It's a conservative estimates for me, and I chooses this price range because it seems that the somewhat the bullish sentiments has stop as we have been in the sideways again. So this could last maybe a couple of weeks or until This November. It's not that bad though, maybe we are just gathering another momentum and if there is a big news in the December then we can simply shoot up again to $40,000 as this is the biggest resistance.
You are one of the few people who have a contrary opinion to the crowd that we will have a bull season before the halving and we will create new history. I've also seen some of these predictions on other social networks but not many people support them and most of these predictions come from people who are quite bullish on the ETF. Many believe the SEC will have to approve ETFs in January this year and that will trigger the bull season earlier than usual.
Everyone has their own opinion about the market and no one knows in advance what will happen, so the market will always have winners and losers. As for me, I still believe history will repeat itself again.