The TU.SILVER Report
A comparison of Bitcoin-based Precious Metals Investments
Part 2 of 2
February 4th, 2013
Dear investor; it is our pleasure to present the following free report. Today’s date is Monday, February 4th, 2013. First let’s run down today’s price action in the markets:
Source Gold Silver
kitco.com $1668.00 $31.60
Mt. Gox Weighted Average $20.58078 $20.58078
Average Price in Bitcoins 81.0465 BTC/oz 1.5354 BTC/oz
The Crystal Ball says:
Metals were flat last week or marginally higher. The real story is the rise of Bitcoin, creating all-time lows in gold and silver and signaling a buying opportunity for those long bitcoins.
Today’s special is the finale of last week’s comparison of the various Precious Metals vehicles available to cryptocoin investors.
Here’s the list of funds we will discuss today:
Symbol Market Cap 7 day volume Spread Depth Proof of Ownership
GOLD 167 BTC 2.13 BTC 7.6% 7.8 + 16.8 Yes
BTC-GOLD 21.33 BTC 0.11 BTC 400% 2 + 0.7 Yes
LTC-SILVER 10.80 BTC 0.07 BTC 16.7% 0.0035 + 0.01 Yes
TU.SILVER 83.6 BTC 32.71 BTC 4.9% 9.5 + 9.7 Yes
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Investing in a Precious Metals fund has benefits over storing the metals yourself. However, not all precious metals funds were created equal. In this report we go over what you need to know to make an informed choice in the cryptocoin precious metals market.
Market Cap1. GOLD (187 BTC)
John Galt
2. TU.SILVER (83.6 BTC)
TU Group
3. BTC-GOLD & LTC-GOLD (21.33 BTC)
Carnth
4. LTC-SILVER (10.8 BTC)
SaltySpitoon
Market Cap is an important way to judge the relative staying power of a precious metals fund.
Larger funds:
• Pass savings to investors by placing bulk orders
• Can afford to place the metal in secure storage cost-effectively
• Are by their very nature run by more experienced fund managers
• Keyword: Professionalism
GOLD and TU.SILVER
GOLD by John Galt Asset Management owns two ounces of gold. It is the largest and most notable precious metals fund in the bitcoin community. TU.SILVER has half the market cap of GOLD and is the largest silver fund by almost 400%. It has only been in operation for two weeks.
Smaller funds:
While smaller funds cannot compete with larger funds in terms of price, they can often provide a level of friendliness and customer service that the major players cannot. For example, since LTC-SILVER is so small, SaltySpitoon has much more time to chat with customers and make them feel at home. So, being small can be seen as an advantage by some.
7-day Volume1. TU.SILVER (32.71 BTC)
TU Group
2. GOLD (2.13 BTC)
John Galt
3. BTC-GOLD & LTC-GOLD (0.11 BTC)
Carnth
4. LTC-SILVER (0.07 BTC)
SaltySpitoon
Consideration of the average volume in a stock is extremely important factor when choosing a precious metals fund. If your investment is illiquid, you may not be able to get in and out of your position at a fair price. And God forbid you need to sell to raise funds in an emergency. If you are not in a liquid fund, you will regret the day you were born.
Highly Liquid funds:
• Are always cheaper to buy
• You can sell your shares quickly for a higher price because there’s more interest in the fund.
• By definition there is a high social bonus to owning a liquid stock because you can talk about it with other investors.
TU.SILVER and GOLD
TU.SILVER is by far the volume leader. At over fifteen times the liquidity of GOLD, entering and exiting TU.SLIVER is extremely easy and you are very much more likely to get your money’s worth. Management has stated that they will fortify the bid upon demand, so if the standing market order for over 100 shares at and above spot price is not enough for you, additional volume will be added for you at your request. GOLD is also a relatively liquid fund, compared to the remaining funds.
Illiquid funds:
Illiquid funds are dangerous to invest in because you may not be able to get a fair price when entering the fund and may not be able to get a fair price when entering the fund. Caution and patience must be exercised. The careful use of limit orders can prevent the great majority of mistakes with an illiquid fund – that is, if your orders ever execute.
Spread1. TU.SILVER (0.9% to 4.9%)
TU Group
2. GOLD (5% to 7.6%)
John Galt
3. LTC-SILVER (16.7%)
SaltySpitoon
4. BTC-GOLD (400%)
Carnth
The spread offered by a security is simply by what percetage is the ask higher than the bid. Spread is an important concern when determining how fairly an asset is priced. Securities with a low spread are fairly priced assuming an efficient market. On the other hand, investing in an issue with a high spread implies that at least one side (the buyer or the seller) is getting ripped off. Either one side is paying too much to buy, or one side is selling too cheaply.
Low Spreads mean:
• You are getting your money’s worth whether you buy or sell.
• The asset is fairly priced.
• There is a high degree of interest in the issue.
