The current Bitcoin price is still above $21k and it looks quite strong to stay above $21k. With the optimism of everyone that in 2024 to have Bitcoin halving, I assume Bitcoin price to survive above $20k. We already reached to bottom below $17k last year, I am sure it won't repeat this year since the market trend looks better. The whales are also unlikely to dump the price more and more because they don't want that people lose interest in Bitcoin.
Currently we see the BUSD fud Stablecoin Issuer Paxos Is Being Investigated by New York Regulatorbut market did not fall much even though BUSD is the third largest stable coin in terms of marketcap.
This shows that people are not willing to see their bitcoins now as they know that these will be worth many more in the near future.
I don't think we can see 12K in 2023 or perhaps we may never see 12K now if 15,800$ was the ultimate bottom for this bear market.