[Brain Teaser] Three doors - page 3.

ndnh

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1005

New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit

Quote from: protokol on April 02, 2015, 04:35:59 PM

It's weird because it's counter-intuitive. I guess you're right in saying that most people think that it doesn't matter (not that hodling is better haha), but you can prove with a bit of simple maths that you increase your chances significantly if you switch. I won't put details, that would spoil the fun!

I know the last part, bud. Pretty everyone knows that around here.

Quote from: ndnh on April 02, 2015, 03:52:19 PM

Switch to get 2x advantage. Cheesy

Were the funds escrowed? Was it a physical bitcoin?

Revenge for asking stupid questions..

protokol

legendary

Activity: 1188

Merit: 1016

Quote from: ndnh on April 02, 2015, 04:28:44 PM

Quote from: protokol on April 02, 2015, 04:23:27 PM

Quote from: b!z on April 02, 2015, 01:53:13 PM

Yes, you should switch.

+1

It's a weird one, most people think you should hodl but switching is mathematically the best option.

How is it weird? Wink

and Most people think thinks hodling and switching has the same odds, and there is no advantage is switching.

It's weird because it's counter-intuitive. I guess you're right in saying that most people think that it doesn't matter (not that hodling is better haha), but you can prove with a bit of simple maths that you increase your chances significantly if you switch. I won't put details, that would spoil the fun!

ndnh

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1005

New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit

Quote from: protokol on April 02, 2015, 04:23:27 PM

Quote from: b!z on April 02, 2015, 01:53:13 PM

Yes, you should switch.

+1

It's a weird one, most people think you should hodl but switching is mathematically the best option.

How is it weird? Wink

and Most people think thinks hodling and switching has the same odds, and there is no advantage is switching.

protokol

legendary

Activity: 1188

Merit: 1016

Quote from: b!z on April 02, 2015, 01:53:13 PM

Yes, you should switch.

+1

It's a weird one, most people think you should hodl but switching is mathematically the best option.

ndnh

legendary

Activity: 1302

Merit: 1005

New Decentralized Nuclear Hobbit

Switch to get 2x advantage. Cheesy

Were the funds escrowed? Was it a physical bitcoin?

Revenge for asking stupid questions..

b!z

legendary

Activity: 1582

Merit: 1010

Yes, you should switch.

matt4054

legendary

Activity: 1946

Merit: 1035

If you already know about the original version of this problem please don't spoil the answer too soon, let's keep it fun, thanks

Suppose that you're given the choice of three closed doors. Behind one door is 1BTC, behind the others, 1 satoshi. You pick a door, say #1, but you can't open it yet. The game master, who knows what's behind the closed doors, opens another door, say #2, which has 1 satoshi.

Then the game master asks you whether you want to pick door #3 instead of door #1.

Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

Topic: [Brain Teaser] Three doors - page 3. (Read 2338 times)