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Topic: Bitcoin crashes when those investing realise 2 things - page 4. (Read 10472 times)

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
Knowing that a dollar bill can be divided into 100 pennies does not change my opinion of dollars.


And what if it was decided one day that it could be divided into 1000?

Dividing a dollar into 1000 (or even 1,000,000) is not the same thing as debasement. Not the same thing at all. Just think about it for a while.

No, but for the sake of argument we are assuming that the dollar is like Bitcoin and limited to a certain number of dollar units.

So dollars are limited to a certain number of dollar units?  That makes this hard to explain:



So, would your criticism of the dollar be made moot if a superdollar was created which was worth say 1 million normal dollars?

Where did I criticize the dollar?  I only showed a graph that indicates the number of dollar units has been drastically increasing, which directly contradicted your claim.

But, let's assume I did.  Making a 1 million dollar bill would not be any different from 1 million $1 bills other than it is slightly cheaper to produce and move around.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
In the real world selling sonmething that is not gold when you want to sell more you will receive less, but gold, if you have 1.000.000$ in gold you will receive the real price of gold and if you want to sell less you will receive less money percentually.

Which statement is true:

A) 1 btc < (.5 btc + .5 btc)
B) 1 btc = (.5 btc + .5 btc)
C) 1 btc > (.5 btc + .5 btc)

legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1000
1. The fact that only 21 million coins can be mined (assuming that does not get altered) is irrelevant when they can be sliced up into 100,000,000 sub units.

2. That there have already been discussions about increasing the divisibility.


When exchanges start working in sub units it may dawn on people that the scarcity argument used to promote Bitcoin is disingenuous rubbish.

Lol. Divisibility doesnt mean the price wont go to the same price. If it werent ultra-divisible, the price would be like $10 because no one would want a coin that can only divide down to, say, $1 of buying power.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
First: OP is possibly trolling.

Second: I'm nonetheless surprised by the response in here, which universally seems to say that increasing divisibility cannot possibly alter the valuation of each "individual" bitcoin.

I'm not sure it's that simple. Time for a thought experiment.

Let's assume, instead of a fixed number of decimal places, i.e. a fixed degree of divisibility, divisibility is permanently growing, say: 1 additional decimal place per day; each day, the number of sub-units increases by factor 10.

Does this still not influence the valuation of the base unit?

From a formal point of view, it shouldn't make a difference, I suppose (although I suspect calculating future values of the base unit, which necessarily equals the sum of the subunits, might become more difficult). However, keep in mind that the valuation of any object is determined by the market, and I am not at all sure if the idea of the number of subunits tending towards infinity will not affect the valuation of the base unit.

Thought experiment over.

Nobody proposed that divisibility should increase constantly, of course. But I propose that, if the market had reason to believe that divisibility could be increased at will, it might after all have a similar reaction as in my 'infinite divisibility' scenario above.

Very interested to hear your thoughts on this.

No.  Bitcoin could support infinite digits using floating point numbers.  This would probably be bad for a lot of technical reasons but it doesn't change the value of the whole units.
1.0 = 1.00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 00

Most gold coins are minted in 1 oz down to 1/10 oz denominations.  With improved technology it would be possible to mint smaller coins say 1/50 oz or 1/200 oz coins.   Would a 1/200 oz coin on the market make the price of gold fall? 

The US government currently issues pennies as the smallest sub unit of the dollar. As a cost saving measure say they ended the penny (as other countries have already done).  The divisbility of a dollar would be reduced by a factor of 5x from 1/100th of a dollar to 1/20th of a dollar.  Do you think that would increase the purchasing power of a dollar? Would you expect prices on the shelves fall to 1/5th their current price?
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
First: OP is possibly trolling.

Second: I'm nonetheless surprised by the response in here, which universally seems to say that increasing divisibility cannot possibly alter the valuation of each "individual" bitcoin.

I'm not sure it's that simple. Time for a thought experiment.

Let's assume, instead of a fixed number of decimal places, i.e. a fixed degree of divisibility, divisibility is permanently growing, say: 1 additional decimal place per day; each day, the number of sub-units increases by factor 10.

