He is talking about intrinsic value. i.e. if it wasn't used as a currency, are there any other uses for it? If yes, what is the value that can be attributed for those uses?
BTC does have a very small intrinsic use or value which is to carry secure messages. I think this is possible, to securely encrypt a message on the blockchain that cannot be interfered with or compromised like a normal document.
Im not sure why people would value that especially but it is fairly unique to do, though I not sure its timeless as we may all just stop bothering with BTC network one day for some reason. Where as destroying gold is very hard to do and its use is much more applicable or common
I dont think either should be dismissed as worthless but the easiest way to value a product is cost of production. We just wont bother making any more if we arent paid our costs. Long term thats true, gold is related to the oil price as so much energy is required to first recover it, refine and then smelt to a high purity
Some think gold could can fall back to 200 but more obvious to people should be, do you think oil will go back to 20 dollars a barrel ? Realisitically that is just a dream and we know it and you cant expect gold to get cheaper every year. Can the same apply to BTC as it is also energy related to a lesser extent; this does rely on its usage as the paramount crypto currency, I dont think we'll opt to have none at all now we got one
Yes, even in the bitcoin forum we can prove ownership of accounts by signing a message from a bitcoin address. So that could be an intrinsic value for bitcoin.
In the case of oil, cost of production is a good approximate for the floor price because people will stop producing oil if it drops below that price. However, gold and bitcoins are different. Oil is consumed, and so demand is satisfied only by fresh production. In the case of gold/bitcoins, once they are produced they are always available in the market.
For eg - if the cost of gold production is $500/ounce, gold prices
could fall to $300 over the long term and stay at that price. All it means is that gold mines would shut down and we would be content with circulating the gold that has already been mined. Such a scenario might not happen with oil.