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Topic: Bear Thread! - page 2. (Read 2589 times)

legendary
Activity: 3388
Merit: 4775
diamond-handed zealot
January 18, 2012, 07:48:09 PM
#11
I am the most religious bear you will ever meet

roughly 45% of the time
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
January 18, 2012, 07:41:45 PM
#10
Is your name Nagle?

Ah, okay. Sorry, misunderstood there. I didn't think a single permabear posting would be significant, so I just assumed you included me in the group. Tongue

But it made me count how long I was bull and bear, so maybe something was gained from the confusion? Huh
member
Activity: 102
Merit: 10
January 18, 2012, 07:35:19 PM
#9
Volatility is what will bring in more traders.... new traders = new usd = price goes up.

Volatility is good for growth, as long as nobody with a lot of bitcoins decides to spike it clear to the ground.  I don't know why anyone would do that.

Edit: Short term, I'm not betting against a drop other than with my long term holdings.  It will take time for new traders to get in, and many traders got burned hard, but they are the permabulls you complain about.

Volatility alone won't bring in new traders, predictability does. If you're a fan of quasi-randomness, you stick with the regular lottery - but even there are strategies to maximize your returns.

I was actually short at around $7 when I saw those 30k bitcoin walls pop up at 6.4 and 6.6 or so, with practically nothing to go to $9. So I changed my 2k$ into a long-position with - what I thought - moderate risks involved, and yeah... we all know the story.

You won't see any big players coming into a market like this, and the little $10-100 gamblers won't matter enough to change the name of the game.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
January 18, 2012, 07:34:49 PM
#8
Now you just need nagle and you got all your permabears

Me? Ahahah someone hasn't been paying attention. Let's count... hm.

Since I joined, I have been bull 60% of the time, but bear only 40% of the time. I switched camps four times. I was actually still fairly bullish mid-December, when you were long on here already.

If being bearish for more than three weeks makes one a "permabear", the terminology is a little deceiving, isn't it? Wink

Is your name Nagle?
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
"Yes I am a pirate, 200 years too late."
January 18, 2012, 07:27:24 PM
#7
Bear Vs. Bull  Claws always win.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
January 18, 2012, 07:25:26 PM
#6
Edit: I was thinking bittenbob included me as a permabear so I did a count Leaving that here instead of the original post, just because.

Since I joined, I have been bull 60% of the time, but bear only 40% of the time. I switched camps four times. I was actually still fairly bullish mid-December.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
January 18, 2012, 07:23:46 PM
#5
Volatility is what will bring in more traders.... new traders = new usd = price goes up.

Volatility is good for growth, as long as nobody with a lot of bitcoins decides to spike it clear to the ground.  I don't know why anyone would do that.

Edit: Short term, I'm not betting against a drop other than with my long term holdings.  It will take time for new traders to get in, and many traders got burned hard, but they are the permabulls you complain about.
member
Activity: 102
Merit: 10
January 18, 2012, 07:16:03 PM
#4
Well, thanks to Bitcoinica I must say I no longer believe in a soaring bitcoin value ever again. The leveraged margin trading to counter-balance any overheated situation of a (highly subjectively priced) commodity is causing exactly this very environment - in both directions. Without any long-term price stability however, I'm afraid bitcoin serves no purpose other than a digital footstep of wasted computational powers and energy.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
January 18, 2012, 07:12:51 PM
#3
Now you just need nagle and you got all your permabears
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
January 18, 2012, 07:12:19 PM
#2
Am I the only one who thinks it looks unstable?

No.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1002
January 18, 2012, 06:48:52 PM
#1
So, I was thinking we would fall lower than 6 anyway, and then all this chaos happened, plus I've yet to meet a single user who came because of that TV show. In addition, we've had an overpopulation of short-term bulls lately, remember those polls and threads according to which 8 should be topped by now?

It's hard to model how much money might have been just leveraged in that rally. But I can guess that some people with money shooed away for now, because of the obvious trouble in keeping the up-trend. I could imagine that there isn't enough money waiting to catch a high-volume panic, which we haven't seen in quite a while. And the more people buy high up, the less BTC it would take to drain the funds.

Am I the only one who thinks it looks unstable?
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