Topic: Betting on favorites or upsets? (Read 1081 times)

Its called gambling in the first place just because you dont really know the results, you are betting your money into something which isnt known yet. There's the real essence of gambling on which you could really be able to make yourself that enjoy or entertained on guessing on whose gonna win. It wont really be that necessary for you to stick into favorites most of the time but rather you would really be basing up into those choices that you had made out basing into your own analysis and preference.It would really be that impossible that you wont really be able to determine on which one is really that a strong team but there are really those conditions on which you would really be thinking up that upsets could happen and this is why its important that you do made out your research first specially if there would really be those players that cant be able to play on a certain match up or having those news or conditions about injuries existing or what on which we know that these factors could really be affecting a strong teams overall performance.
You would really be needing up that considerations to look before you would be having that kind of mind boggling whether you do choose up the underdog and make money out of it.
Of course betting against the favorite is really that risky and something understandable but we've seen tons of instances that least favorite teams or players did make out such upset.

In betting activities I think there is no reason not to think rationally in making choices, remember that this is gambling which involves your personal money, you will only win when your choice is right, or vice versa where you will lose when you choose the wrong team.
Although I understand that winning or losing is still a result that cannot be known early on, but of course the best decision is to side with the team that is much more superior in the match.

This is not a matter of cowardice or not, even though for example you have a favorite team that you are proud of but when the opposing team is far superior to your favorite team then of course it is better to bet against your favorite team, this is the best decision when you watch a match while betting, but there is indeed no element of coercion in choosing, it is nothing more than a choice that I think is much better, the rest is up to you as long as you are involved with the minimum bet amount.

As you do go further ahead on which on the time that you would be making up some bets then this is the moment that you would really be making out some realization that you should really be that prioritizing
into those teams on which does have that higher chance of winning rather than making yourself on going into those underdogs on which this would really be that a very common approach to be done by someone on whose they would really be focusing into those underdogs just because they've been that get hooked into those odds that they've been really that seeing on which i cant blame them on.
When we do speak about multipliers then it would really be that understandable that people do get hooked up with this stuff and thats why they do make out such considerations.

Though what you do is right and can be useful, I have tried doing the same and I lost a few bets even after betting on the team that was ahead in the game and the opponent had no chance of winning the game. I once made a bet on a cricket match where one team was way ahead of its opponent, and the same was the case for them in the points table, so I could never imagine that they would lose the game against the weakest team in the competition.

To my surprise, even though the target was very low, the team I had chosen couldn't win the match, and I lost my bet. So even though watching the game for a few minutes before making your bet and then making the bet when the game is live might give you some advantage, it can sometimes go against you when you are extremely unlucky.

Generally, when it comes to sports betting, luck doesn't matter a lot because a team that is very good won't always lose, but sometimes, luck may not favour them and you as well.

That's right, if you don't carefully consider each bet individually, but bet just for the sake of betting, then our chances are not very high in the end. I rarely bet, but in a match I know exactly why I'm doing it and how my team should win. If I don't find a reason why a bet on a team should win, then I simply won't bet, but will wait for a better moment. It turns out that my bets are strong, thoughtful and reasoned, and not frivolous, like most players. And most importantly, I enjoy it, because I like to analyze and reason, even if the outcome is unsuccessful, I understand that if I turned back time, I would still make this bet, because I have arguments to do it. But frivolous players do not have this, if they rewind time, they could bet on another team in the same match, so they try their luck and cannot give themselves a clear answer why they bet.

If there is any riskiest step, it is the step of gambling, but even though this is a high risk game, how to keep our money safe is definitely our responsibility. 

Gambling with wrong strategy is absolutely not recommended because if you make a mistake in gambling, you will lose money directly. Whether you gamble as a profession or you gamble just for fun, you need to ensure the safety of your money. If you notice that you are losing regularly in gambling then you should realize that your strategy is wrong and you should quit gambling. 
This strategy is very important not only for new gamblers but for every gambler. If you have to rely on your full stake in a gamble then back off from that gamble and try to gamble where you can fully utilize your skills. If gambling can be done with time and thought then the result will definitely not disappoint a gambler.

I have a friend who has this strategy and he does pretty good. He bets on high odds games, but makes a parlay bet to increase the payout. So in a football match he'll choose the easiest picks, like the number of total goals in a match, or bets on the favorite, but does that 3 or 4 times in a row and if this hits he gets a lot of money. IF it doesn't he loses very little, because his starting bet is pretty small. He wins maybe 1 in 3, sometimes 1 in 4 such bets, but his profit is usually like 5x+

One of the main reasons on why people would really be trying out to make considerations on betting on underdogs? because of the huge odds that they are seeing and of course on the moment that they've seen that there's a chance for some upset on which it could really possibly happen but of course we do know that upsets arent that commonly happen but its not impossible. This is why it would really be that important that you should really be considering on what are those things first before betting on underdogs but if you would really be sticking into favorites on which of course it would really be that normal that those odds
wont really be that something appealing. This is the main reason on why people wouldnt really be liking nor really that interest but it would be situational because everything would really be according to the odds on which it would really be that a common thing or reaction that you will really be having consideration basing up on what you can potentially win up.

I also think that it is necessary to analyze the odds and team compositions in order to correlate whether it is necessary to bet on a certain game or just skip it. And if we have decided to bet, we must justify our choice with arguments, and not just because we wanted to. In general, over a long distance, even experienced players will most likely be at a loss, but the most important thing here is to find inefficiencies and win on this, increasing your deposit. Of course, this is extremely difficult to do, but you can try because there are too many bookmakers and everyone sets the odds looking at others. And as a player, I prefer to compare the odds of all available bookmakers and choose the best one for myself. So there is no clear answer to who to bet on, each situation is separate and unique.

