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Topic: ASICMINER: Entering the Future of ASIC Mining by Inventing It - page 168. (Read 3917058 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1002
Quote
Vavilov told CoinDesk that it decided not to tap its bitcoin reserves as it remains bullish on the long-term value of bitcoin.

I read it like "we are burning cash like crazy, and we don't want to unload bitcoins to pay the utility bill because that would bankrupt us. We had no choice but to beg our investors to pour more money, because otherwise they would be royally fucked as well if they didn't reinvest in us. We pray for an increase in BTC prices, because otherwise we are royally fucked. The 100MW plant is a bluff, but it may not be a total lie if BTC prices goes to the moon. Until then, we are burning more cash... Fingers crossed"


You don't ask for even more investment money unless you have already spent what you had and now are pretty much broke.


legendary
Activity: 947
Merit: 1008
central banking = outdated protocol
You don't ask for even more investment money unless you have already spent what you had and now are pretty much broke.
donator
Activity: 714
Merit: 510
Preaching the gospel of Satoshi
Quote
Vavilov told CoinDesk that it decided not to tap its bitcoin reserves as it remains bullish on the long-term value of bitcoin.

I read it like "we are burning cash like crazy, and we don't want to unload bitcoins to pay the utility bill because that would bankrupt us. We had no choice but to beg our investors to pour more money, because otherwise they would be royally fucked as well if they didn't reinvest in us. We pray for an increase in BTC prices, because otherwise we are royally fucked. The 100MW plant is a bluff, but it may not be a total lie if BTC prices goes to the moon. Until then, we are burning more cash... Fingers crossed"
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001

from your link:
BitFury further indicated it would use the funds to increase the capacity of its data centers to 100 megawatts

100MW. Thats ~125PH with todays tech and if he achieves his 0.2J/GH goal later this year, thats 500 PH. Or 1EH next year if he does get it down to 0.1JGH Shocked

100MW is a huge amount of power.  About 1/100 the size of a coal powerplant.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
100MW. Thats ~125PH with todays tech and if he achieves his 0.2J/GH goal later this year, thats 500 PH. Or 1EH next year if he does get it down to 0.1JGH Shocked

I wonder if FC will address this issue.
legendary
Activity: 2461
Merit: 1058
Don't use bitcoin.de if you care about privacy!

from your link:
BitFury further indicated it would use the funds to increase the capacity of its data centers to 100 megawatts

100MW. Thats ~125PH with todays tech and if he achieves his 0.2J/GH goal later this year, thats 500 PH. Or 1EH next year if he does get it down to 0.1JGH Shocked

legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040

from your link:
BitFury further indicated it would use the funds to increase the capacity of its data centers to 100 megawatts

100MW. Thats ~125PH with todays tech and if he achieves his 0.2J/GH goal later this year, thats 500 PH. Or 1EH next year if he does get it down to 0.1JGH Shocked
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 502
Still nothing about dividends ? ...

Wait...ASICMINER pays dividends?



 Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)

Bitfury just raised another $20M, so there's some confidence out there that asic development can still be a profitable.

Source?

From the Press Feeds
http://www.coindesk.com/bitfury-raises-20-million-asic-development-mining-output/

Or just here I guess

BitFury Raises $20 Million to Power New ASIC Chips, Increase Bitcoin Mining Output
BitFury has raised $20m in additional funding to complete development of its 28nm ASIC chip capable of achieving energy efficiency of 0.2 joules-per-gigahash (J/GH) and first announced in September.
[...]
The funding will seek to power the company’s development of what it hopes will be industry-leading ASIC chips, as well. BitFury announced in September that it is seeking to achieve energy efficiency of 0.2 J/GH by the fourth quarter of 2014, and sub-0.1 J/GH efficiency by mid-2015.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 502
There is still a tremendous amount of "stupid" money out there just waiting to be plucked. The ability to raise capital has almost nothing to do with the ability to deliver value to consumers.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1007
Which only took what, 10 years?  

1 year for AM.

You are lacking reading comprehension.

Bitfury just raised another $20M, so there's some confidence out there that asic development can still be a profitable.

Source?
hero member
Activity: 525
Merit: 500
Bitfury just raised another $20M, so there's some confidence out there that asic development can still be a profitable.
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
 
Quote
author=zinodaur link=topic=99497.msg9147280#msg9147280 date=1412897748]
Still nothing about dividends ? ...
when share price explodes up, you will know that divs have been announced.
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
You're basically proving my point even with TSMC marketing material. The real gain by their own admission is just transistor density. Note the word "OR". Speed and power improvements are a joke, ask anyone who's actually used their process like nVidia.

I'm not proving your point at all. The only way you could think that is if you completely misunderstood what you just read. The greater transistor density means that you can fit more transistors into the same space. In other words, you can keep the chip the same size and increase processing power and possibly power consumption or you can keep the processing power the same and decrease the power consumption and chip size.

Also, nVidia's argument against 20nm had nothing whatsoever to do with power consumption, it was based on transistor and wafer cost.

Yes, due to finfet, just like I said. Not because of the shrink.

Because of both actually.

Which only took what, 10 years?  

