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Topic: Bitcoin 2024 halving less than 1 year away - page 5. (Read 1206 times)

full member
Activity: 1064
Merit: 101
I realise when the bull market takes off will also be dependant on price action, for example if there is another black swan event at the start of 2024 then this could result in a delay like in 2020. But otherwise do you generally think the bull market will start before or after the halving, or otherwise more or less immediately after the halving, and do you think there will be any other relevant factors other than the halving?

Interested to hear your thoughts...

Now Bitcoin (BTC) is moving in a downward flow. Yes, will this moment be a party changer in the future as the Halving plays such an important role. However, if you look at halving, it is only one of the factors that affect the price of Bitcoin and is not the only determining factor. analyze market trends to form the best judgment although historical patterns show that bull markets usually start several months after a halving event.
Bitcoin is currently experiencing a decline but support at $ 25k to $ 26k in my opinion is still strong,
so there is a possibility that this is a correction to reach an increase again, moreover the good news for the crypto market is getting more intense,
the last one is about the legality of Bitcoin in China, and yes it's a breath of fresh air for the market.
I believe the 2024 halving will be another bullish point for the Bitcoin and crypto market.
member
Activity: 286
Merit: 25
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I realise when the bull market takes off will also be dependant on price action, for example if there is another black swan event at the start of 2024 then this could result in a delay like in 2020. But otherwise do you generally think the bull market will start before or after the halving, or otherwise more or less immediately after the halving, and do you think there will be any other relevant factors other than the halving?

Interested to hear your thoughts...

Now Bitcoin (BTC) is moving in a downward flow. Yes, will this moment be a party changer in the future as the Halving plays such an important role. However, if you look at halving, it is only one of the factors that affect the price of Bitcoin and is not the only determining factor. analyze market trends to form the best judgment although historical patterns show that bull markets usually start several months after a halving event.
full member
Activity: 1110
Merit: 104
When a halving occurs usually a lot of people panic buy so before the halving the price has skyrocketed, I'm sure the halving that occurs in less than a year will create a significant price explosion so that the price can reach 3x, if at the end of 2023 it can reach at least $ 50k then the price when halvings can be as high as $150k.
can't wait to see if the price action of Bitcoin before the halving and after the halving will be the same as in 2020-2021 or not,
if it's the same then you can be sure what you said about $150k might be achieved,
but if can't reach $50k first in 2024 it will be difficult to repeat history again.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1228
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After 2022 the bitcoin price is in bearish phase, the possibility of bullrun has been count starting from entering 2023. The process of gradual price recovery until now may have entered the bullrun category - but in my opinion it is still in the recovery stage. We still have many stages to go before expecting a bigger bullrun in the months ahead, but I tend to agree that bullrun is more likely to be expected after halving than before halving.

There is no certainty - but it is expected that the market will continue to recover and move forward even if correction and consolidation are still possible. Yesterday the price still retest the $29k resistance, but it failed.
sr. member
Activity: 2506
Merit: 368
I have a mindset that when the game gets too simple, people will easily predict the market will go up, and bitcoin will hit ATH after the halving.
Nah, no, that's not how the market works if you really know the history of Bitcoin you will know that it takes time before it hits the ATH just like in the last bull run. I think it takes a year or so before it touches the final ATH and to think that there's no definite final answer to when is the ATH will hit depends on the market.

One thing that I know is if there's a FOMO, people will usually buy more that will cause the market to pump and if there's a panic then people will start to sell that will cause the market to drop.
hero member
Activity: 2086
Merit: 513
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I have a mindset that when the game gets too simple, people will easily predict the market will go up, and bitcoin will hit ATH after the halving.  then we will all sell bitcoins for profit, so who will buy those bitcoins for us?  I'm not surprised that most people vote that the bull run will start after the halving and only 1 vote that there will be no bull market.  this is the financial market and where the sharks are trying to get our money, so when things get too predictable, I don't think that will happen anymore. i still expect history to repeat itself, but I still don't rule out the possibility that everything will be turned upside down and the game will be reset.
member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 10
When a halving occurs usually a lot of people panic buy so before the halving the price has skyrocketed, I'm sure the halving that occurs in less than a year will create a significant price explosion so that the price can reach 3x, if at the end of 2023 it can reach at least $ 50k then the price when halvings can be as high as $150k.
sr. member
Activity: 1526
Merit: 251
Based on the estimate from bitcoinblockhalf.com, the 2024 halving will be end of April with other estimates calculating it as beginning of April, even as early as March.

While not getting too bogged down in the timing which is dependant on whether there continues to be hash rate growth (to bring it forward) or not, when do you think the bull market will start?

The last halving was in May 2020 and arguably the bull market started a few months after this, as instead there was consolidation around $9K for several months, whereas in 2016 the bull market more or less started immediately after the July halving, or even arguably around 6 months beforehand as price had already increased over 100% from the lows without a significant correction.

