Pages:
Author

Topic: [Aug 2022] Mempool empty! Use this opportunity to Consolidate your small inputs! - page 7. (Read 83494 times)

legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Fees are getting lower, I made a 15 sat VB tx today
I did 14 Tongue And at the moment that should still be possible.
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 5622
Non-custodial BTC Wallet
why do you say the bear comes in 2024 or 2025

it should come in 2026

fees will suck for the next 18-20 months

Nobody knows. It should,  but what if we have some new war around the globe?
What if a new virus comes in? What if binance fails like FTX?

Nobody knows... all this optimism about BTC price and cycles makes me affraid some times, especially in bull markets. I just made a small sell today...

Anyway, we are a bit off topic here. Sorry LoyceV Smiley

Fees are getting lower, I made a 15 sat VB tx today
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
But as soon as the bear market comes, the fees will most likely get lower again. And the bear market will come in the next months/year, we all should be prepared for it.
why do you say the bear comes in 2024 or 2025

it should come in 2026
Based on historic data, I don't expect a bear market within the first year (up to 18 months) after the halving. But after the last halving I felt like: "it is too round, it needs to be pointy" (kuddos if you know the quote), so what do I know. If too many people expect something, it's going to influence the outcome anyway.

Quote
fees will suck for the next 18-20 months
At the moment, it's "not great, not terrible" (again: kuddos if you know the quote). But I don't feel like consolidating my 63 uncompressed Legacy inputs yet.
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
All in all, the last chance for cheap consolidations was in Oktober last year. Currently, it costs about 10 times more. The spam attack got less, but as shown above, people still waste massive amounts of money on wasting block space. Add the bull run and it's very hard to predict how fees will develop in the future.

Nobody can predict when will the fees get lower. This is a fact, as the price volatility is very high now.

But as soon as the bear market comes, the fees will most likely get lower again. And the bear market will come in the next months/year, we all should be prepared for it.

In the bear market, ordinals will disappear, exchanges will have lower volume (which means less people sending coins), etc...

I will save my consolidations for the bear market. I will make only transactions that I really need now.

why do you say the bear comes in 2024 or 2025

it should come in 2026

fees will suck for the next 18-20 months
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 5622
Non-custodial BTC Wallet
All in all, the last chance for cheap consolidations was in Oktober last year. Currently, it costs about 10 times more. The spam attack got less, but as shown above, people still waste massive amounts of money on wasting block space. Add the bull run and it's very hard to predict how fees will develop in the future.

Nobody can predict when will the fees get lower. This is a fact, as the price volatility is very high now.

But as soon as the bear market comes, the fees will most likely get lower again. And the bear market will come in the next months/year, we all should be prepared for it.

In the bear market, ordinals will disappear, exchanges will have lower volume (which means less people sending coins), etc...

I will save my consolidations for the bear market. I will make only transactions that I really need now.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Watching Mempool.space's Mempool Goggles is mesmerizing:
Image loading...
On the live site, the rectangles move all the time.

In this case, the biggest transaction is this one: someone pays $800 to spam 80,000 vbytes.
The highlighted rectangles are consolidations. This one (I don't think it shows in the screenshot above) pays $850 to consolidate 887 inputs into one. According to Walletexplorer, it belongs to Kraken.

Johoe's 2 week overview shows a build up of 12 sat/vbyte transactions. I think those are planned consolidations:
Image loading...

All in all, the last chance for cheap consolidations was in Oktober last year. Currently, it costs about 10 times more. The spam attack got less, but as shown above, people still waste massive amounts of money on wasting block space. Add the bull run and it's very hard to predict how fees will develop in the future.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Bitcoin Core by default only keeps your transaction in its mempool for 336 hours (14 days) before kicking it out:
Quote
 -mempoolexpiry=
       Do not keep transactions in the mempool longer than hours (default:
       336)
But I'm sure you already knew that.
I knew that for other transactions, but I meant a transaction made by my own wallet in Bitcoin Core. Did that change? I remember (years ago) I had an unconfirmed zero-fee transaction for months, until I double spent it. I don't think it ever stopped broadcasting it.
legendary
Activity: 1568
Merit: 6660
bitcoincleanup.com / bitmixlist.org
Quote
If someone is owning a too heavy wallet to move it the worst that can happen is that the transactions get canceled after 14 days!  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
Transactions don't "get canceled". Once broadcasted, each node can do whatever they want with it. Some will drop it, and your own wallet may drop it (depending on it's default, Bitcoin Core for instance keeps it). But some nodes may keep your transaction forever, which means as long as all the inputs are valid, it can eventually get confirmed.

