We don't know for sure whether the effects of the halving will be felt before or after the halving occurs. However, most people say that the effects of the halving will have a positive impact on the bitcoin market after the halving, usually it takes months before that happens. But whatever time it happens what I do now is buy bitcoin and hold it for a long period of time. Maybe I will release a small amount of bitcoin I hold in a bull market to make a profit and then buy it back in a bear market.
If we look at the history of previous halvings, it impacts the price, which can soar high after the halving. But this time, maybe we need to wait until the end of the year to see how the price develops. But hopefully not until the end of the year, Bitcoin prices will start to increase and will be in the $30k-$40k price range.
The current Bitcoin price is still very low, while at the last ATH, the Bitcoin price reached $60k. So there is a price difference that is too big so the Bitcoin price needs to be increased in the next few months until the beginning of the year. At least the price of Bitcoin needs to be in the range of $40k-$50k until the time leading up to the halving and only after the halving will the price of Bitcoin start to move upwards slowly or immediately increase significantly.
And it is true that we are still allowed to buy Bitcoin at low prices. If we can use it to our advantage, we will get big profits when the Bitcoin price is at its ATH. The important thing is that we already have a target price at which we want to sell the Bitcoin.
According to you, we need bitcoin to reach 40k$-50k$ before halving, only then will we have a bull market after halving? In case bitcoin remains below $30k when the halving occurs, we will have no bull market?
Halving can be considered a catalyst for us to have a bullish market, but that does not mean that when the halving is approaching, the market needs to increase and must increase. I do not believe that the halving is the only catalyst or factor influencing this market. I even believe that when the halving happens, bitcoin will still not be able to surpass $35k and will maintain that level for a while after the halving before the bull season arrives.