I don't think you got my point.
First of all, lets ignore potential high BTC price, I'm specifically referring to situation where block subsidies are irrelevant or non existent.
This system is internally conflicted. To dumb it down: to keep small blocks (and for LN to get/keep traction) you need high fees (the smaller the block-size, the higher the fees). While users need low fees (otherwise BTC becomes completely unattractive and will lose to altcoins/fiat).
It looks like I did not understand in then. However, scaling via the block size limit does not ensure adequate fees either. Why should I include a 'decent fee' when there is so much space in the blocks and my transaction is most likely going to be confirmed 'soon-ish' (transactions that aren't urgent)? This is definitely not my area of expertise. You want to talk about economics in the wrong thread.
I am talking about two megabytes specifically. Stop creating straw man arguments of doomsday scenarios if we increase the blocksize, we can increase the blocksize to two megabytes and we should.
It is not a straw-man because I'm talking about the block size limit as a way of scaling. I'm not going to explain why Segwit is better than 2 MB block size limit once more.
How do you know the rate of adoption, or for that matter the rate of technological progress. I would say that this is a unqualified statement, I am saying increase the blocksize today according to the technological limits that exist today.
Right back at you: How do you know the rate of adoption? You don't. I at least on the other have done some research in this field. Unless something new comes up in the next 5-10 years the technological advancement of processing power (as an example) will slow down. This is why Bitcoin needs to be prepared for worst-case scenarios when scaling or pretty much applying any critical upgrades/changes.
First of all we can definitely afford to increase the blocksize to two megabytes in terms of hardrive space today, you should know better then to use that argument, and again I am saying that it can reflect the technological limits of today.
Read the first part of my post.
Increasing the blocksize limit to two megabytes is possible, and will not cause any sort of doomsday for Bitcoin. If Core refuses to do so the community, miners and business will do so themselves. Bitcoin is freedom.
It probably won't because Gavin implemented a 'bad' workaround for the quadratic scaling problem.
I do not see any reason why the "Classic Solution" can not work. Just increase the blocksize, increase it again when we need to, the market will find its own natural equilibrium.
This idea that we can not scale Bitcoin to the whole world today therefore we should not scale Bitcoin any more directly today, allowing a "fee market" to develop, I think is intrinsically flawed.
The above statements directly contradict one another. You are in favour of market dynamics when it comes to one aspect of bitcoin, and yet against it when in respect of another. And yet you constantly cite market dynamics as an overriding principle, and as the impetus for blocksize increases (and for which you provide no meaningful evidence)
He doesn't make sense either way. If we are to believe in the market dynamic then the 'fee market' would develop naturally.
So LN is not meant to be a scaling solution? If the average Joe can't use blockchain to buy his 'coffee' due to high fees and can't use LN due to high fees x2 (fee for opening and for closing the channel) for one time transaction, then this roadmap is a joke even in the short term and LN will never get any traction among regular users.
And it wouldn't even work for micro transactions. If faucets are still around they would likely work as they do now, because it's cheaper and simpler than using LN. If the idea is that everyone would have to accumulate more significant amount of BTC in order to make (overpriced) transaction, then, whatever that is, it's not scaling.
Your definition of 'high fees' is wrong. Your understanding of LN is lacking and you think that LN is expensive. LN is supposed to be both faster and cheaper than transacting on the main chain. Without the LN (or similar solutions) Bitcoin does not really have a 'decentralized global future'.