Bitcoin Core by default only keeps your transaction in its mempool for 336 hours (14 days) before kicking it out:

Quote
  -mempoolexpiry=
       Do not keep transactions in the mempool longer than hours (default:
       336)

But I'm sure you already knew that.

The chance that you'll find a node with a custom -mempoolexpiry is very low. But that's a good thing actually, because the sooner your low-fee transaction gets evicted, the sooner you can use the inputs to create a better transaction.
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Anyway it worth to give it a try !
You'd be wasting your time.

I don't think so as the transaction would be mainly ignored.. and at the worst as the TXs will still remain unconfirmed you could just spend it again when you want!
Spending at least one of the inputs is the only way to make sure your older transaction becomes invalid.



Let's stop giving incorrect advice in my thread. Miners don't fall for the "trick" to apply CPFP on a large low-fee transaction if the effective fee is low. There's no point trying.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1248
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
Anyway it worth to give it a try !

If someone is owning a too heavy wallet to move it the worst that can happen is that the transactions get canceled after 14 days!  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

No, if you insist in what you proposed, you're simply wasting some coins that could've been better invested in a more successful fee level for just one transaction only. A CPFP chain, smallest be just two transactions as you suggested, will always be more expensive than a single transaction with proper fees.

If someone owns a too heavy wallet he'd be smart enough to pay a fee level that has at least a reasonable chance to be taken by a miner. There's no guarantee a transaction gets purged after 14 days. I could've configured my own node to use a mempool size of 3GB and a transaction keep period of 12 months in my mempool. Dooh!

I don't think so as the transaction would be mainly ignored.. and at the worst as the TXs will still remain unconfirmed you could just spend it again when you want!
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 1010
Crypto Swap Exchange
Anyway it worth to give it a try !

If someone is owning a too heavy wallet to move it the worst that can happen is that the transactions get canceled after 14 days!  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

No, if you insist in what you proposed, you're simply wasting some coins that could've been better invested in a more successful fee level for just one transaction only. A CPFP chain, smallest be just two transactions as you suggested, will always be more expensive than a single transaction with proper fees.

If someone owns a too heavy wallet he'd be smart enough to pay a fee level that has at least a reasonable chance to be taken by a miner. There's no guarantee a transaction gets purged after 14 days. I could've configured my own node to use a mempool size of 3GB and a transaction keep period of 12 months in my mempool. Dooh!
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1248
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
Take note that miners would prioritize CPFP transactions based on their effective fee rate, not based on the fee rate used for the child.
Maybe, but I don't think that it will be always the case!
What hosseinimr93 says is correct. If a miner would be dumb enough to to do what you suggested, it would be massively abused. Miners prioritize profit maximization, which means they'll start with the highest number of sats per vbyte (total transaction "up chain" including parents) an go down from there.

Anyway it worth to give it a try !

If someone is owning a too heavy wallet to move it the worst that can happen is that the transactions get canceled after 14 days!  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 661
- Leo -
My wondering was about that case where ther'll be too much UXTOs that makes the fees too huge !!  Then the UXTO to the scond transaction will count as single input, so the fees would not be too high even if settling at maximum!
Sending multiple UTXOs in different transactions and including outputs of one into the next transaction does not reduce the fees you'll pay. It will still be a cumulative fee based on the total transaction size.
If parent transaction used a very low fee, the child tx will use a much higher fee to supplement it and make it profitable for the miner.

If you have too much UTXOs wait for a time when the feerate I know and consolidate, or use coin control and only spend few UTXOs which has majority of the amount in your wallet.

- Jay -
legendary
Activity: 3290
Merit: 16489
Thick-Skinned Gang Leader and Golden Feather 2021
Take note that miners would prioritize CPFP transactions based on their effective fee rate, not based on the fee rate used for the child.
Maybe, but I don't think that it will be always the case!
What hosseinimr93 says is correct. If a miner would be dumb enough to to do what you suggested, it would be massively abused. Miners prioritize profit maximization, which means they'll start with the highest number of sats per vbyte (total transaction "up chain" including parents) an go down from there.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1248
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
First transaction fees could be set as low as 1Sat/Byte ...  the UXTO on the scond would be from the unconfirmed first Tx, so spending it with high fees is to accelerate and promote its confirmation, and its confirmation will entangle with it the confirmation of the first tx..  as the first is a parent transaction!
But in this way, you would have to pay more fee. It would be better to make a single transaction with high fee.

