Topic: Avdvice needed (Read 311 times)

After reading all the comments above this, i am felling thatbwhat it will cost me if i am wrong...100 usd i guess.
I would give ot a try. Tomorrow is 31st and i am getting my salary , will part 100 usd from that for this venture.

Bid me luck if all that you can😇
I will make a new thread and will keep you all guys updated.

I don't think this can end well. You might be successful 10, 20 or even 50 times and after that the chances that you will lose everything keeps on rising.
Keep in mind, bookies are not stupid. They have thought about and discussed this approach long before you did. If it was a sure thing, bet shops would have found a way to flag and ban that way of betting.   

I am not good at computation and mathematical analysis but I really think you are doing fine and you don't need further advice but to just control your bets and limit the available money you can bet to surely lessen your loses,

I think there is no need for estimated math for playing on gambling this is all in a random output and with a coincidental winning or losing, But I guess if that math analysis is really helpful for you then do it in your own style because I guess there is no need for it when playing with gambling but with sports bets if you don't have further background about the players then I think your strategy is worth it if that can apply with the way you can bet on a site, 

Yes, mostly live matches. Tennis, Table Tennis, Basketball, Football. Ive had been for over 5 years and I can tell you that if the sportsbooks give you odds 1.05ish..the actual odds for the even would be about 1.1x or over. So, If you are planing to execute the idea anyways, then just watch the matches and bet when its a sure win and not look at the odds beforehand. The problem with this is, by the time you figure out that its going to be a sure win, odds would be 1.01x. Personally thats what ive faced. Ive seen Federer lose to Medvedev, Istomin etc. The odds for those games were supposed to be 1.03x or less. Ive seen Simona Halep lose french open to Ostapenko after being up 1set and a break with the odds lower than 1.05x. Ive seen Spurs as well as Liverpool reach the finals of the Champions league when the odds for them to get knocked off would have been 1.01 or less honestly. Ive lost on GSW lose in the regular season to crap teams out of the blue and pretty much the only time ive bet on them with low odds. Things like that happen way to often to be honest. I personally have learnt from my mistakes and would never do it again.

You're wrong, if he bet 100 on a 1.05 odd he would get $5 profit and that's ok even if it is small but it is a sure win. The problem here is on the bankrolling where in my experience, if the game is almost over the ML odds will not be there anymore so there is no more option for a sure win even if it is a low odds.

I know you were attempts to increase your chance of winning to bets for low odds but there is no guarantee low odds will automatically won as you can see there was particular sports events can have unpredictable results and if you lost once then it will obviously ruin your strategy however correct me if i'm wrong but bet $100 on odds 1.05 will only get $0.5 profit and i think this is not wise acts to do so

Betting 120 times without a single lose even with very low odds is easier said than done.
Even matches where a team may seem to be on a good lead with 10 minutes to go can end in a draw or even a loss.
10 minutes is sometimes a lot in football and i have witnessed it multiple times first hand.

As I can see you seem not to like risking. My only advice is, if you fear rsiking... then gambling should probably not be your thing. 

You are trying to minimize risk but this isn't the edge you are looking for.I seriously wish you success, but still you will be too lucky if this happens.


This is the best strategy to follow in gambling along with trying to find an statistical edge not covered by the bookies. Research bankroll management. Otherwise you are dead meat and can only hope for winning the lottery.

I don't think any person that has been in gambling will tell you that this you strategy will work except it is subject to practice. Why not try it yourself and see if it works out at the end and update us here. Turning $100 to above $3000 is a very risky and hard thing to do but since amount involved is little you can test with it.

I've see dozens of people trying this type of strategies with all kind of odds. Some were betting only odd 2 other only 1.5 and I've also see some who choose to bet on very low odds like you want. I tell you from the beginning that you chances for all 124 bets to be won are almost impossible. Don't be foolish to think that just because it has odd 1.05 to win that's going to happen for sure. I've seen dozens of surprises in both football and tennis. Players coming back from 1 set down and 0-4 in second set, football matches were a team lead by half with 3-0 and then lost 4-3 at the end of the match. Of course this kind of matches appear very rare but think that you have to make over 100 bets and the chances are one of those bets its going to be on a match with an outcome that I've explained earlier.

Besides that you also have to choose you events very carefully meaning you will have to wait a few months in order to make all bets and complete the strategy. Sure that would be worth it if at the end you win $34k but it might be just a waste of time that you could use for something else. Anyway, we are talking about $100 and if you can afford to do it then go and try this strategy. I don't think it's impossible I'm just saying the odds are against you. Good luck

I've tried that strategy and it's really not working, I think you read something in the internet and you were convince it's working.
Try it so you'll learn, but if you don't want to take the risk, just learn from my experience.

Betting 120 times, there's a chance to loss and that will kill your bankroll.
I think you should be focusing on analyzing the game and not only relying on the odds as sometimes, line can be a trap.

My advise is, set up a decent bankroll, manage it properly by risking only 2 to 5% per bet, and make it a long term betting, then after evaluate your result.

First of all, 120 wins is a LOT, second of all this breaks the nr1 rule in betting, there is 0 bankroll management with your strategy since you are always betting the full amount, 1 loss means you lose all the money earned. Overall its a pretty horrible strategy.

Exactly this and I would not suggest using this strategy.
One big loss and youre back to square 1 or even worse you are in negative money.

You bet on ongoing matches with odds 1.04??

My plan is to bet on already about to finish matches with odds like 1.04 or 1.05.
Please tell more .....

Ive tried this with sports bets when I have a huge bankroll and I have a daily target. Trust me, you'll get a lot of wins but in the end, you'll lose it all in 10-30 tries. Its not worth it to try this technique. Ive done this a lot with huge bankroll, falling into greed of making some money out of it. Never really worked.

Ok, i will follow it.
Thanks and glad to hear a positive vibe, but most important is that you have started your advice with i have tried it....

😥
I am with sports bets mate.

Martingale in sports is much better than in dice. But when you go with low odds, a couple of loss is going to cripple your bankroll.
The better way would be to bet on better player/team with odds about 1.5
That way you just have to quadruple your base bet next time and could last a longer time with the bankroll.

Your wins will be more than losses but one loss will eat up your profits, I have tried this with dice and it doesn't work.

You already had it, The way you are betting,... its seems like you really dont want to lose a penny and you're not really even risking any. With the terms of betting such as that then I guess you don't have to get our advice. But still in this industry,even with a low odds on failing you might not even know whrn you'll lose. Don't get ahead of yourself just because you feel like there is a sure win. It's not like that.

In such case, you will lose most of the times. Chance is you will win 1 match within 50-100 matches. Better you bet on eveeyday match and make some profit.
You are welcome to join the prediction pool of World Cup 2019- https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/cwc2019-prediction-pool-win-x-btc-additional-prize-in-every-round-5141475