Topic: Betting on underdog by choosing a favorite spread to increase the odds. - page 3. (Read 313 times)
January 03, 2024, 07:08:44 AM
I’ve been in a similar strategy before where my only target was the higher payout without conducting research or making analysis, which is a very risky move. It's still better if you have a basis for why you chose the underdog and not just because of a guess. For this scenario, I’m confident in Indiana’s ability to at least keep the game close or even win; the higher odds with the spread might be an attractive proposition. For me, sports betting comes with 50% luck and 50% strategy. It’s important to analyze the teams’ recent performances, player statistics, and other factors that could influence the game's outcome. If you don't depend solely on luck, you can improve your chances by making strategic decisions based on solid research.
January 03, 2024, 06:46:31 AM
I do not like betting undergo against strong clubs. Strong clubs will have low odds while underdogs will have higher odds but which may not worth going for. Although sometimes I can go for underdog, but the only reason I can do that is when the strong club is not performing good in its previous matches and making me to have doubt as the strong club is losing to most matches it recently played.
Right. If the big teams aren't doing so hot lately, take the chance on the underdogs. Just trust the gut feeling and check if the strong clubs are on a losing streak. If the big-shot teams have been slacking off in their recent games, it could be a sign they're not at their best.
there would really be those times or moments on which you could really be able to notice that favorite teams arent performing well basing up into its previous games on which it is really that normal that you would really be having impressions that the next games would really be the same but it would really be that always hard to stick into that idea since games could really be changed up.
Betting on underdogs could really give out that huge hesitance but your gut feeling would really be telling and keep pushing you to have some bet at least
because if you do counter up things and giving out that different result or getting in line with those inner voices and gut feeling then that would really be leaving out that kind of long lasting regret.
January 03, 2024, 06:38:12 AM
Does anyone here do the same?
For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?
By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.
Many people are influenced by the odd and I would count myself to be a victim too but I know that so many gamblers would prefer betting on under dog as they believe the bookmakers are doing that just to confuse them to make the wrong decision. I have bet on under dog before that's in respect of their odd difference but the stats between the two teams shows that the under dog is more active to win the game so I choose to select sometimes due to their performance irrespective of their odds difference and not always but sometimes it does work for me. For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?
By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.
January 03, 2024, 06:32:57 AM
Such bets are worth it for me sometimes, but only if I'm familiar with the league or the association teams playing.
Sometimes many markets don't have enough bets on the actually best team, and in such the moneyline doesn't get tipped to the most likely direction it would be.
So if you're early to a market you can catch good odds on a team that actually has good chances to win.
Betting on an underdog imho wouldn't be worth it unless the odds were significantly higher.
So for the example mentioned in the OP, I don't think Pacers are that much of an underdog and the odds actually make sense. If the match was something like Celtics vs Wizards with these odds, it'd make absolutely no sense to bet on Wizards with these odds given the past performance their team has had in the league. It'd be a bargain to bet on the Bucks however.
Sometimes many markets don't have enough bets on the actually best team, and in such the moneyline doesn't get tipped to the most likely direction it would be.
So if you're early to a market you can catch good odds on a team that actually has good chances to win.
Betting on an underdog imho wouldn't be worth it unless the odds were significantly higher.
So for the example mentioned in the OP, I don't think Pacers are that much of an underdog and the odds actually make sense. If the match was something like Celtics vs Wizards with these odds, it'd make absolutely no sense to bet on Wizards with these odds given the past performance their team has had in the league. It'd be a bargain to bet on the Bucks however.
January 03, 2024, 02:59:27 AM
I do not like betting undergo against strong clubs. Strong clubs will have low odds while underdogs will have higher odds but which may not worth going for. Although sometimes I can go for underdog, but the only reason I can do that is when the strong club is not performing good in its previous matches and making me to have doubt as the strong club is losing to most matches it recently played.
Right. If the big teams aren't doing so hot lately, take the chance on the underdogs. Just trust the gut feeling and check if the strong clubs are on a losing streak. If the big-shot teams have been slacking off in their recent games, it could be a sign they're not at their best.
January 03, 2024, 02:51:40 AM
I do not like betting undergo against strong clubs. Strong clubs will have low odds while underdogs will have higher odds but which may not worth going for. Although sometimes I can go for underdog, but the only reason I can do that is when the strong club is not performing good in its previous matches and making me to have doubt as the strong club is losing to most matches it recently played.
January 03, 2024, 12:48:25 AM
Does anyone here do the same?
For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?
By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.
For example, let's say there's a game tomorrow between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Indiana Pacers. The original betting spread is Indiana +2.5 vs Milwaukee -2.5. Let's assume their respective spreads have odds of 1.90, and you believe the underdog will win. Are you willing to bet on Indiana as favorites?
By saying favorites, I mean would you choose Indiana -2.5 with 2.50 odds, a little higher than the moneyline odds which is 2.23.
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