This is my second betting experiment which I call
Chasing the Draw. A few weeks ago, I wrote about
My Football Gambling System: A Betting Experiment. The idea there was to bet on draws when your selected team plays at home and on them to win when they play away from home. Just like in the first experiment, I haven’t played with real money. This is just a compilation of the team’s results to show what would have happened if you were betting in this way.
I selected six football teams: Two from the
French Ligue 2, two from the
Mexican Liga MX, and two from the
Spanish Laliga 2.
The selected teams:• Paris FC
• Sochaux
• Santos Laguna
• Atlas
• Sporting Gijon
• Ponferradina
Why these teams and leagues?I picked the teams positioned in the 5th and 7th place in their respective leagues when the experiment began. The idea was not to bet on the favourites because they win most of their matches. These leagues are some of the most evenly-contested competitions where many games end in draws.
I took screenshots of the league tables when the experiment started.
Ligue 2 – France
Liga MX – Mexico
Laliga 2 – Spain
The betting systemThese are the rules for the Martingale system I applied:
• Every time my selected teams play,
I bet on draws (X).
• If the bet losses,
I multiple the stake by 1.5x for the next match. ($3.00 > $4.50 > $6.75, etc.). I continue multiplying the stake money until my selection wins.
• When the team draws,
the cycle restarts with the initial stake amount.
Why these selections? Draws in football matches are very common, and the odds on these outcomes are generally rewarding. I initially wanted to try this system by doubling the stake every time my selections lost (same as in my 1st betting experiment). But Trofo suggested that it’s a good idea to increase the stake by 1.5x instead. This allows for better bankroll management and less money invested.
Are there any risks with this system? As you will see in the team results in the 2nd post, you may experience over 10 losses in a row. In that case, you’ll need enough money to continue playing the system. If the winning odds aren’t high enough, you won’t register any profits even if your selection wins. That’s because you are increasing the stake by 1.5x and not by 2x.
How I choose to bet, and what profit/losses did I make? • My initial stake is always $3.
• In the 2nd post, you will see a complete overview of each team’s results during the 2020/2021 football season. This includes the opponents, the odds for draws, stake money, and final results.
• A profit/loss count is posted after every round. All odds were taken from a local live score
https://www.rezultati.com/.
• I think they use bet365 as a reference for their odds. The good thing is that the odds on crypto bookies are higher than on bet365 and many other fiat bookies.
• All posted odds are from rezultati.com and show the X betting selections, respectively.
• All results were taken from that site and compared with official stats at
https://www.ligue2.fr/,
https://ligamx.net/, and
https://www.laliga.com/.
THIS IS NOT BETTING ADVICE, AND SHOULDN’T BE CONSIDERED AS SUCH!
THIS IS WRITTEN FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY!