If you believe history is repeating itself, it is possible. If I remember correctly, in 2020, bitcoin also dropped from $12k to $4k after bitcoin rose from $3k to $12k in 2019.
The halving is getting everyone very excited as it gets closer and closer to us, but let's not forget this year is very different from any other. I mean, economic crisis and high inflation is something bitcoin has never experienced before, so we also need to look closely at the market. I doubt if the economy can't recover, will the halving really be strong enough to make the market go up?
The 2019 season could very well be a good example of this year as well. I am expecting this year to be as good as it gets. I know that a lot of people are expecting it to be a bit different but I think it is going to be a good period to make some changes. It is going to be a bit difficult to see exactly the same but it could be similar. What parts of it could be similar?
Well, we could go 4x from the bottom or a bit less, of course 4x from the bottom would be 60k because bottom was 15k, so I expect a little less, like maybe 40k type of deal, but of course that also means that we won't go down 50% but less so it could be 30k again. That would mean we doubled from bottom, but also we dropped from the top of the year as well.
Changes or different scenario we might be able to encounter, then there's no one would be able to tell.We could make out assumptions yes but not something that we could really be relying on and telling that it
might really be happening for this year 2023. There's no way that we could make out some conclusive approach about on things whether they would really be happening or not.Basing up on price history or movement then we could really tell that there's significant changes in between year stretches on which you cant blame out people on not to make out those assumptions because we know that
price could really be moving on that pace on a particular time basing up on history.
Expect the unexpected just like on what others people been saying because there's no way on telling on what are the things that could happen along the way.We've seen different scenario
and situations for this year alone in 2023 which lots of fuds and lots of recognition or adoption news which did really make out some stir up on the market.