Does this still not influence the valuation of the base unit?

From a formal point of view, it shouldn't make a difference, I suppose (although I suspect calculating future values of the base unit, which necessarily equals the sum of the subunits, might become more difficult). However, keep in mind that the valuation of any object is determined by the market, and I am not at all sure if the idea of the number of subunits tending towards infinity will not affect the valuation of the base unit.

Thought experiment over.

Nobody proposed that divisibility should increase constantly, of course. But I propose that, if the market had reason to believe that divisibility could be increased at will, it might after all have a similar reaction as in my 'infinite divisibility' scenario above.

Very interested to hear your thoughts on this.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
The idea that there are suddenly more units is just a red herring.

Of course that was the intent of the OP.  He has jumped from one reason why Bitcoin will fail to another.  Strange how much time he spends on a forum devoted to the thing he "knows" will fail.

A troll is as a troll does.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
All this talk of integer math... seems so redundant.

The decimal number system quite happily has no problem with the concept of there being 21m BTC, the software at the moment only shows 9 digits of precision past the decimal point. In future it may need to show more. Nothing changes.

The idea that there are suddenly more units is just a red herring.

legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
oil sheik who hate the US dollar , and will trade oil in btc if it has Enough mass.
just a matter of time.


legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
1. The fact that only 21 million coins can be mined (assuming that does not get altered) is irrelevant when they can be sliced up into 100,000,000 sub units.

2. That there have already been discussions about increasing the divisibility.


When exchanges start working in sub units it may dawn on people that the scarcity argument used to promote Bitcoin is disingenuous rubbish.

I'm not one to criticize anyone... but damn, this has gotta be the stupidest statement I've ever heard from I hope an otherwise intelligent individual.
I think the statement itself negates the possibility of intelligence.
hero member
Activity: 632
Merit: 500
1. The fact that only 21 million coins can be mined (assuming that does not get altered) is irrelevant when they can be sliced up into 100,000,000 sub units.

2. That there have already been discussions about increasing the divisibility.


When exchanges start working in sub units it may dawn on people that the scarcity argument used to promote Bitcoin is disingenuous rubbish.

I'm not one to criticize anyone... but damn, this has gotta be the stupidest statement I've ever heard from I hope an otherwise intelligent individual.
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
Which statement is true:

A) 1 btc < (.5 btc + .5 btc)
B) 1 btc = (.5 btc + .5 btc)
C) 1 btc > (.5 btc + .5 btc)
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
Quote
Bitcoin cultists talk of individual Bitcoins being worth hundreds of thousands of dollars eventually,  which would mean very few people would ever own a whole Bitcoin and so would see their Bitcoin wealth expressed as sub units of a Bitcoin. Now let's say that it is decided that instead of 100M, that a bitcoin can now be divided into 1 billion sub units. As a result those people who hold any number of whole Bitcoins can buy 10x as much Bitcoin wealth from those who only have Bitcoin fractions. Goods priced in Bitcoins would obviously adjust, but there would be a period in which the imbalance would leave those with whole Bitcoins with a massive increase in purchasing power.

Dollar cultists talk of individual "Million-dollars" being worth millions of dollars eventually,  which would mean very few people would ever own a whole "Million-dollars" and so would see their "Million-dollar" wealth expressed as sub units of a "Million-dollars". Now let's say that it is decided that instead of 100M, that a "Million-dollars" can now be divided into "Cents". As a result those people who hold any number of whole "Million-dollars" can buy 10x as much "Million-dollar" wealth from those who only have "Dollars". Goods priced in "Million-dollars" would obviously adjust, but there would be a period in which the imbalance would leave those with whole "Million-dollars" with a massive increase in purchasing power.

Yeah, dude, millionaires and billionaires can buy more stuff than me.  No duh.
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
Let's say we're stranded on a desert island. I have a cheeseburger and you and 3 other guys are very hungry.


After negotiating for some time, it becomes clear that you all want the cheeseburger, and you're willing to trade every possession on your person for it. I, being the generous guy that I am, decide to cut it into 4 equal pieces and trade one to each of you, for 1/4 of your original offer.

