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Topic: Bitcoin Forecast, Bitcoin Speculation & Bitcoin Technical Analysis. Up or DOWN? - page 73. (Read 540249 times)

hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.
So, during the weekend it goes down, if and only if old_engineer is paying attention? Smiley

Edit: It's going down. Now that you're out of bitcoins, you could stabilize it upward a bit Tongue (Or maybe you're already doing that?)
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250

We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! Cheesy
It's been really funny seeing people complain about market volatility literally every time I'm not stabilizing the market, like this past weekend when I was otherwise occupied.
Can I subscribe to your newsletter to find out when you're occupied? Smiley
Hah, I hadn't realized that my goal of a boring market would impact speculators that want volatility, and would get bored watching a line that doesn't move.  Sometimes I feel dense. Smiley

Looks like 2 days without a rise was enough to curb the enthusiasm, and the price has actually dropped a little.  The weekend is coming! The weekend is coming!
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.

We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! Cheesy
It's been really funny seeing people complain about market volatility literally every time I'm not stabilizing the market, like this past weekend when I was otherwise occupied.
Can I subscribe to your newsletter to find out when you're occupied? Smiley

He admitted that he is now out of BTC needed for the stabilisation Smiley
BUY BUY BUY Smiley
zby
legendary
Activity: 1594
Merit: 1001

We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! Cheesy
It's been really funny seeing people complain about market volatility literally every time I'm not stabilizing the market, like this past weekend when I was otherwise occupied.
Can I subscribe to your newsletter to find out when you're occupied? Smiley

He admitted that he is now out of BTC needed for the stabilisation Smiley
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.

We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! Cheesy
It's been really funny seeing people complain about market volatility literally every time I'm not stabilizing the market, like this past weekend when I was otherwise occupied.
Can I subscribe to your newsletter to find out when you're occupied? Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
Shit.... That's a lot of volume.  However, I think it's more realistic to expect similar amounts.  Because the USD market is so much bigger and it dominates fiat-btc exchange, USD holders can easily control the price.  Therefore, volume in USD is more reliablly comparable over the long term (at least so far).
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 251
FirstBits: 168Bc
People say funny things about volume. When bitcoin was worth 10x as much as today, we might expect the volume in dollars to be 10x more. Let's compare volume during time periods with comparable prices, between $2 and $4...




Nothing unusual there
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250

I think I can speak for all Bitcoin users around the world that we certainly appreciate such a magnanimous gesture.
It's not entirely magnanimous since I just cashed out at a slight profit, making up for all my losses on the way down from $17.  But it'll be nice to not watch the charts like a hawk for a while, kind of looking forward to it, really.


We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! Cheesy

It's been really funny seeing people complain about market volatility literally every time I'm not stabilizing the market, like this past weekend when I was otherwise occupied.

And for the paranoid out there, I'm not that big of a player, with just barely 5 digits USD invested, though I've been 2-5% of all volume on mtgox the past few months.  2% is 42,000 btc over a month, or 1400 per day.  Getting three bids and three asks of 250 btc fulfilled is 1500, which really isn't that much considering that I only try to make $0.02 or so per trade, which comes out to 1500*.02 = $30 - far less than my time is worth, honestly.  Total bitcoin volume seems fairly low to me, as you can see if you look at bitcoincharts.com and click "volume in currency".  It's still lower than it was this past summer.  Bitcoin is still a toddler and barely walking.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
new massive wall at 3.5 means?

I take it as a challenge

That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.

I agree that the big sell wall will help dampen enthusiasm, which is good for bitcoin.  The price has been going up almost continuously for a month, setting an expectation of more price increases.  Though I think another bubble would be short-lived, it would be better to just not have one at all.

I've gone bearish, oddly enough, and I think the price is going to dip below $3 again sometime in the next month due to the holidays.  I've sold a few thousand btc over the past 2 days to keep the price below $3.25 (and my handiwork is clearly visible on the charts, which amuses me).  I'm all out now, and at a significant profit (I bought this batch at $2.2x).  I'll likely scoop up the coins again when/if they drop below $3, and if the price never drops again, well, I'm fine with that too - I'm just trying to keep the price relatively stable so that bitcoin is a useable currency.

I think I can speak for all Bitcoin users around the world that we certainly appreciate such a magnanimous gesture.

We found the Manipulator Stabilizer! Cheesy
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
new massive wall at 3.5 means?

I take it as a challenge

That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.

I agree that the big sell wall will help dampen enthusiasm, which is good for bitcoin.  The price has been going up almost continuously for a month, setting an expectation of more price increases.  Though I think another bubble would be short-lived, it would be better to just not have one at all.

