Topic: Betting on underdog by choosing a favorite spread to increase the odds. - page 2. (Read 313 times)

Sometimes our guts and inner voices would really be telling deep inside that it is considerable to take some bets on the underdog but of course you cant really just that trust up that gut feeling on which the next thing you would do is to make up some research before you would really be able to finalize whether you should proceed on making some bet or would really be considering on betting on underdog. It would really be always that
depending into your own choice since not all would really be having on the same mindset when it comes to choices specially if their guts been telling them to do so.
We arent that dumb on not to see those odds differences on which it isnt really shocking that people would really be that always loving on sticking into the money line.
When it comes on having that confidence then we do surely be loving on sticking into those who are favorites.

It is really just that there are really indeed moments that we do really feel like to make out some bets into those underdogs because of having that feeling or even having that sudden analysis.
Results would neither be that positive or negative but at least it wont really be leaving out some regrets if you do follow the bet that you are preferring into.

Some of us foreseen this, the Pacers made a repeat in the match with the Milwaukee Bucks in their home arena in Indiana. Individuals who followed it made money. It is Tyrese Haliburton again, driving his team in a wild scoring third quarter and the Bucks could not overcome the lead.

Regardless, because I made the same wager, a -2.5 on the Oklahoma City Thunder in the match with the Atlanta Hawks, my profit became small. some of it is luck. Maybe it is luck. Anyhow, every time we go further with a deduction on the score of the team we are waging, there is a risk on it. Waging on modest odds is more secure but it depends on how we deal with our risk management.

Do the odds really matter in betting? I may not and I don't weigh that much as a bettor, I'd choose the team that likely wins the game, it doesn't matter to me if the odds are high or low as I still vouch for the team I like the most. Or maybe I'm wrong but this is what I did for my best otherwise, I have to experiment with another strategy.

But yeah, doesn't all the time we win, losses still happen. However, I don't think it was regrettable in the sense that I enjoy watching the game and betting at the same time on my favorite team.

It turns out Pacers at -2.5 @2.50 was a good bet as they dominated the Bucks and winning by double digits but that's in hindsight now. I still would not pick that position if presented with the same scenario. To bet on the underdog while giving the opponent an additional advantage with minimal change in odds isn't worth it. Maybe I'll consider if the lines were like @2.23 for ML and the underdog -2.50 is @4.

Yes would choose to bet on underdog especially if I know that the team is really doing well so most provably I will go bet on them. And in case of Indiana Pacers they have great chance to win since this young guys lead by Haliburton is doing good this season and have a chance to defeat those top teams on the league. Also its not rare situation that underdog team beat those strong team and their bettors is lucky enough to get a huge win for trusting their bets.

Milwaukee Bucks is strong team but sometimes they are not prone to losing that's why its good to gamble with that since it adds the exciting while watching this type of game especially you know that your team is way behind.

My definition of YOLO is different, it doesn't based on the odds but on the amount of money you bet. It's more like "all in" for me, and yes YOLO means "you only live once", so enjoy and problem go all in. Betting on original underdog team and make them a favorite, you'll getting more than 2.00 but less than 3.00, so not that much of a risk since underdogs though also win in games, just choose wisely.

I'll take the money line instead.
+2.5 is not that high although sometimes it can make the difference. But I will not put more risk in taking the -2.5. If there's a chance that the game will be close then I think I will be safer with just the money line.
But if they are offering +4.5 or +5.5 at a good price then I might pick those. Milwaukee Bucks is a tough team considering Giannis Antetokounmpo can score anytime he likes with those big muscles of him and his reach advantage. Then there's Damian Lillard who could become a big threat if he gets hot.
About the picks, I guess it depends on a gambler if he is more of a high-risk taker or one who loves to play it safe. Less profits but the chances to win are higher.

I may not be too familiar with playing on the Underdog and this set of risky predictions that the lesser influencer team to win to boosten the games odds is assumed to be as Such of other bets.
So yes, I can take the bet risk siding the Indiana to win even when it is historically and tensed obvious that they would loos the match. I have a mental believe that history can be broken in the sense that "the young shall grow" has finally grown" and so doing, they would posses the abilities to do the great wonders of the oldens and somedays, the olden has to grow weak and retires.

Not just as that but because I am a gambler, I would always stand on the chances of risk taking on what would either fetch me fun or increases my financial portfolios.
But on such a bet as OP has just illustrated, I would always go on that betting on the Indiana to win but yeah, I am staking with a tolerable amount of stake with the say that..... " Let me just spread this specific amount of stake to the air if it turns good, Okay to let go and if turns bad, I takes it a cheers of a risky trial of inevitables".

I keep doing this all the time when I know the odds are really good we call this YOLO betting the meaning of it is you only live once, so you take a risk with the higher odds of course before doing this I know the potential of the team will play on this match, of course with the higher odds you can bet a small amount and being dependent on it, unlike with the potential winner of the game even you bet a large amount just a small percentage of return, sports game is one of the unpredictable game because of the will of the player or the team any thing can happen and make the table turns in just one mistake.

This is what we gamblers that bet mostly on football games do encounter and what will propel me to bet in favour of an underdog team against a bigger team in the league is when the big team has been playing below average in their series of recent performances in all games. Under such circumstance as a gambler you can take the chances of risking it in favour of an underdog team against them.

We can take the English Premier League for instance  Chelsea has been inconsistent with their performance having incurred many losses in their games especially against underdog clubs, so with that as a gambler going by Chelsea performance this season you can have the courage to  bet in favour of smaller team against them  believing that the chances of the underdog winning is highly possible except for some reasons you got unlucky on that day.