I also remember in 2019 many were anticipating that price would increase in the 6 months leading up to the halving similar to 2016, which started to happen at the beginning of 2020 until the Covid crash occurred, hence instead price took several months to recover, although was slightly higher than it was 6 months prior to halving at around $7K, but not before re-visiting $4K.

I realise when the bull market takes off will also be dependant on price action, for example if there is another black swan event at the start of 2024 then this could result in a delay like in 2020. But otherwise do you generally think the bull market will start before or after the halving, or otherwise more or less immediately after the halving, and do you think there will be any other relevant factors other than the halving?

Interested to hear your thoughts...

My prediction is that when the halving has occurred, there will likely be an increase in the price of bitcoin because the reward from mining has decreased.
then over the next few months the price will fluctuate.
and in the following year there will be a new increase in ATH.
at least the cycle is always like that.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1043
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While not getting too bogged down in the timing which is dependant on whether there continues to be hash rate growth (to bring it forward) or not, when do you think the bull market will start?
I expect that it will be a few months after the halving.

The thing is that, we don't know if it will be the same as what happened last 2021 & 2017, or it will be a different one. I mean there's a chance that if investors think that it will happen a few months after the bull run, chances are they might buy earlier than the expected halving thus, we might see the price of Bitcoin starting to go up even though the halving isn't happening yet. On the other hand, we might see Bitcoin starting to go up after the halving like what happened in 2021.

Overall, I expect the bull run to start in 2024, and will continue in 2025 before we see the market going bear again in the year 2026. It's only my prediction though, and we might see a different scenario in the next years, or we might see something that hasn't happen in the crypto space yet. Take note that Bitcoin is very unpredictable when it comes to price movement.
STT
legendary
Activity: 4088
Merit: 1452
Fork is a duplication if in theory both paths continue separately, depends on the outcome but immediately it would seem to indicate weakness from those multiple paths in that blockchain rather then strength, a wider distribution rather then consolidation.  Halving is  a reduction in block reward and so a slowing in issuance, tightening though of this too can vary in effects seen and its also true after many prior halving of the block reward its no longer such a large change even though its repeated constantly.
  I was very bullish about POS in ETH because it is something new and widespread, I cant see why it cant work or would be any negative for users.   Im interested to see it progress.
hero member
Activity: 2562
Merit: 586
The halving has indeed been proven several times to make pump prices and of course next year it can become an ATH record again, to reach a new record price of course this year must be closed positively or close to recovery which is around $55k, if at the end of the year the price can reach $55k then when the halving will easily up to $100k.
Several? What's notable is only the previous one because of the huge price increase way back 2017 if I remember the year correctly. Also it won't be guaranteed that same thing would happen, it is just the idea of the previous one. Familiar of the ETH fork after that? Nothing much happened. Indeed Bitcoin and Ethereum are different currencies but both are the top cryptos in this industry so we may have the same expectations. With that, why is there a difference with the result? I think it is because of several factors during the halving; economic situation or state and other existing problems which may affect the demand as well for this industry. Therefore, we should still manage our exoectations on this anticipation 'coz anything could happen either good or bad.
I do agree with what you said about halving that it is subjective and there is no guaranteed growth only because of the halving since it is just an event to cut down mining rewards and help Bitcoin become more scarce by reducing the supply, but since almost everyone believes that the bull run will start after the halving, this belief might do something since it also brings buying pressure with it.

I don't agree with your reference or Ethereum's fork since there is a very big difference between a fork and a halving, a fork is simply an update for the coin or it's blockchain while a halving is an event that makes the coin more scarce.
full member
Activity: 1110
Merit: 104
yes, everyone has been waiting for Halvinf 2024 to come, and the market has also responded positively,
the most important thing is that Bitcoin doesn't drop from $20k, because if Bitcoin is below $20k then bullish will be hard to come,
I myself have also been holding Bitcoin since 2022 because I believe in bullrun 2024 will be more amazing than 2021.
sr. member
Activity: 1722
Merit: 252
Halving is something we are really waiting for, usually there will be an increase in demand so that the price will continue to rise, the halving will occur in about a year so now is a good time to prepare and buy more, don't just watch and congratulate friends who get big profits when the halving day occurs.
full member
Activity: 1414
Merit: 129
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The halving that will occur in about a year will certainly make us optimistic, usually the price will increase by at least 50% in a short time or in the same month when the halving occurs, it is time for us to make large purchases so that we have the opportunity to get big profits during the halving. will happen in 2024.
another year will enter the era of the halving period, of course it is true as you said that it will coincide with the gradual increase of bitcoin, until 2025 where a renewable ATH will be formed. because time is not so long as you said too, so this is an opportunity to continue to buy and hold and no longer need to wait for a correction to occur to buy, because the opportunity to continue to save will be lost by continuing to delay.
some say the halving will occur in 2024 and a new ATH will be created and some say that the halving will start in 2024 and ATH will be reached in 2025. I believe the halving will come soon but the fact is that currently the price of bitcoin is still stuck below $ 30k for quite a long time, meaning that until now there have been no large-scale purchases that have made bitcoin prices slowly rise. please remember, this is the crypto market and anything can happen. bullish can come faster or it can come slower.

