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Topic: Bitcoin: The Quants Dream. - page 3. (Read 5338 times)

member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
Hillariously voracious
September 19, 2011, 06:15:58 AM
#22
@ Gabi

Well, that is  definitely a very plausible proposal Smiley
full member
Activity: 214
Merit: 100
September 19, 2011, 06:15:25 AM
#21


I would humbly disagree with you here. The public key is made available to the world so amazon cannot deny that the key is is wrong since they will put it in global circulation. The maths and technicalities are complicated, granted, but thats why its equivilant is forensics. But true, anonymity cannot be guaranteed with Bitcoin, especially when you buy stuff in the real world, its just very difficut, not impossible. You can go through the delivery company check their records to see if it had been delivered.

Q: Who is going to make Amazon pay you?
Ans: A court which requires evidence of transactions.

[/quote]

As I said, it's a matter of technical forensics. If you had the signed address and you have the address you sent the BTC, you can check this on the blockchain with tge timestamp, compare to the timestamp on the receipt to have a convincing case. It's not impossible to find the truth on the blockchain.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1008
If you want to walk on water, get out of the boat
September 19, 2011, 06:09:56 AM
#20
Op is a troll
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 11
Hillariously voracious
September 19, 2011, 05:17:26 AM
#19
1)
Quick google search suggests that "pogs" indeed have value, that can be trivially expressed in U.S. Dollars.

Another quick search suggests that even   weirder things, such as age-riddled postage stamps, do have value (and fairly exuberant one at that)

2)
The fact that OP later tries to make an argument regarding "deflationary" economics suggests that the OP has some pretty weird assumptions about the nature and eventual extent of "bitcoin economy" and generally does not seem to realize that something that is essentially infinitely divisible can not operate in a manner entirely similar to "usual"  deflationary currencies (which were quite limited in their division ability), which is what makes this experiment in quasi-deflationary system interesting (also, in my humble opinion, considering bitcoin to be a currency is somewhat inaccurate).

Conclusion:
OP has presented no novel arguments and has fairly bizarre assumptions both as to "target" extent of "bitcoin economy" and value in general. OP has presented a fallacious argument that extends the behavior of typical "deflationary" currencies to something that, by its nature, can be neither really "deflationary" nor really "inflationary". OP also apparently believes that Bitcoin transactions are, by their default state, anonymous, which is simply factually incorrect (OP can educate himself using Block Explorer, which can be found via powers of Google).

OP's motives for posting his "warning" on this particular forum are completely indecipherable to me (I am, of course, operating under assumption that OP is sincere in his claims)

OP is thus best ignored.

Thank you, and have a nice and very safe day.

Goodbye.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 04:05:56 AM
#18
I would humbly disagree with you here. The public key is made available to the world so amazon cannot deny that the key is is wrong since they will put it in global circulation. The maths and technicalities are complicated, granted, but thats why its equivilant is forensics. But true, anonymity cannot be guaranteed with Bitcoin, especially when you buy stuff in the real world, its just very difficut, not impossible. You can go through the delivery company check their records to see if it had been delivered.

Q: Who is going to make Amazon pay you?
Ans: A court which requires evidence of transactions.
full member
Activity: 214
Merit: 100
September 19, 2011, 04:03:19 AM
#17
'in this hypothetical situation when you buy a book of Amazon, Amazon can provide you a receipt with unique bitcoin address and delivery address, signed by its private key. then you will be able to prove that the payment has been sent to that address, but the book has not been delivered (and it doesn't matter who ordered the book, paid for it or was going to receive it)'

Very technically clever but instantly the entire system then fails to be 'anonymous' if Amazon refuse to accept the key is correct. Also just to further bring you into reality - you would have to provide an address for them to send the book to.

You guys are living in an entirely theoretical world. Wake up.

