How have they achieved their incredible marketcap though? It sounds like it may be a great project but the marketcap is just incredible, especially considering how quickly it's been achieved. And BitSharesX does have competitors who were fairly well-established first. I don't think I buy the "because it's so great" argument here. There must be something else at play.
Well when it was just an idea in Daniels big brain, people were paying a $30 million CAP at the end of February & now he's actually delivered it with 10 second, private transactions and working BitAssets, so I think it's actually undervalued now. The merger also brings in BitShares DNS which is a Namecoin killer and had a $6 million CAP before the merger was announced as well as BitShares Vote, which Daniel is excited about though I don't understand the potential yet.
For me the valuation secret here is BitAssets like BitUSD.
When you think of normal user issued assets on NXT for example, (Which BTS has too) NXT users only get a transaction fee, so even though there are $12 million+ worth of NXT assets, NXT is still only worth circa $20 million because they only directly benefit from their assets transaction fees & perhaps a bit of network effect.
BitAssets let you store the value of a dollar/gold/silver/stocks/commodities in a decentralised way which is sick. 'Game changer' gets so overused in crypto, but solving the volatility problem is huge.
The real value part though is that to create BitAssets requires a long to purchase them using BitShares and a short to provide 2X that value in BitShares collateral.
So $1 million worth of new external BitUSD demand adds $2 million+ to the CAP of BitShares not just a few thousand dollars worth of transaction fees
There's $1 million BitUSD in circulation today, imagine if by the end of the year it's $3 million then $10 million by March then... You'll see that if BitAsset demand is growing, depending how far forward investors value BitShares the market CAP could get MASSIVE very quick on anticipation of future demand.
They're not even on version 1.0 & they're only starting to market BitAssets to the world in December, targeting fiat on ramps, merchant adoption, consumer incentives incl. perhaps a BitUSD debit card, they have a partner in global remittances and a campaign geared towards Argentina and are considering Russia where inflation and limited access to alternatives will make BitAssets like BitUSD the nuts.
For me the biggest headwind is their new dilution system. It's very low & necessary to fund some of the development, lightweight clients & marketing etc. but I'm concerned how the market will view it, (BTSX was actually at $55 million at the beginning of Oct and people worried about the merger/dilution has effected the price.) There's also not that much stake voting atm which could create centralisation concerns though nothing like Bitcoin mining pools. Easier ways to vote, easy offline signing options and voting incentives should improve that though in the coming months.
Having said, I've been back on the Bitcoin forum this last week to see what's out there but it's really still BitAssets all the way for me. You especially want to be in them now for the marketing push starting in December imo.