Bitcoin can deliver 100% returns to investors in 2020 and may rise significantly in the five months until May’s block reward halving, a new report claims.
In its forthcoming 2020 Crypto Outlook, market research firm Fundstrat Global Advisors said it believed that the halving was not yet “priced into” the Bitcoin price.
Fundstrat expects over 100% BTC gainsThe report is currently only available to the firm’s clients, with key findings uploaded to Twitter by co-founder Tom Lee on Jan 10.
“For 2020, we see several positive convergences that enhance the use case and also the economic model for crypto and Bitcoin — thus, we believe Bitcoin and crypto total return should exceed that of 2019,” an excerpt states.
Fundstrat continued:
“In other words, we see strong probability that Bitcoin gains >100% in 2020.”
The factors Lee and others identified focus on geopolitical tensions and the upcoming United States presidential elections, in addition to the halving.
Fundstrat took its cue from events last year, noting BTC/USD hit its high point amid tensions around Facebook’s Libra digital currency and negative comments on Bitcoin by president Donald Trump.
Bull catalyst or “non-event”?
As Cointelegraph reported, geopolitical factors form the basis for other commentators’ bullish Bitcoin price scenarios for this year.
As regards the impact of the halving, however, pundits are less united. Last month, Jason Williams, co-founder at digital asset fund Morgan Creek Digital, said May would prove to be a “non-event” for Bitcoin.
Williams appeared to contradict fellow co-founder Anthony Pompliano, who a month previously had claimed that even at $8,750, Bitcoin was yet to have the halving priced in.
https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/bitcoin-can-gain-100-2020-halving-not-priced-says-fundstrat....
There were suspect news stories published in 2019 which may have been specifically designed to depress the value of bitcoin.
We had reports of binance offices in shanghai being raided which later were confirmed as false. Articles published about google achieving quantum supremacy, allowing them to solve problems similar to encryption brute forcing, which somewhat coincided with bitcoin price drops on two separate occasions.
The motive behind suspect crypto news published in 2019 remains undetermined.
It is possible wealthy institutional investors had their media contacts publish news to depress the price of bitcoin. To create a lower buy in point. With the end goal of maximizing profits from bitcoin's 2020 halving.
Now whale media contacts may be publishing bullish news on bitcoin to maximize profits in the opposite direction.
News articles published by the media are by far one of the most underrated sources of market manipulation.