I've gone bearish, oddly enough, and I think the price is going to dip below $3 again sometime in the next month due to the holidays.  I've sold a few thousand btc over the past 2 days to keep the price below $3.25 (and my handiwork is clearly visible on the charts, which amuses me).  I'm all out now, and at a significant profit (I bought this batch at $2.2x).  I'll likely scoop up the coins again when/if they drop below $3, and if the price never drops again, well, I'm fine with that too - I'm just trying to keep the price relatively stable so that bitcoin is a useable currency.

I think I can speak for all Bitcoin users around the world that we certainly appreciate such a magnanimous gesture.
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
new massive wall at 3.5 means?

I take it as a challenge

That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.

I agree that the big sell wall will help dampen enthusiasm, which is good for bitcoin.  The price has been going up almost continuously for a month, setting an expectation of more price increases.  Though I think another bubble would be short-lived, it would be better to just not have one at all.

I've gone bearish, oddly enough, and I think the price is going to dip below $3 again sometime in the next month due to the holidays.  I've sold a few thousand btc over the past 2 days to keep the price below $3.25 (and my handiwork is clearly visible on the charts, which amuses me).  I'm all out now, and at a significant profit (I bought this batch at $2.2x).  I'll likely scoop up the coins again when/if they drop below $3, and if the price never drops again, well, I'm fine with that too - I'm just trying to keep the price relatively stable so that bitcoin is a useable currency.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.

There are many, many more people speculating on Bitcoin now than when we went to 30. This alone will make it much more difficult for such violent price changes. If the price would go to 3.40 everyone who bought at 3.30 would be placing asks at 3.50 creating a lot of friction. Speculators are exactly what prevents what you call a "wonderful turn of events for speculators".

I agree with you to a degree.  Let me clarify that I'm not suggesting that if the price breaks 3.4 then the price will immediately slide all the way up the ask side.  I do think, however, that the price pushing through the 3.5 zone will likely erode tendencies to place asks, and as the price continues to rise, that tendency will likely further erode until we do find ourselves in the same situation we were in from April to June.

I think the same more or less. If we hit 3.5 it will fly to 4. I'm long BTC:)

If my optimistic outlook turns out, then if you buy now, and ignore the market for an entire year, when you return those bitcoins will be worth ~50% more.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.

There are many, many more people speculating on Bitcoin now than when we went to 30. This alone will make it much more difficult for such violent price changes. If the price would go to 3.40 everyone who bought at 3.30 would be placing asks at 3.50 creating a lot of friction. Speculators are exactly what prevents what you call a "wonderful turn of events for speculators".

I agree with you to a degree.  Let me clarify that I'm not suggesting that if the price breaks 3.4 then the price will immediately slide all the way up the ask side.  I do think, however, that the price pushing through the 3.5 zone will likely erode tendencies to place asks, and as the price continues to rise, that tendency will likely further erode until we do find ourselves in the same situation we were in from April to June.
legendary
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
These massive 'fake' walls are often removed once enough pressure builds on them anyway. Both going up and going down. So we shall see.
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
You are WRONG!
new massive wall at 3.5 means?

I take it as a challenge

That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.


you sir are wrong, people would create more asks, and thereby creating a "wall". and the price would only spike, and not come up very high. also if the price rise, people would move their bid, and there by removing much of the bid-presure.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
new massive wall at 3.5 means?

I take it as a challenge

That guy is doing everyone who wants to see bitcoin become an online currency a huge favor.  Without that wall, if the exchange rate were to go over 3.40 the price could very quickly get out of control again, run up in another giant speculative bubble, and subsequently come violently crashing back down.  While that'd be a wonderful turn of events for speculators it would deliver another trust-destroying blow to the prospects of bitcoin as a currency.

donator
Activity: 2772
Merit: 1019
lulz... all for a measly 2 bitcoins!
A 2 bitcoins that cant even be distributed with the given parameters. For some of us 2 BTC is a significant amount. Do not underestimate what people will do for a bitcoin or two.

That concept has always been fascinating to me. Do people realize that you can't buy a McDonald's Happy Meal with the equivalent of one bitcoin right now?

Or the other way around: do people realize you can buy a bitcoin for the price of a happy meal?

I discovered for myself (when 1 BTC was about 2 EUR), that I value 1 BTC much higher than 2 EUR and subsequently made a bank transfer to intersango right away Wink
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
new massive wall at 3.5 means?

I take it as a challenge
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 102
Bitcoin!
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
^SEM img of Si wafer edge, scanned 2012-3-12.
I didn't do it for the 2 BTC per se. I did it because I saw a competition, and had some idea for a good way to win. The 2 BTC would be nice though Tongue
Time will tell who won (or not). Smiley
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