The 3 other guys immediately agree to these terms and begin scarfing down their share of the burger. You, however, insist that I now have 4 burgers, so the burger as a whole is worth less, and refuse to pay the price (which you just a moment ago agreed to).

I sell the remaining piece of the burger to one of the other guys and you die of starvation.


The end.

+1
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
Um... You'd starve, too.  Huh

The desert island is a metaphor for being ignorant. I can leave any time I want.
Oh. So in this metaphor, you're willfully ignorant?  Tongue
Yes, the same reason I'm even posting in this thread, lol.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1015
Um... You'd starve, too.  Huh

The desert island is a metaphor for being ignorant. I can leave any time I want.
Oh. So in this metaphor, you're willfully ignorant?  Tongue
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1004
Ok... If OP is actually not trolling, I think what he/she is failing to understand (or failing to intuit) is that the private key controlling 1 BTC, currently 100,000,000 base units (satoshis), will always control those base units and any they're divided up into down the road. Divide the current base unit by a million, and the private key to 1 BTC now controls 100,000,000,000,000 base units. Since that's happening for everybody at the same time, the system retains the *exact* balance between all holders of bitcoin that it had before; ie, no price changes, no scarcity change.

My percentage of the whole doesn't change. Neither does anyone else's.

OP, are you saying that you think people would still demand the same number of base units for a good after a divisibility change is made? Imagine that for a sec... Say I'm selling a GPU for 1 BTC = 100,000,000 base units. We increase divisibility by a million. Are you saying I'd sell that GPU for 100,000,000 of the new base units, ie: 0.000001 BTC? Despite the fact that everyone still holds the same quantity of BTC as before the split, and despite the fact that there are the same quantity of resources in the economy?

It's all about percentages.

PS: If you're trolling, nice work... But that's the last you're getting out of me. I'm done here.
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
Um... You'd starve, too.  Huh

The desert island is a metaphor for being ignorant. I can leave any time I want.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1079
Gerald Davis
Let's say we're stranded on a desert island. I have a cheeseburger and you and 3 other guys are very hungry.


After negotiating for some time, it becomes clear that you all want the cheeseburger, and you're willing to trade every possession on your person for it. I, being the generous guy that I am, decide to cut it into 4 equal pieces and trade one to each of you, for 1/4 of your original offer.

The 3 other guys immediately agree to these terms and begin scarfing down their share of the burger. You, however, insist that I now have 4 burgers, so the burger as a whole is worth less, and refuse to pay the price (which you just a moment ago agreed to).

I sell the remaining piece of the burger to one of the other guys and you die of starvation.


The end.
Um... You'd starve, too.  Huh

He didn't tell the others the island wasn't uninhabited and on the other side there was a burger stand.  Actually it wasn't a very good metaphor and OP will likely use that as "proof" he is right.  That is what trolls do.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1015
Let's say we're stranded on a desert island. I have a cheeseburger and you and 3 other guys are very hungry.


After negotiating for some time, it becomes clear that you all want the cheeseburger, and you're willing to trade every possession on your person for it. I, being the generous guy that I am, decide to cut it into 4 equal pieces and trade one to each of you, for 1/4 of your original offer.

The 3 other guys immediately agree to these terms and begin scarfing down their share of the burger. You, however, insist that I now have 4 burgers, so the burger as a whole is worth less, and refuse to pay the price (which you just a moment ago agreed to).

I sell the remaining piece of the burger to one of the other guys and you die of starvation.


The end.
Um... You'd starve, too.  Huh
legendary
Activity: 896
Merit: 1001
Let's say we're stranded on a desert island. I have a cheeseburger and you and 3 other guys are very hungry.


After negotiating for some time, it becomes clear that you all want the cheeseburger, and you're willing to trade every possession on your person for it. I, being the generous guy that I am, decide to cut it into 4 equal pieces and trade one to each of you, for 1/4 of your original offer.

The 3 other guys immediately agree to these terms and begin scarfing down their share of the burger. You, however, insist that I now have 4 burgers, so the burger as a whole is worth less, and refuse to pay the price (which you just a moment ago agreed to).

I sell the remaining piece of the burger to one of the other guys and you die of starvation.


The end.
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