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Topic: Bitcointalk stats update - Bubble over? - page 2. (Read 3437 times)

sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
September 17, 2013, 10:00:18 AM
#9
Chart will be updated again on the 21th of this month, but when I check the stats, I can already see that we are still stable.

I call (again) that >100 USD is a new stable platform for the bitcoin price. The bubble is over. We've entered the "Triple Digits Era"
possible a new move to 135-150 USD (bitstamp) is in the cards/charts in the next days Smiley

edit: the newchart will probably have some statistical analysis Wink

Thanks for the heads up. Your charts are great but your interpretation seems biased to the bullish side.

Even if most indicators you track flatten out that does not indicate a rising price perse.

For example the first half year of 2012 also showed flat lines for most indicators but price did trend downwards in that period.


I would also like to point out that after the collapse in 2011 there was also a brief period in August 2011 where price went up again and all indicators also stopped falling for a month or so. However, the collapse of price and all other indicators continued thereafter for many months.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
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September 17, 2013, 09:49:46 AM
#8
Chart will be updated again on the 21th of this month, but when I check the stats, I can already see that we are still stable.

I call (again) that >100 USD is a new stable platform for the bitcoin price. The bubble is over. We've entered the "Triple Digits Era"
possible a new move to 135-150 USD (bitstamp) is in the cards/charts in the next days Smiley

edit: the newchart will probably have some statistical analysis Wink
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
September 11, 2013, 08:53:06 AM
#7
Astonishing.
That's pretty anti-whale-pro-swarm theory, ha?

indeed Smiley
I never believed in the whale theory.

Off course, it's a factor. But maybe whales are atracted by swarms Wink
legendary
Activity: 1600
Merit: 1014
September 11, 2013, 08:47:26 AM
#6
Astonishing.
That's pretty anti-whale-pro-swarm theory, ha?
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
September 11, 2013, 08:46:30 AM
#5
Very interesting, thanks for sharing!

no problem Smiley I like statistics Cheesy

I try to do an update every 10 days (sometimes I don't have time for that)

Tomorrow I'll try to do regression analysis. Keep an eye on this topic for updates Wink
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
This bull will try to shake you off. Hold tight!
September 11, 2013, 08:40:59 AM
#4
Very interesting, thanks for sharing!
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
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September 11, 2013, 04:50:15 AM
#3
interesting, perhaps someone can run a regression analysis on this

I have the necessary software to do this. I'll give it a try
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1010
he who has the gold makes the rules
September 11, 2013, 12:58:23 AM
#2
interesting, perhaps someone can run a regression analysis on this
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
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September 10, 2013, 11:54:21 PM
#1
Here is the update of the bitcointalk stats versus bitcoin price (mtGox)

(These charts are "smoothed" for better reading, raw data link below each chart)


Raw data: http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://img594.imageshack.us/img594/8748/6mda.png


Raw data: http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://anonymouse.org/cgi-bin/anon-www.cgi/http://img109.imageshack.us/img109/6601/qj7o.png


***

The number of new members and posts are stabilizing. I think we are hitting the new low. Try to compare with the previous bubble. When these numbers are stable, the price will go up again in the next months...
We saw the new low of the price at 60 USD.

I declare that the bubble is over Cheesy

PS: if you find these charts usefull, consider a small donation Wink
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