Betting on underdog against a strong club is like throwing away your bet purposely but sometimes we get it wrong as gamble is something that is based on luck, sometimes the underdog wins the game and anyone that took the risk to bet on them will win big.

I have been lucky just once when I bet on an underdog club with 7 odds and I won big that day, I will say it was my luck and not that it normally happen, because for sure we all know that a strong club will definitely win the game.

First of all I don't think Indiana is a big favorite against Milwaukee Bucks and I do not bet on such events.Anyway after seeing yesterday night Sacramento Kings losing to Charlotte Hornets is a big no for me to bet on money line on the basketball games anymore,it is simply out of my poor human logic how a team with 1.07 odd in basketball can lose with 104-111 result and not be able to score as many points as they usually do.

Getting back to your idea,it is a great idea to back the underdog but not with those small spreads,I would go and get the maximum in a basketball game,for example yesterday if we backed Charlotte Hornets with +11.5 or 13.5 points whichever was the maximum we would have won,of course no one thought about the surprise win they made.

I definitely don't just bet on underdogs, when I look at a game I don't look at odds first, I try to see the condition of each team in the last games and how each player has been doing and after I have an idea of which of the teams will win in the game, so I go to the casino to see how the odds are, I've been doing this to not let myself be influenced by the casino's odds, because most of the time when the person first goes to the casino and sees the game, in the game, team Z has odds of 1.50 and team Y has an odds of 2.50, so the person immediately thinks that team Z will win the game because it is being seen as the favorite and the odds difference is large, but the person does not think that the odds makers analyzed that game their way

and they don't have a crystal ball, so they can make mistakes and for this reason the person must also analyze the game by counting on themselves before placing a bet, and if in the case of the person's analysis it is pointing towards team Y coming out as the winner, then the person must bet on team Y as the winner. There are many games where people make mistakes and people get it right. Now what people shouldn't do is bet on the underdogs in all games so they can test their luck and get it right and win a lot of money with high odds, I think these types of methods are not very good and cause long-term losses. but there are many people who like to do this. To this day, I still don't understand why someone wastes money on betting on the underdog just to test their luck.

I usually bet on the +5 and up when it comes to underdogs. I would rather choose moneyline in your example though. I don't do that kind of spread on matchups that could go either way or too close to call. Another thing is that odds aren't that far apart so why risk losing a bet in a match that could be decided by 1 or 2 points.

I guess you have to look at other factors as well, like where is the game going to play as sometimes, homecourt advantage is still that, an advantage. And in their last game, Pacers won. But if you look at the odds today, it's the Bucks that is the favorite.

Currently, I see the line +2.5 Indiana @2.06, and then -2.5 for Bucks @1.81.

So in this case, I might go with the Bucks if that is the line, unless you really you think that Pacers are a live underdog.

I am a risky person in terms of gambling because I believe that if you are in gamble then
you can try harder about the luck so yeah I may do that specially if the team involves is one of my favorite?
then i will love going Underdog and try my luck to the limit.

but since I am not a regular gambler so I take the chances whenever i bet to risk more
in underdogs.

I used to do this on 2020, and one thing I know is that deviating a couple of points from the spread and putting it on the favorites is always a good thing. From your example, that's a 4-point difference from the original spread, and it's there for a reason.

I could risk it at -2.5, but I could also play the other team to cover the spread  for a less riskier bet with a lesser number of returns. Those spreads are there for a reason, and with the tight spread, it means that one cannot really outscore the other by a lot of points. Sticking close to the spread is practically a good idea here, and -2.5 for Indiana with that much of a jump just means that it's quite improbable for them to reach such a result, let alone win. But if you're brave enough, you can put a medium bet on that and hedge live if there are lines offered

You are right, and indeed when there is match involving strong team then consideration must be made by looking at the Odds on the favorite team whether it is worth betting on.
By choosing favorite team, you may have big chance of winning, but the Odds will probably be very low, such as 1.1 to 1.3
This is very small profit multiple and of course you have to face the risk of surprises that could happen.
A strong favorite team will not always win because there are losses and draws, this is an unexpected surprise and always causes gamblers to experience defeat.
But if everyone is sure to win with Odds that have been considered or are worth betting on, such as more than 1.5, then we can take the risk by betting money on betting option that we are sure of.
Moreover, Handicap bets are not easy to predict correctly and Handicap bets often cause gamblers to make mistakes and end up losing.

Sometimes I would bet on underdog and get a favorite spread. It will pay off sometimes but there's always an algorithm on it and that we cannot abuse the bookies. Just like the concluded game of Celtics vs OKC, Celtics was -4 before the game, so if you bet on OKC -2.5, I think you'll get more than 2.50 of odds, but like I mentioned it does not happen often, so you have to be choosy on what game you'll bet on.

If you want to experiment on your own, might as well put a record so you can confirm. I think most bettors here would choose lower odds with higher chances of winning, or at least they only based on odds to calculat the chances of winning.

It relies upon the matches bud. Yesterday I lost the -4.5 handicap with only 1.50x on the Milwaukee Bucks. Because the Bucks are playing in their stadium, I had no idea I would lose that wager.

The Bucks will want their vengeance, but if they can win, it will not be easy. In their return match at Indiana, I anticipate the Pacers to become even better with their fans cheering on them. The Milwaukee Bucks stay the favorite choice because they are consistently on top of the league but in this particular match, I am placing a bet on the -2.50 with a 2.50x odds on the Pacers.