Favorites most of the time do the best. In that case, as the probability of winning is high, the amount of loss will also increase in case of loss. I bet on favorite teams and sometimes on other teams too.

Betting in favor when a team is in a destroyed position can result in huge profits if win the match in a sports bet. Those bets can be a trump card, especially for those who like big returns. There is no benefit in winning repeatedly but gamblers win big by placing bets within a period and winning from there. Interest in winning is also high in that bet. Winning is not possible every day so one win in this type of bet is better than several other bets.

Well if you talk about profits in every bet than that is not possible and also it is not a realistic approach.
Now if someone bet on the favourite team then he may win many bets but the amount of winning will be low. In this case when he will lose the bet, most of the winnings will be lost.
On the 2nd scenrio, if a person only bet on weak teams to get higher odds, he will lose most of the time. Here he can compensate himself by using less capital in each of those higher odds bets.

Still I think apply one condition on all bets is not a perfect choice. I would rather see the teams and opponents and then decide whether to go for favourite team or a weak team. Also we should always see the odds to check whether it is worth risking the money or not.

In my opinion, both approaches are wrong. You should not bet on favorites or underdogs, but on games and odds that are incorrectly assessed by the bookmaker. Many people doubt that a bookmaker can be wrong, they think that a bookmaker is God who is always right. But this is not true. A bookmaker does not need to be right in all cases. He does not even need to be right in most cases. He only needs to be right about half the time. Mathematics and psychology will do the rest. Usually it happens like this: a person wins and is overcome by euphoria. He starts betting all his winnings on a new game, then he wins again and at that moment he stops thinking rationally. It seems to him that the winnings will be endless. At that moment, his biggest loss occurs, which zeroes out his funds.

Live bet sometimes does give more information on what the result maybe in the end and unlike statistically influenced decisions, you get a more recent and highly probable pick which when bet upon, you very likely wouldn't loose but it's not a guarantee as gambling itself is highly about probability.

Watching the game before betting gives me more confidence on my picks at times and for me that's the best and most important feeling than wanting to hope to be lucky based on bets placed before the commencement of the game.

I definitely prefer betting on favorites irrespective of the position and odd either at home or at away, yeah betting on your favorite will give you more confidence or certain level of assurance thou there is no guarantee of having such possible outcome, it will better for me to bet on my favorite and loss than to bet on my upset and win because it will give you a peace of mind that at least you gave your support to your favorite rather than your upset, surely it is 50, 50, either to win or loss whichever becomes the outcome we should be much ready for it, it a game.

I like to live bet more these days. I can sit back and watch part of a game and make a decision on who to bet based on how they've been performing to that point. The odds are much different as it's based mostly off who is ahead at the time I make the bet, but I feel you have some extra info on a game by watching part of it first. Obviously I can still lose no matter which team I bet on, but I give myself more useful information and can make a better bet with that info.

Whether betting on the underdog or the favorite team, you still have the same chances of winning 50/50. In gambling, there is no consistent pattern that guarantees a certain outcome. It means that even if the team has lower odds, it never says it has a big chance; the underdog can also have the same chances. This is why betting will not lie solely on the odds or the popularity of the team, but also on luck. Of course, their performances are also something to consider when choosing, but most of the time I bet without seeing the odds but on the team I've felt will win. As usual, the result is unpredictable, but there is no need to think that my strategy is wrong because I also win sometimes. This means that we can be lucky, but not always. 

The conclusion of this thread is just about getting profit from sports betting. But unfortunately in this kind of betting it is not only about winning because every prediction we make will not always win. And sometimes in the last minute the favorite team can be defeated by the underdog team.

Everything you said about anything that is profitable is all true but anyone would definitely prefer the underdog team for the simple reason of getting higher odds.

Sports betting is still difficult to predict in any way the results will not be certain and if you ask me to choose one of those options I would not choose both. Unless there is another option on under or over.

We must remember about use the money you can afford to lose. That is the key for us to enjoy the gambling games. We will not uses more money to have fun in gambling games because that will cause us lose more and more money.

Analyzing the match is a must if you wants to place your bet. That will helps you to determines which team that can wins. But you must remember that you can only analyzing and wait for the result. If you are lucky, you can win and vice versa.

I'll always prefer to bet for bigger chances instead of having my favorite teams like in sports, because even though I saw some good potential of it? that doesn't make sense if I purse betting without any huge probability.
Essential things must be observed, we can't just take rush decisions on every steps that we had on our betting strategies. Only luck brings the underdog into winning streak, so we should be more cautious on this situation of the game.

During the time I've been betting on sports, I've seen that most of the time the underdogs lose, which is why when I watch 10 games, I start analyzing the games in which there is an apparent favorite. After analyzing the game, I see if the odds are good or not and if it's worth my while to bet. There are few cases in which I bet on the underdog. Even when I analyze the game and see that the underdog has a chance, I often think before betting on the underdog. This is because when the bookmakers put a favorite and have already analyzed the game well, there is little chance of surprises.

Only in the case of games in strange leagues, such as games between teams from Africa, Asia and Brazil, do I see that the bookmakers put high odds on the underdog. When I analyze the game, I realize that the underdog has a much better chance of winning, so I bet without any fear of losing. but I am shocked by some people who always bet on the underdog, according to such people, they are doing this because they want to win more, I confess that I did not understand how this strategy would be profitable