After the distribution of individual awards at the end of the Euro, Jude fell back to third place and is now inferior to Rodri (it’s strange that Carvajal, with more titles than Rodri, is lower:
Vinicius Junior - 2.10
Rodri - 3.00
Jude Bellingham - 6.00
I still can’t understand why the two main favorites have worsened their chances so sharply - maybe the bookmakers are expecting that many voters who are inclined to Real will vote evenly for Vinnie and Jude (which is quite logical to expect) and because of this they may get fewer votes than Someone whose teammate won’t steal some of the votes. But Rodri has Haaland in his team.
Vinicius Junior - 2.10
Rodri - 3.00
Jude Bellingham - 6.00
I still can’t understand why the two main favorites have worsened their chances so sharply - maybe the bookmakers are expecting that many voters who are inclined to Real will vote evenly for Vinnie and Jude (which is quite logical to expect) and because of this they may get fewer votes than Someone whose teammate won’t steal some of the votes. But Rodri has Haaland in his team.
Rodri was at 34.00 when we started talking about this topic, and now only 3.00
In retrospective, I ask myself: was it so difficult to predict that this could happen? Not to me because I had faith this year in his national football team (although I didn't bet), but I congratulate those who believed in him and have multiplied their chances of winning by more than 11! because everyone is smart when it happened, but few are the brave the beginning.
The problem is that such a change in quotes has no practical significance unless he actually wins (in my opinion, the chances are minimal). And you cannot hedge such a bet anywhere by betting on the outcome “Rodri will not win.” I continue to believe that Vinny will receive the award, but still, when I saw such a serious shift in quotes before, it meant that the favorite would not win. But it’s hard for me to imagine that Rodri, Bellingham or Carvajal will receive the award.
