Let's see...
1) That guy worked for Coinbase
2) He is very superficial - simply lists up *reasons* without having real arguments
a)
"Binance’s competitive advantage is regulatory arbitrage. Minimal KYC requirements and trading limits and aggressively adding new coins allowed the company to go from 0 to ~ 40% exchange market share in less than 2 yrs." If that would be the winning formula, several other exchanges would be at the same level but that's not the case.
b)
"Binance captured this large market share quickly despite a poorly designed product. http://Binance.com is not pushing the space forward in a meaningful way and the UI/UX is worse than many decentralized exchanges." Poorly designed can not be true because Binance can handle a lot of traffic, much more than most other exchanges. Worse UI/UX than many decentralized exchanges is even a blatant lie - or maybe it's about the colors or whatever. Under the line that's nonsense.
c)
"But Bitcoin’s competitive advantage is regulatory arbitrage too, so what’s wrong with that for Binance?
Bitcoin is an open-source project that can’t be shut down & enabled a new product. Binance is a centralized company that can be shut down and does not enable anything new."He really wants to compare a Cryptocurrency with an exchange - a company? Doesn't make much sense. But let's see if he is right: Could Binance be shut down because it's a centralized entity? Sure, that could happen to Coinbase as well... But Binance can move and they've done that. To say Binance does not enable anything new is (again) total bs, since they come up with improvements and new releases at least each quarter.
d)
"A bull case for Binance Coin requires you to either believe that Binance will continue to maintain or grow its centralized exchange market share, or successfully transition to a decentralized org and launch a DEX that becomes widely used."Binance made about half a billion profit in 2018, a bloody bear market. Where might it be in a year like 2017? Billions, of course. And of course, additionally it's likely that their Binance-Chain and DEX will be widely used, 1) to issue new assets, 2) to trade them. The "additionally" is very important, because this guy seems to imply that it needs to be this (centralized) or that (decentralized) but Binance.com will stay centralized while BNB will be used additionally on Binance-Chain and the DEX. So.. what is he talking about?
e)
"For the company to maintain market share, it needs to add fiat onramps & attract institutional investors. Their regulatory approach to date makes it difficult for them to work with banks & institutions, who generally prefer partners with expertise complying with existing regs" Fiat? That guy is funny... This is from January:
Official Launch of Binance's EUR/GBP Fiat Exchange - Binance.jehttps://support.binance.com/hc/en-us/articles/360022037951-Official-Launch-of-Binance-s-EUR-GBP-Fiat-Exchange-Binance-jeMore about Binance & Fiat:
Upcoming Crypto Hub: Binance May Launch Fiat Platform In Argentina
https://www.newsbtc.com/2019/03/10/upcoming-crypto-hub-binance-fiat-platform-argentina/Binance Now Lets Australians Buy Bitcoin With Cash at Over 1,300 Stores
https://www.coindesk.com/binance-launches-bitcoin-buying-at-over-1300-australian-stores“#Binance Singapore will come online in April. It will be our next Fiat to Crypto exchange servicing $SGD [Singapore dollar].”
https://twitter.com/binance/status/1113631273551982592Binance starts spreading its fiat-to-crypto wings
Binance, the largest exchange by traded volume, launched its second fiat-to-crypto exchange yesterday. The first launched in the African nation of Uganda last October and supported Ugandan shillings. But these launches are merely the start of the company's stated plan to have two fiat-to-crypto exchanges on every continent. The exchanges are built on Binance's technology but formed as a separate legal entity.
https://www.theblockcrypto.com/tiny/binance-starts-spreading-its-fiat-to-crypto-wings/f)
"If they are able to pull off Binance DEX and transition to a decentralized org, I may be proven wrong. But a DEX is a completely different product and investing at over $1B market cap BNB today for a product that doesn’t exist feels like a bad risk adjusted bet"BNB is not only about the Binance-Chain and the DEX, to say that there is no product is total bullshit. And again: It doesn't need a transition to a DEX. The Binance-Chain and the DEX will be additionally... but even without it BNB would be a great asset.
So... again: What is he even talking about? Wouldn't call that an "analysis".
Btw, @Raja_MBZ - last time you tried this, BNB went about 100% right after...
Remember? ;-)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.49680791