I would humbly disagree with you here. The public key is made available to the world so amazon cannot deny that the key is is wrong since they will put it in global circulation. The maths and technicalities are complicated, granted, but thats why its equivilant is forensics. But true, anonymity cannot be guaranteed with Bitcoin, especially when you buy stuff in the real world, its just very difficut, not impossible. You can go through the delivery company check their records to see if it had been delivered.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 04:03:19 AM
#16
Banks were invented to help a handful of people control most of world's resources. Banks acting as third parties in transactions aren't the only thing banks do. Wake up Neo

Nutter!
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
September 19, 2011, 04:00:31 AM
#15
Banks were invented to help a handful of people control most of world's resources. Banks acting as third parties in transactions aren't the only thing banks do. Wake up Neo
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 03:54:19 AM
#14
Try to understand that when two people trade they both require proof of the transaction so as to have legal rights if either side does not pay. Its why we invented banks.

Bitcoin does not provide this very basic requirement.

I'm not entering into a discussion about passing keys or codes around as it is what you would call a 'recursive' argument. At some point proof will have to be provided of the transaction in both directions if either party fails to pay.
  
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
September 19, 2011, 03:51:36 AM
#13
GPG signing works only in theory?
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 03:47:40 AM
#12
'in this hypothetical situation when you buy a book of Amazon, Amazon can provide you a receipt with unique bitcoin address and delivery address, signed by its private key. then you will be able to prove that the payment has been sent to that address, but the book has not been delivered (and it doesn't matter who ordered the book, paid for it or was going to receive it)'

Very technically clever but instantly the entire system then fails to be 'anonymous' if Amazon refuse to accept the key is correct. Also just to further bring you into reality - you would have to provide an address for them to send the book to.

You guys are living in an entirely theoretical world. Wake up.
legendary
Activity: 1199
Merit: 1012
September 19, 2011, 03:42:22 AM
#11
Asset prices do drop in a deflationary economy. If you are attempting to challenge this assertion please explain.

It does not cost me '50 bucks' to transfer money across borders. It costs the current spread quoted in the FX markets which most traders would consider worth paying to avoid Bitcoins volatility.

Why are guys all so against people 'logging' your financial transactions. Some proof of payment tends to be quite useful in the real world. Its why we have invented things called receipts.

Real World Scenario:

1) I buy a book of Amazon for 10 Bitcoins.
2) I send Amazon 10 Bitcoins.
3) Book never turns up.
4) I ask Amazon where my book is.
5) Amazon ask me to prove I paid for the book then they will send it.
6) I can't because transactions are anonymous.
7) Entire system fails as no legal recourse exists.
 
You can see here that the entire premise of Bitcoin being anonymous has just been totally destroyed in 7 points. It is open to systemic fraud and confidence will never materialise.

Its not surprising that the entire Bitcoin 'project' was thought up by a cryptographer.

 

in this hypothetical situation when you buy a book of Amazon, Amazon can provide you a receipt with unique bitcoin address and delivery address, signed by its private key. then you will be able to prove that the payment has been sent to that address, but the book has not been delivered (and it doesn't matter who ordered the book, paid for it or was going to receive it)
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
September 19, 2011, 03:41:46 AM
#10
Asset prices do drop in a deflationary economy. If you are attempting to challenge this assertion please explain.

It does not cost me '50 bucks' to transfer money across borders. It costs the current spread quoted in the FX markets which most traders would consider worth paying to avoid Bitcoins volatility.

Why are guys all so against people 'logging' your financial transactions. Some proof of payment tends to be quite useful in the real world. Its why we have invented things called receipts.

Real World Scenario:

1) I buy a book of Amazon for 10 Bitcoins.
2) I send Amazon 10 Bitcoins.
3) Book never turns up.
4) I ask Amazon where my book is.
5) Amazon ask me to prove I paid for the book then they will send it.
6) I can't because transactions are anonymous.
7) Entire system fails as no legal recourse exists.
 
You can see here that the entire premise of Bitcoin being anonymous has just been totally destroyed in 7 points by someone without a Phd in Computer Science or even A-levels. It is open to systemic fraud and confidence will never materialise.

Its not surprising that the entire Bitcoin 'project' was thought up by a cryptographer in a lab somewhere.

 

Amazon will and should sign their payment address. You now have your proof.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 03:29:34 AM
#9
Asset prices do drop in a deflationary economy. If you are attempting to challenge this assertion please explain.

It does not cost me '50 bucks' to transfer money across borders. It costs the current spread quoted in the FX markets which most traders would consider worth paying to avoid Bitcoins volatility.

