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Topic: Bitcoin will never reach $20 again - page 13. (Read 40348 times)

sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 250
September 28, 2011, 07:56:36 AM
Even if he's a troll he does have a point. Nice graphs there netrin!
  Can you give an example of where netrin has been trolling?
full member
Activity: 121
Merit: 100
September 28, 2011, 07:46:24 AM
At least 30% of $5 isn't as bad as 30% of $15. Well, it is for investors, but doesn't make the price drop look as dramatic.

Someone's not using log-scale charts....
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
September 28, 2011, 12:55:41 AM
This is why I have liquidated my position in Bitcoins.  There is very little upside going forward.  No forward moves of late have any traction whatsoever and demand continues to lag.  Way too little upside for such a risky proposition so my advice is to move into dollars.  Only a significant change in the economy could alter this forecast.

Even if he's a troll he does have a point. Nice graphs there netrin!
legendary
Activity: 1762
Merit: 1011
September 28, 2011, 12:46:33 AM
It's been staying above and tracing the 365 day SMA for the last few weeks. I'm not certain it's a support level, but it does seem like something

It looks like a line you drew. Does that line just change every time the market changes? And if yes, what's the point?


What netrin said.  Also, there's an issue with the 365 day SMA line on bitcoincharts.com only going back to around the 16th of August, so that's why it doesn't go all the way to the left of the chart.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 251
FirstBits: 168Bc
September 27, 2011, 07:22:37 PM
The number of dollars traded has gone down, which is what one expects when prices in dollars goes down. Fewer dollars chasing bitcoins means... supply and demand... lower prices. Even so, trade volume in dollars is higher today than in May when USD/BTC were equal. The number of bitcoins traded has gone up less dramatically, perhaps to be sold for fewer dollars.

$2 million USD / 380 000 BTC = $5.26/BTC. Imagine!

USD:

BTC:

legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
September 27, 2011, 12:24:44 PM
Remember, we mine 210,000 (or ONE MILLION DOLLARS /evil) worth of coins every month, even at $5.  Whether or not they are sold people feel that much richer on paper, and the market cap grows.  Unless bulls step up and start coughing up a LOT of fresh new money each month we're all just trading for an ever shrinking amount of dollars per coin.

Also, if you look at Bitcoin volume on Mt. Gox in currency, not Bitcoins, it's going down. That's striking, especially since there's so much 'bot trading moving the same money back and forth.  (In this era of high-frequency trading in the real world, trading volume means far less than it used to.)
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 251
FirstBits: 168Bc
September 27, 2011, 10:34:07 AM
It looks like a line you drew. Does that line just change every time the market changes? And if yes, what's the point?

It's a moving average. One year SMA (black) and three weeks (violet). We can bookmark this and track it for the next three weeks:

legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
September 27, 2011, 09:35:04 AM
It's been staying above and tracing the 365 day SMA for the last few weeks. I'm not certain it's a support level, but it does seem like something

It looks like a line you drew. Does that line just change every time the market changes? And if yes, what's the point?

If you're lucky.  Otherwise we'll have a repeat of we had last month.  Stagnates for a month, then drops another 20-30%. 

At least 30% of $5 isn't as bad as 30% of $15. Well, it is for investors, but doesn't make the price drop look as dramatic.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
September 27, 2011, 09:16:31 AM
Dammit are we just going to stay here at $4.8-4.9 forever?
I see that someone just put up a massive 7k ask wall that is probably fake.

If you're lucky.  Otherwise we'll have a repeat of we had last month.  Stagnates for a month, then drops another 20-30%.  Not sure it'll happen until Thanksgiving though, longs were only brutally punished over long weekends in the past.

Remember, we mine 210,000 (or ONE MILLION DOLLARS /evil) worth of coins every month, even at $5.  Whether or not they are sold people feel that much richer on paper, and the market cap grows.  Unless bulls step up and start coughing up a LOT of fresh new money each month we're all just trading for an ever shrinking amount of dollars per coin.
legendary
Activity: 2198
Merit: 1311
September 27, 2011, 09:10:23 AM
Dammit are we just going to stay here at $4.8-4.9 forever?
I see that someone just put up a massive 7k ask wall that is probably fake.

It isn't fake if somebody buys through it before its owner can remove it.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
bitcoin hundred-aire
September 27, 2011, 08:11:05 AM
Dammit are we just going to stay here at $4.8-4.9 forever?
I see that someone just put up a massive 7k ask wall that is probably fake.
legendary
Activity: 1762
Merit: 1011
September 27, 2011, 01:29:16 AM
Back above $5 now.  Woohoo!  Good times are back again.  Time to sell off all those recently purchased cheap bitcoins.  Hopefully the price goes down again.  Rinse, repeat, profit.

It's been staying above and tracing the 365 day SMA for the last few weeks. I'm not certain it's a support level, but it does seem like something:

full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
September 27, 2011, 01:02:27 AM
The key is knowing when it's at its maximum.  Too many people sell early.
legendary
Activity: 1692
Merit: 1018
September 27, 2011, 01:00:23 AM
Back above $5 now.  Woohoo!  Good times are back again.  Time to sell off all those recently purchased cheap bitcoins.  Hopefully the price goes down again.  Rinse, repeat, profit.
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
September 26, 2011, 10:09:59 PM
Below $5 now...(pats self on back)
legendary
Activity: 2212
Merit: 1008
September 08, 2011, 05:22:47 PM
maybe the thread should be renamed Bitcoin will never reach $12 again
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
September 08, 2011, 04:00:51 PM
Can't wait till we hit $20 after Bitcon so I can come back into this thread and LAUGH.

Guess your predictions were wrong?  Roll Eyes
Well since he has until the end of time to be correct - that prediction isn't wrong yet ..............

If project dies that would not be at the end of time.
legendary
Activity: 4592
Merit: 1851
Linux since 1997 RedHat 4
September 07, 2011, 10:45:36 PM
Can't wait till we hit $20 after Bitcon so I can come back into this thread and LAUGH.

Guess your predictions were wrong?  Roll Eyes
Well since he has until the end of time to be correct - that prediction isn't wrong yet ..............
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1473
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
September 07, 2011, 01:37:19 PM
Can't wait till we hit $20 after Bitcon so I can come back into this thread and LAUGH.

Guess your predictions were wrong?  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
September 07, 2011, 01:30:31 PM
The problem with all these claims is that, whether you are right or not, you're all pulling these figures out of your ass, with absolutely nothing to base them on. So, if it hits $20, or $8, or $2, yay for you, you guessed correctly. You still didn't actually contribute anything of actual value other than a guess, based on a hunch, based on nothing, with the sole purpose of irritating others.
I know you are, but what am I?  Tongue
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