but I know Bitcoin will be priced at $5000+ when the next halving hits but no body believes me to invest on my opinion and nothing hurts more than having the knowledge but with no power to take action, it's like going back in time but yet being unable to do any jack regardless and that is my life now.
Investment does take capital, unfortunately opinions only count this way really. After using windows 1.0 I realised that it'd change alot for consumers, I couldnt know for sure it'd be a profit but on all probability the shares I thought were a buy. However I didnt really have money or knowledge of the market and by the time I did the price had risen. I didnt buy, MSFT shares kept going up for another five years after. Just always happens that way, if people dont have massive doubts on an idea to the point even bright ideas become obscure its abnormal really
I doubt if current market cares about the 2000BTC mining reward because even if miners were getting 50 coins as the reward the demand is so high and growing by the hour that it wouldn't have made any difference.
No I think it matters, the effect is compounded by speculation. So there is lower supply and demand becomes more apparent, speculators take heed and increase ahead of what they see as a positive trend they can rely on for a return. This accelerates the demand and feedback means the demand is increased in that moment.
Just like nasty feedback on a microphone, at some point it becomes too much and the market is over speculating and price over develops to a point it must adjust and take profits or pullback to a commonly agreed point between supply and demand again.