this is my first post, i did buy (16-23 November) batch of D3 found about this item way too late
and this is my calculations.
from what i saw in this tread around 30000 d3 where sold including 18000 form last batch if numbers are correct.
current difficulty is around 1mil with 30th network hashrate (roughly)
so 30000 units of d3 means + 450th to network hashrate its like 15x increase of network hashrate, so i assume difficulty will increase accordingly and it will be 15mil (roughly)
with this difficulty it will be around 10-15 USD day on dash mining at the end of November if dash price wont go down.
i used coinwarz calculator
https://www.coinwarz.com/calculators/dash-mining-calculator/?h=15000.00&p=1200.00&pc=0.10&pf=0.00&d=15046312.86048716&r=1.80147602&er=0.08062313&btcer=4821.57250000&hc=0.00i know there is another manufacturers out there who are delivering miners before november and difficulty will be higher, and there are other coins too which will consume some of this hashrate.
my question is, is it realistic calculations or i missing something here? i just want to know what to expect.
If Bitmain is doing like before, this number is way to high. It's probably mixed with people that just buy and take out the count but don't pay with coin. In the previous batches, I would make really late purchases and leave them open expecting the "Sold Out" to come back, but they never did. It may just be extras to prevent people buying 50 and not paying at a time.
Think about it this way. Let's assume the hashrate does spike something very high. Would you rather buy 2 Antminers for $3k and match the Dashmaster that costs $10k. Sure the Dashmaster may be delivered earlier, but at the same time, the hashrate may not be what they post. Plus the Dashmaster has to compete with Antminers being released in october and sept, so it's not like they reach their profitability either. Also, the Dashmaster might be a 22gh/s with the wattage, who knows. I don't think it's reasonable to expect the miner to itself off within 1 month. That's just too much to ask for.