I'll bet for Gold as it is natural and everything else is HUMAN MADE!!
Gold has proven time to time over thousands of years and any attempt by Humans to over take Nature has failed out right for greed and fear again and again!! Bitcoin is one among followed by Sterling Pound, US Dollar and Euro to some extant. History is the proof!! it's the time which witness (not SegWit
) Boom and Bust.
The very most factor for every failure in past and in future as well is "Greed and Fear", Greed will bloom in search of growth leads to Boom at the cost of Blood, Sweat and Time of Wide Users in the name of inflation caused by Greedy Issuer and Fear will bust in search of value to maintain purchasing power at the cost of Blood, Sweat and Time of Wide Users. in both the Wide Users are Victims to the Issuer as Money and Governance Power will suppress Wide Users.
These is the Economics of World in simple terms!!
Only fact to be admire in this process is "Innovations" happening at every stage in every aspect of life. After all its part above eco-system of Survival for labour to most, Intellectual with Passion to Few and handful chosen investors is the recipe of Innovation.
Why Bitcoin (or any of it's fork) will fail quickly in my opinion.
- It is not decentralized as it claims -- Everything is in the hands of Miners and Dev Community, even if new fork claims (Bitcoin Gold) to be decentralized 80% is pre-mine inheritance from Bitcoin and remaining 20%, it's witness to "
The Pareto principle" of 80/20 Rule, where 80% of creation is held by 20% of people mined cheap with less difficulty and remaining 20% is what 80% of people has to fight for high cost of mining and difficulty in Block chain.
- Cost of Capital is huge -- Even when there is no ecosystem developed or evolved for using as medium of transactions for Goods and Services in Common places of Lively hood. The Cost of Capital which Bitcoin lenders seek in this forum to establish business is out of question. (proof: negative rating for my account).
- Cost Transaction and Time Taken for Transaction -- most important thing for Wide Users, may not be for handful people and institutions looking for alternative to USD for moving funds for there greedy cross border businesses every day in Trillions (1,000,000,000,000) so many zeros for just 1 trillion. Current USD based transaction system has limitations in future, that could be reason for
creating Satoshi Nakamoto in disguise in order to innovate, develop and evolve system for those handful people and institutions.
I'll stop here as most of the economic noble's will understand my thought process and seeds in there thinking capacity in order to perform there "Karma's".