a few dollars a month to use.  I think the sample size is too small and this doesn't account for odds, but if anything it should help me learn a little bit about which prompts will get more unique answers.

Today I asked it to select one game it felt good about being able to predict, and then I asked it to predict the winner.  It selected the Boston Celtics to beat the Golden State Warriors.  I put a bet down so we'll see how it goes.

Artificial Intelligence Gambling Using Grok!

Grok is Artificial Intelligence from the X platform right? I wish I could use the AI but if I don't mistake the AI only for the X Premium User. With the static that you gave it means the Grok winrate is around 60% 3/6. AI basically only use the past data just like we do on trade. and AI don't have emotion they might pure predict by a lot of things but use real data.

But this is a good insight to be honest and winrate 60% is good in my opinion.

I think that you must also add in your counter the odd of each bet. I mean you have a result of 3/6 = 50% of your predictions were profitable.
But what was the odd? It's not the same guess 50% of bets at @1.01 or ... @10.00 . You can calculate the "profit" or ROI and not only how many times your prediction was correct.
Maybe this system as a better rate with certain odd and not other one... I can help you with these calculations if you provide odds in decimal format
Personally I am still skeptical a system like this can be something useful for an avarage gambler but who knows if

The problem with that for me is that I don’t know anything about soccer, so that makes it less fun for me as I don’t know if Grok is making a good prediction based on some recent news or just picking whatever team has the best odds. If anyone had a specific game they wanted to ask Grok about, I could switch it up for a day.

I completely agree with you. However another user with paid subscription to these AI can do so if it will be too overwhelming for him to keep up with the games in both sports.

Another suggestion with be to use other Artificial Intelligence for these predictions and we'd compare which is more accurate.

I am. At least so far. I guess at this win rate I could be out of money soon.

I tried a different prompt today. Instead of asking it to bet on all the games I let it pick which games it wanted to try and predict the winners of. The teams that were chosen to win today are the: Boston Celtics, Oklahoma Coty Thunder, & Los Angeles Lakers.

This is a very good and interesting test, and I can see that Grok have been able to win it's first score with its prediction of Dallas Mavericks beating The Orlando magic, interesting and very exciting to see what will be the outcome for the other two remaining games, will Grok be correct also in its prediction, or will it fail? Let's with crossed fingers wait and see.

But then, I am actually interested to know what you will do if after this experiment, it turns out the grok did a predict correctly the listed games?
Will you use this Ai predictions to place some bet with real money? Or will you do some more test?
I am just being curious.

Not surprising to see the bookies predicted these teams because they're all favorites.

From the three match, the first one that was correctly predicted is a big favorite, meaning the odds is small.

@OP, better to post the odds too for the next prediction, low winning rate isn't important as long as you bet on match where the odds larger than @2.00.

Fortunately AI can't do anything in slots because all they can do is clicking spin over and over.

Apart from the NBA, can you also add some other game types so we can see the game that it can predict more accurately than the others. If this produce a very valid results more often, people will start using it for easy and fast prediction.

what are the inputs or prompts to have a prediction? it would be great if you can share also what information are provided to this AI...
generally speaking there are many factors involved in a final result and a prediction. I am a bit skeptic that "a simple question" would ever produce any plausible result.
For sure actual rate of win is something disappointed or at least we don't need an AI for achieve these results.

With the advancement of technology and the improvement in data analysis, of course today AI use has expanded not only in one use but has even spread to gambling, I think the use of AI can provide deeper insights in terms of information and also analysis, but still the final result of a match still cannot be predicted with certainty because many factors cannot be measured by data,  like the mental state of the player, the referee decision or other unexpected events that occur on the field, luck is an absolute factor that cannot be avoided in a gambling unless we gamble with a game that does rely on skill and expertise, although AI can be a very useful tool but it is very important to still combine it with the knowledge, personal analysis and also the instincts that we have.