My wondering was about that case where ther'll be too much UXTOs that makes the fees too huge !!  Then the UXTO to the scond transaction will count as single input, so the fees would not be too high even if settling at maximum!





Quote
Take note that miners would prioritize CPFP transactions based on their effective fee rate, not based on the fee rate used for the child.

Maybe, but I don't think that it will be always the case!
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 5213
First transaction fees could be set as low as 1Sat/Byte ...  the UXTO on the scond would be from the unconfirmed first Tx, so spending it with high fees is to accelerate and promote its confirmation, and its confirmation will entangle with it the confirmation of the first tx..  as the first is a parent transaction!
But in this way, you would have to pay more fee. It would be better to make a single transaction with high fee.
Take note that miners would prioritize CPFP transactions based on their effective fee rate, not based on the fee rate used for the child.

The effective fee rate is equal to the total fee paid for the transactions divided by their total (virtual) size.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1248
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
3/ Finally spend the 3% with very high fees to prioritize the tx confirmation ! ? ??
What will you achieve by making that extra transaction?
In that way, you would have to pay fee for two transactions and you would waste more money on fee.

First transaction fees could be set as low as 1Sat/Byte ...  the UXTO on the scond would be from the unconfirmed first Tx, so spending it with high fees is to accelerate and promote its confirmation, and its confirmation will entangle with it the confirmation of the first tx..  as the first is a parent transaction!



My bad that could work as well with client wallet that change adresses.. but needs wallet with customisable blockchain explorers to set an explorer that recognize the low fees transaction.  !
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 5213
3/ Finally spend the 3% with very high fees to prioritize the tx confirmation ! ? ??
What will you achieve by making that extra transaction?
In that way, you would have to pay fee for two transactions and you would waste more money on fee.  


Obviously it need first to verify if there is still nods that will allow broadcasting tx with fees bellow the minimum!!
Nodes can have their own settings and there should be nodes that allow you to broadcast transactions with lower fees.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1248
#SWGT CERTIK Audited
That depends on your wallet. I don't know whether or not Trezor keeps broadcasting your transaction. Currently, the mempool limit is 4.95 sat/vbyte, anything lower than that won't even broadcast. But the same link dropped from 1.8 GB to 918 MB this year, so I have high hopes we'll get a good opportunity to consolidate inputs at low fee.

I've tried about 2 ~ 3 years ago by signing tx offline and broadcasting it manually.. there was still some broadcasters that were allowing spreading it! The new transaction too doesn't show in all explorers, of course, there were only few that were displaying the new tx...

Assuming it is still working, the method would be as follows:

1/ To export the (single address) wallet and import it to a wallet that allow reusing it..

2/ Spend like ~97% of the bitcoins in a single transaction for getting back 3% to the same wallet.

3/ Finally spend the 3% with very high fees to prioritize the tx confirmation ! ? ?? Roll Eyes



Obviously it need first to verify if there is still nods that will allow broadcasting tx with fees bellow the minimum!! Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 4102
Merit: 7765
'The right to privacy matters'
2. Is there a way in Trezor to see the size of each UTXO? Without that info, I have no idea whether a UTXO is dust at this price. I have exported the trezor info into a csv, but that doesn't give me the size of the UTXO.
You can't see this information in Trezor Suite app, but you can turn on coin control, select UTXO you want, and set custom fees double checked on mempool.space.
Try using this UTCO calculator that was made by Jameson Lopp to get more accurate size values:
https://jlopp.github.io/unspendable-utxo-calculator/

I am waiting. I am spending larger inputs now,  but I made an 11 sat vB tx yestertday. I am waiting for less than 2 sat vB for my big consolidations.
This is little bit utopian thinking. Wink
It's more realistic to say that fees are more likely to go up in near future, especially with halving coming soon.
My prediction is that we wont see fees below 10 sat/vB any time soon, but I could be wrong.




he could do ⅓ of them now.
Pages:
Jump to: