this is a market where, for years, when there is good news, the price is greatly affected, a few days ago there was good news that caused the price of bitcoin and even litecoin to rise a lot, but the issue most of the time is to know if that good news is something that will be effective in the long term or in the short term, when is the case with the good news of a few days ago or week in which it is a wealthy company that submitted its ETF application and that will still wait for approval so it can already be predicted that the price increase will be temporary, because although the price is rising due to this good news
the international market is still in a crisis due to the war and with that the bitcoin market will obviously be affected, so the increase will be temporary and then it will fall, and this could also happen with the halving, the price could even rise gradually but later would fall, and people know that, so they will wait until it approaches the halving to buy and be able to take advantage of the price increase and sell at the top and then they will wait when the price drops to buy, for people the profit is the most It is important not to just blindly hodl just because there is a halving but that halving is still a long way from happening
However, its essential to underline that the cryptocurrency ecosystem, Bitcoin in particular, is largely insulated from traditional market forces. Its a new form of value exchange, untethered by the institutional rules and paradigms that govern traditional financial markets.
The recent price surge owing to the submission of an ETF application by a wealthy company, in my view, represents the growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies. Granted, the international market crisis due to the war might put a temporary damper on the Bitcoin price, but it's the resilient nature of Bitcoin that makes it bounce back.
I dont see the Bitcoin halving as a threat to long-term value. On the contrary, the halving is one of the most ingenious design features of Bitcoin - a built-in antidote to inflation. People might manipulate the price in the short term, but the inherent value proposition of Bitcoin, i.e., decentralized and deflationary money, ensures its long-term viability.