this time last year bitcoin went from $90 down to $70 and people were shouting that bitcoin craze was dying out.. then as october approached it went above $100, and then up up up.
you want to know why september-october is so important..
think about these three countries
thailand, costa rica, america.. then click this link
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fiscal_year#Chart_of_various_fiscal_yearsif your old enough to actually bother paying tax, then you will know
Well if you want to use fundamentals thats a great way to look at things, but lets add common logic with your fundamentals, I see bitcoins hitting 90 dollars by the end of the year. Let me tell you why.
Its what i like to call the Dell Dump. What is the Dell Dump? The Dell Dump is is the name I gave the situation where all companies involved in accepting bitcoin dump their coins for fiat. If you have been watching closely for the past 3 months steadily every 2 weeks the value of bitcoins drops 15 to 30 dollars and bounces back and forth 3 to 5 dollars for 2 weeks then drops again 15 to 30 dollars. You can also see it is not rebounding like it used to. Because companies like Dell are dumping their coins for fiat and NO ONE is actually buying enough coins to compensate the sell off from all these companies. Since no one really has a need or a want for Bitcoins it is slowly falling apart at the seams. It will not rebound like all the people hope. Until you believers do something about your ever so resilient Bitcoin or the developers find a way to secure a true demand for Bitcoins, you will not have to worry it will not make it to the 21 million release you will be lucky to see the next halving in rewards.
On top of the Dell Dump Bitcoin mining is not profitable anymore, and intelligent miners with small mines are no longer mining BTC, a lot of the pools are ripping members off, the rewards are getting smaller by the day and intelligent miners have found other ways to benefit from the machines they bought, and guess what they are doing, selling the crap out of Bitcoins.
Truth is truth, no demand, no reason to buy bitcoins.We already know the transaction is not faster, no one cares about anonymity except criminals. What the people want is ease and Bitcoin (which is not in its infancy anymore) is not faster in any way. It is actually much more complex for most people. We as humans especially ones with money are lazy and stupid. The rich people want everything at their fingertips, ease of use, ease of everything, they want to be able to let someone else do all the work for them. With all the scammer, hackers, and swindlers in the bitcoin industry, you cant trust anyojhne to do anything right now. So if you dont have even just a little bit of coding experience, getting into bitcoin is simply put, to complex for the people we need here and involved. Its easier for them to just use their visa and buy what they want.
So yes the bitcoin craze is dying, and will continue to do so until it evolves a true demand. Dont listen to the idiots who just call it a bubble, they are stupid and base their response on hope and not common logic. Logic tells you the truth, it will not do what it did last year or the year before, if you have been watching this year news releases have had very little effect on Bitcoin, the additional companies we have picked up (LIKE DELL) have not helped Bitcoin but rather hurt us very badly, so badly the price has done nothing but fall fall fall. There has been absolutely no good honest work from the development team in 5 years that has done anything for the security of the coins future. We have NO DEMAND for bitcoin. without a demand it will fail Pure and simple
I unfortunately fear Bitcoin will end up being the longest running pump and dump scheme the world has ever seen.