If you've studied bitcoin's previous cycles, you'll see that the bull season and ATH will only begin a year after the halving, not immediately after the halving.

Yes, anything is possible, with bitcoin, nothing is impossible, but we have no basis to say that ATH will come sooner. So relying on history is the only thing we can do, I will still believe in history, and it will repeat itself, until bitcoin makes new history. By the way, it's not a bad thing for bitcoin to be stuck under $30k, I think it's an opportunity for us to have more time to buy bitcoin at a high discount.
full member
Activity: 1442
Merit: 108
The halving that will occur in about a year will certainly make us optimistic, usually the price will increase by at least 50% in a short time or in the same month when the halving occurs, it is time for us to make large purchases so that we have the opportunity to get big profits during the halving. will happen in 2024.
another year will enter the era of the halving period, of course it is true as you said that it will coincide with the gradual increase of bitcoin, until 2025 where a renewable ATH will be formed. because time is not so long as you said too, so this is an opportunity to continue to buy and hold and no longer need to wait for a correction to occur to buy, because the opportunity to continue to save will be lost by continuing to delay.
some say the halving will occur in 2024 and a new ATH will be created and some say that the halving will start in 2024 and ATH will be reached in 2025. I believe the halving will come soon but the fact is that currently the price of bitcoin is still stuck below $ 30k for quite a long time, meaning that until now there have been no large-scale purchases that have made bitcoin prices slowly rise. please remember, this is the crypto market and anything can happen. bullish can come faster or it can come slower.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1252
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The halving has indeed been proven several times to make pump prices and of course next year it can become an ATH record again, to reach a new record price of course this year must be closed positively or close to recovery which is around $55k, if at the end of the year the price can reach $55k then when the halving will easily up to $100k.
Several? What's notable is only the previous one because of the huge price increase way back 2017 if I remember the year correctly. Also it won't be guaranteed that same thing would happen, it is just the idea of the previous one. Familiar of the ETH fork after that? Nothing much happened. Indeed Bitcoin and Ethereum are different currencies but both are the top cryptos in this industry so we may have the same expectations. With that, why is there a difference with the result? I think it is because of several factors during the halving; economic situation or state and other existing problems which may affect the demand as well for this industry. Therefore, we should still manage our exoectations on this anticipation 'coz anything could happen either good or bad.
full member
Activity: 1162
Merit: 106
The halving has indeed been proven several times to make pump prices and of course next year it can become an ATH record again, to reach a new record price of course this year must be closed positively or close to recovery which is around $55k, if at the end of the year the price can reach $55k then when the halving will easily up to $100k.
full member
Activity: 854
Merit: 100
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-snip-
I realise when the bull market takes off will also be dependant on price action, for example if there is another black swan event at the start of 2024 then this could result in a delay like in 2020. But otherwise do you generally think the bull market will start before or after the halving, or otherwise more or less immediately after the halving, and do you think there will be any other relevant factors other than the halving?

Interested to hear your thoughts...

I believe that the bull season will take place a few months after the Halving and it will probably push Bitcoin price up to its ATH or even beyond it. Even if there was a price decrease before the Halving and then there was an increase in price after the Halving, but it's just a small wave, I don't think it's necessary to take it too seriously.
therefore in 2023 we are still given the opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin or altcoins,
because if you look at history this is the right accumulation time before we see a really great bullrun,
maybe 2024 or maybe 2025, which is a strategy for the worst too you have to be prepared,
because bullrun might not come, so stay alert and always monitor.
sr. member
Activity: 1106
Merit: 391
-snip-
I realise when the bull market takes off will also be dependant on price action, for example if there is another black swan event at the start of 2024 then this could result in a delay like in 2020. But otherwise do you generally think the bull market will start before or after the halving, or otherwise more or less immediately after the halving, and do you think there will be any other relevant factors other than the halving?

Interested to hear your thoughts...

I believe that the bull season will take place a few months after the Halving and it will probably push Bitcoin price up to its ATH or even beyond it. Even if there was a price decrease before the Halving and then there was an increase in price after the Halving, but it's just a small wave, I don't think it's necessary to take it too seriously.
hero member
Activity: 3038
Merit: 617

Since majority seem to have voted six months later, would you buy BTC 6 months after halving or now that price seem to have bottomed?

I kind of seeing that it may start earlier actually just this mid 2023 where debt ceiling crisis could be a catalyst. Anything can happen really after June 1st thats why I'm banking on it and voted it has started already.  Grin
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