TU.SILVER and GOLD
TU.SILVER is again the winner having a spread lower than GOLD’s while retaining a greater bid depth. This can be taken as hard evidence that investors in TU.SILVER can exit their position at a fair price any time they wish. Additionally, the tight spread implies investors are not paying any extra fees for their silver.
GOLD is also a winner here. GOLD’s contract states a spread of +/- 5%. The actual spread as seen here is around +/- 3.75%. To put this in perspective, a “somewhat reasonable” spread in a coin shop could be considered +/- 6%. At 7% most experienced investors would walk out.
Approach funds with a high (10% or greater) spread with extreme caution. When approaching a fund with an unreasonable spread, always consider what would happen if you needed to sell, but couldn’t sell at a fair price.
Depth1. GOLD (7.8 BTC + 16.8 BTC)
John Galt
2. TU.SILVER (9.5 BTC + 9.7 BTC)
TU Group
3. BTC-GOLD (2 BTC + 0.7 BTC)
Carnth
4. LTC-SILVER (0.0035 BTC + 0.01 BTC)
SaltySpitoon
Depth is an important consideration when you are seriously considering going long a stock. It’s related to the spread. Consider the above information carefully. If you wanted to invest 10 BTC, where could you put it? Investing into BTC-GOLD or LTC-SLIVER would cause the price to skyrocket. To make a long story short, you can’t move into a low-depth issue at a fair price. The sell side story is the same. What is the depth of the bid? If you need to sell and want a fair price, can the market handle your order? If you try to sell more than one share against LTC-SILVER, the price will collapse by over 70% to 0.01 BTC. This is not what you want to see in an investment.
Depth implies:
• The stock can handle your investment…
• …at a fair price
GOLD and TU.SILVER
While TU.SILVER offers a greater depth of bid than GOLD, it is GOLD which wins first place here. Clearly, an investor of size will be looking to buy GOLD if he is in a hurry. Simply put, if you had 15 BTC to invest right now, and could only choose one fund, then only GOLD can accommodate your purchase at a fair price.
Both securities offer peace of mind to investors by maintaining a very high bid depth; this implies investors can exit their position at a fair price any time they want.
Finally, don't hesitate to contact Carnth about liquidity issues in BTC-GOLD. He has stated he is on standby to provide liquidity as required. Just send him a message letting him know you'd like to place an order and he will step in and fill it (for more information please see:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1458702 reasonable to assume SaltySpitoon will do the same. These are friendly people, don't hesitate to enjoy their fantastic customer service.
Proof of Ownership1. TU.SILVER (Photos, Receipts, Independent Auditing)
TU Group
2. GOLD (Photos, Serial Numbers)
John Galt
3. LTC-SILVER (Photos)
SaltySpitoon
3. BTC-GOLD (Limited Photos)
Carnth
“Do you have any proof?” is a very fair and common question in today’s world of banks charging customers for storage of non-existent gold, paper contracts trading at 100 to 1 leverage, 90% (sterling and coin melt) being used to replace good delivery bars, and a flurry of recent reports regarding tungsten-filled bars.
An investor should never feel bad about asking for proof, and a proper fund manager must provide that proof on short or no notice. Failure to do this is a very serious red flag.
To their credit, all funds have taken the initiative by posting photos of their holdings online. However, only TU.SILVER’s receipts and serial numbers are regularly reviewed by an arm’s length (independent) auditor. TU.SILVER doesn’t just prove they have the metal, they prove they have the metal and that they haven’t dumped it since taking the pictures.
Proof of ownership implies:
• Peace of mind.
GOLD:
https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B23m7aRNI-JbT0xhcEZFWFdQZVEGOLD:
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B23m7aRNI-JbcC1RRXZhaEFvLUE/editTU.SILVER:
https://bitfunder.com/asset/TU.SILVER#pane_profile(click “profile” then choose “images”)
BTC-GOLD:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.1400254LTC-SILVER:
http://i.imgur.com/l6iOO.jpg CONCLUSIONThe clear winners here are TU.SILVER and GOLD. As these funds operate in different sectors (silver and gold respectively) it does not make sense to recommend one over the other. Investors will make that decision based on which metal they choose to invest in.
Secondly, don’t blindly throw money at the big two. Just because other funds do not score highly on this comparison does not mean they are bad investments. You just have to be careful and place limit orders when entering and exiting a position.
When investing in a small fund, send a comment to the fund operator and talk to him about the fund first. They will be happy to help you. Both Carnth and SaltySpitoon are very approachable. If you contact them with a concern about the spread or order depth they are very much more likely to be in a position to help you than a larger “Corporate Behemoth” fund like GOLD ;-)
In conclusion, there are many precious metals vehicles to choose from, but the safest and easiest is probably just buying the physical metal yourself. Gold and silver have alloidial title; it’s owned by whoever is holding it in their hand. Keep this in mind when investing in any silver fund; if they cannot secure the value of your silver as you yourself can by holding it in your hand, then perhaps the risk is greater than the reward. Please consult a registered investment advisor before investing.