Why are guys all so against people 'logging' your financial transactions. Some proof of payment tends to be quite useful in the real world. Its why we have invented things called receipts.

Real World Scenario:

1) I buy a book of Amazon for 10 Bitcoins.
2) I send Amazon 10 Bitcoins.
3) Book never turns up.
4) I ask Amazon where my book is.
5) Amazon ask me to prove I paid for the book then they will send it.
6) I can't because transactions are anonymous.
7) Entire system fails as no legal recourse exists. Welcome to reality.
 
You can see here that the entire premise of Bitcoin being anonymous has just been totally destroyed in 7 points by someone without a Phd in Computer Science or even A-levels. It is open to systemic fraud and confidence will never materialise.

Its not surprising that the entire Bitcoin 'project' was thought up by a cryptographer in a lab somewhere.

 
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
September 19, 2011, 03:08:14 AM
#8
The myth with Bitcoin is that since a finite amount of coins are available this somehow benefits the consumer or empowers people.

All Bitcoin will lead to is a deflationary economy in which asset prices continuously drop killing investment. I actually suggest you go and learn some economics instead of further math or programming.

The comparison to Pogs was clearly psychological.

- they are a way to instantly send money across the world with very low fees - Already exists without risk of Bitcoin exchange rate fluctuations.
- they are decentralized; no authority can freeze or seize your assets - Also applied to gold
- they are pseudo-anonymous; contrary to traditional financial systems - Also applies to credit cards

This whole Bitcoin 'project' is a purely quant phenomena. Its inhabited by mathematicians and physicists who appear to be slightly detached from the economic realities of this world.

About 30% of the world have internet access. Internet currency. Great idea.


Wait, Bitcoin "leads to deflationary economy where prices drop" or "dies in 3 months"? You have to pick only one here.

- Name it. And if you mean bank transfer, don't be so delusional. It takes several days, costs upward from 50 bucks, not possible in some countries, and generally not feasible for any shopping. Name something that is at least close to btc in speed, cost, and lack of regulation.
- Right, but gold is hardly liquid, robbery-prone, and non-transferable.
- Credit cards are pseudo-anonymous? You got to be kidding here right? Or you are making it too easy. Calling the system which was invented to log and associate all financial transactions to an individual "anonymous" is pretty silly.

Sorry, you are completely wrong on all your "important" points.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
September 19, 2011, 02:46:42 AM
#7
This should be in Speculation Smiley
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 02:42:20 AM
#6
Lol nice one.

Miss all the important points and pick up on the last.

Quant boy.

newbie
Activity: 9
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 01:48:02 AM
#5

About 30% of the world have internet access. Internet currency. Great idea.


Pick up your hand bag and clear off. Hundreds of millions of people don't even have access to banks. Bitcoin serves a purpose for some people.
newbie
Activity: 28
Merit: 0
September 19, 2011, 01:33:09 AM
#4
The myth with Bitcoin is that since a finite amount of coins are available this somehow benefits the consumer or empowers people.

All Bitcoin will lead to is a deflationary economy in which asset prices continuously drop killing investment. I actually suggest you go and learn some economics instead of further math or programming.

The comparison to Pogs was clearly psychological.

- they are a way to instantly send money across the world with very low fees - Already exists without risk of Bitcoin exchange rate fluctuations.
- they are decentralized; no authority can freeze or seize your assets - Also applied to gold
- they are pseudo-anonymous; contrary to traditional financial systems - Also applies to credit cards

This whole Bitcoin 'project' is a purely quant phenomena. Its inhabited by mathematicians and physicists who appear to be slightly detached from the economic realities of this world.

About 30% of the world have internet access. Internet currency. Great idea.



 


newbie
Activity: 13
Merit: 0
September 18, 2011, 08:49:18 PM
#3
OP - you say most Bitcoiners don't understand economics, and then you go on to suggest that increased trading will produce more volatile markets? 

And you post a link to pogs... which are a commodity unlimited in supply, indivisible, non-fungible, and non-durable. A silly comparison to Bitcoins.

Maybe your own economics and understanding of money needs a bit of work?
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