1 year for AM.
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
What are you going on about? All you're describing is that some larger groups can get equipment cheaper than others, which is no different than some people getting cheaper power than others. Change $330 per TH/s to something else like $200/TH/s, and you're done. All that does is change one variable. In the end, you still end up with the same result; even the manufacturer won't make more equipment as it is not cost effective to do so, and the hashrate will stabilize.

My original point was that people buying miners are likely to make very little profit if any at all. Implicit in that statement is that this refers to consumers buying these products at "retail" prices. That is the statement I was defending. Which, I agree, is at this point only tangentially related to the discussion that is now going on.

I do agree that manufacturers will not make equipment when it is not cost effective to do so. That much is obvious. But the graph still does not accurately describe this, as, again, implicit in the graph is a technologically static environment, which does not correspond to reality.

As for the discussions about nearing the limits of Moore's Law, or how that corresponds to power efficiency, etc... the thing that people often forget is that the current paradigm of silicon integrated circuits is just one embodiment of the general trend of exponentially accelerating technological progress. There are many aspects of progress that we are just getting started on now: three-dimensional as opposed to two-dimensional elements and ICs, materials other than silicon with better performance, optical computing, quantum computing, etc. As any particular paradigm like just shrinking integrated circuit process size runs out of steam, other ones will pick up the slack. We're not gonna suddenly hit a brick wall where computational power just stands still... at least, not for a very long time, until we start to reach the fundamental physical limits that come from information theory.



legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1040

You're basically proving my point even with TSMC marketing material. The real gain by their own admission is just transistor density. Note the word "OR". Speed and power improvements are a joke, ask anyone who's actually used their process like nVidia.

Quote

Yes, due to finfet, just like I said. Not because of the shrink.

Quote
Also, I didn't say a die shrink would use half the power, I said it could. For example, going from 130nm to 40nm.

Which only took what, 10 years? 
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1004
The smaller transistors use less power.

Not as a rule. Generally smaller gates can work with lower voltage, and that is what is increases power efficiency, its not a direct result and its increasingly untrue. 20 and 16nm offer next to no voltage drop, other than what can be achieved using finfets (unrelated to feature size).

Quote
Just because the transistor density doubles, that doesn't mean that the power consumption doubles too. For example, you could end up with twice the hash power for the same power consumption with a die shrink.

quite the opposite, just because you can shrink a transistor doesnt mean it will use less, let alone half as much power.  So you cram more on a die, but power density goes up, not exactly a huge advantage for bitcoin asics which already stretch the limits of power delivery, packaging and cooling.

Yes, as a rule. What you are saying is simply wrong.

TSMC's 20nm process technology can provide 30 percent higher speed, 1.9 times the density, or 25 percent less power than its 28nm technology.

Comparing with 20SoC technology, 16FF+ provides extra 40% higher speed and 60% power saving.

Also, I didn't say a die shrink would use half the power, I said it could. For example, going from 130nm to 40nm.

legendary
Activity: 1274
Merit: 1004
I take Puppet's spreadsheet to be a simple demonstration tool, I don't think his intention is to imply it's an accurate model. I would say his assumptions are much more sound than your main premise though. If even with free electricity a miner cannot recover their capital cost, NO ONE WILL BUY MINING EQUIPMENT. Sorry for the caps, but this keeps on coming up and it's a fundamental logic flaw. With free electricity your costs of running equipment are negligible. To say that the capital costs will never be recovered assumes that income approaches 0 as the network hashrate approaches infinity.

Answer one simple question, with the assumption that continued increases in difficulty will mean that even people with free electricity can't recovery their capital costs in equipment, who do you think will be buying the ~250PH/s worth of mining hardware necessary to even double the current hashrate?

People who can get the mining equipment a lot cheaper than it is normally priced for the "consumer". That is, people placing gigantic bulk orders, people with exclusive partnerships with manufacturers, and the manufacturers themselves.
What are you going on about? All you're describing is that some larger groups can get equipment cheaper than others, which is no different than some people getting cheaper power than others. Change $330 per TH/s to something else like $200/TH/s, and you're done. All that does is change one variable. In the end, you still end up with the same result; even the manufacturer won't make more equipment as it is not cost effective to do so, and the hashrate will stabilize.
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 509
I take Puppet's spreadsheet to be a simple demonstration tool, I don't think his intention is to imply it's an accurate model. I would say his assumptions are much more sound than your main premise though. If even with free electricity a miner cannot recover their capital cost, NO ONE WILL BUY MINING EQUIPMENT. Sorry for the caps, but this keeps on coming up and it's a fundamental logic flaw. With free electricity your costs of running equipment are negligible. To say that the capital costs will never be recovered assumes that income approaches 0 as the network hashrate approaches infinity.

Answer one simple question, with the assumption that continued increases in difficulty will mean that even people with free electricity can't recovery their capital costs in equipment, who do you think will be buying the ~250PH/s worth of mining hardware necessary to even double the current hashrate?

People who can get the mining equipment a lot cheaper than it is normally priced for the "consumer". That is, people placing gigantic bulk orders, people with exclusive partnerships with manufacturers, and the manufacturers themselves.

Doesn't matter what the J/GH is if you can never recover the capital cost of miners even with free electricity, which is where bitcoin mining stands right now.

So can some people profit from mining or not?
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