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Topic: Bryan Micon's List of BTC Ponzi Schemes that should not be listed as "Lending" - page 46. (Read 119665 times)

legendary
Activity: 1190
Merit: 1000
www.bitcointrading.com
Holy ponzi talk.  I hope you guys are wrong.
hero member
Activity: 938
Merit: 1002
Getting paid interest is against islamic law ? I thought getting charged interest is against that law.

No, it's getting paid interest. You can be charged interest even against your own will.

Btw, someone should call all the islamic banks and tell them they wont go to allah, they all operate for profit unless they are all heathens.

What's forbidden is to get interest for loaning out money. You can invest in a business and expect a dividend. This is to protect the poor from abuse. Also, rich people have a duty to pay 1/40 of their entire fortune to the poor each year. The whole scheme would fail to make sense if you heavily scrutinize it, but the intention behind it is pretty clear IMO.

As wachtwoord said, an Islamic bank can't invest in a business if it doesn't know what it does with the money. This actually saved the Islamic banks from the last couple crises.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 502
Ok so Micon said that BTCS&T is in its final week or two. And looking at the prices of PPT bonds of GLBSE it's clear that a lot of people are withdrawing.

So if in two weeks Pirate hasn't default, is still operating or has returned all the coins, will you stop with this ponzi talk or what?

Uh, if he returns *all* the coins, it's not a Ponzi by definition, so yes.

I would cover 2-to-1 he runs within 8 weeks though. (More than Pirate rates!)

How much do you wish to wager and who would you accept as escrow?  May be we could ask senbonzakura. He has no-interest whatsoever in Pirate (against Islamic law) and would not charge a fee.

3 times my money in 8 weeks is 14.7% compounded weekly interest Smiley

Getting paid interest is against islamic law ? I thought getting charged interest is against that law.

Btw, someone should call all the islamic banks and tell them they wont go to allah, they all operate for profit unless they are all heathens.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
Ok so Micon said that BTCS&T is in its final week or two. And looking at the prices of PPT bonds of GLBSE it's clear that a lot of people are withdrawing.

So if in two weeks Pirate hasn't default, is still operating or has returned all the coins, will you stop with this ponzi talk or what?

Uh, if he returns *all* the coins, it's not a Ponzi by definition, so yes.

I would cover 2-to-1 he runs within 8 weeks though. (More than Pirate rates!)

How much do you wish to wager and who would you accept as escrow?  May be we could ask senbonzakura. He has no-interest whatsoever in Pirate (against Islamic law) and would not charge a fee.

3 times my money in 8 weeks is 14.7% compounded weekly interest Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1005
Now that's more like it. I'd just wonder how Pirate knew he'd be raided a month in advance. Plus, unless everyone with access to the dead man contingency were incapacitated, the funds could still be returned.
Or the wallet.dat's are seized before the contingency can be executed.

And it's a win-win for Pirate whether the contingency is prevented or successful. Either gov't seizure of funds creates animosity toward gov't, or the contingency plan returns the funds and now Pirate has a large, distributed support base with funds that can't be frozen.

Best of all...
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1005
miscreanity, you have more patience than I.  I give up and this is my last post to this thread.

I've almost been in tears from laughing so hard at some of the stuff posted in this thread. Gotta have fun with it!
vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.

Now that's more like it. I'd just wonder how Pirate knew he'd be raided a month in advance. Plus, unless everyone with access to the dead man contingency were incapacitated, the funds could still be returned.

Or the wallet.dat's are seized before the contingency can be executed.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1005
Inside information from which evil genius? The adaptive nature of the network makes that extremely unlikely.

You work for the U.S. Department of Justice.  You know that in mid August, FBI agents are going to seize all exchanged in the US, charge the operators with money laundering, arrest five of the largest dealers on SR, arrest 25 of the largest customers, and announce that the UIGEA will be applied vigorously against any US financial institution that conveys money to a bitcoin exchange.

In this hypothetical, I think it's fair to say you would want to take bitcoin loans in early August!

I agree that Pirate's rates are so exorbitant that even inside such knowledge would not assure he could cover the loans over this long time scale, so I agree that this "legitimate" scheme is unlikely.

Now that's more like it. I'd just wonder how Pirate knew he'd be raided a month in advance. Plus, unless everyone with access to the dead man contingency were incapacitated, the funds could still be returned.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1005
miscreanity: in defense of Vandroiy, the imminent collapse of bitcoin theory has the advantage of not being economic nonsense.  If you're entering a period of hyperinflation, 7% is actually great rate. Vandroiy apparently doesn't believe that it wins Occam's razor, but it at least explains the observations. I don't think it's an intentionally cynical theory, it just happens to be a viable theory.

Alternative theories--say, that shadowy buyers are willing to pay substantial premiums for bitcoins week after week--don't really make sense because you have to buy back into bitcoin to repay the loans, and then some. It also runs into a problem that Pirates supporters emphasize how 100% legal he is (even though he used to joke about money laundering early on). Such transactions would look a helluvalot like structuring.

I've had Vandroiy on ignore for quite a while now, although I may sneak a peak based on what you brought up. Are you referring to a Bitcoin return at 7% being great during fiat hyperinflation, or are you suggesting Bitcoin is going into HI? Either way, please clarify as to whether you mean price increase or expansion of money supply.

Ok - for the premium buyers, it doesn't have to be much of a premium, or any at all. And they don't have to be shadowy either. As long as the relative value of Bitcoin continues to rise due to capital inflows from external demand, Pirate can acquire at any price and be assured gains. By a loose estimate, the past two months have seen about 7% weekly gains in price. Curious...

Check the math - from late May to now, 10 weeks since $5:

1.07^10=1.967

1.967*5=9.835

The price right now at Gox? Just shy of $9.80 Smiley

"i was like the boy that cried wolf.  but there was a wolf." - harry markopolos "madoff whistleblower"

harry markopolos is an investigator who spent ten years trying to expose Bernie Madoff's massive Ponzi scheme that scammed an estimated $18 billion from investors.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=62L7VxMDg68

The difference, from Wikipedia:

Quote
Harry M. Markopolos (born October 22, 1956) is a former securities industry executive and independent financial fraud investigator for institutional investors and others seeking forensic accounting expertise. He has received public acclaim for uncovering evidence over a period of nine years that Bernard Madoff's wealth management business was actually a massive Ponzi scheme.

Micon has not shown anything but circumstantial claims, often fitting patterns out of context. The same goes for everyone else so far. It isn't without reason, just without evidence.

Further:

Quote
He also couldn't find any evidence the market was responding to any Madoff trades, even though by his estimate Madoff was running as much as $6 billion—far more money than any known hedge fund even then. In Markopolos' mind, this suggested that Madoff wasn't even trading.

The evidence is strongly in favor of Pirate on this one, especially with what happened three weeks ago. In addition to the persistent stability since the beginning of 2012, there's a greater likelihood that Pirate has been using the funds for arbitrage and the other purposes he lists than running a scam.

Micon could take a few steps back from zealotry and compile a list of 'high risk' investment opportunities instead of making assertions one way or the other, or a new forum subcategory as MNW & Frankie suggested. Though I have to admit, he and team Ponzi have been a good amount of entertainment the past few days. It's always good to rehash the concepts at times as well.
full member
Activity: 206
Merit: 100
Inside information from which evil genius? The adaptive nature of the network makes that extremely unlikely.

You work for the U.S. Department of Justice.  You know that in mid August, FBI agents are going to seize all exchanges in the US, charge the operators with money laundering, arrest five of the largest dealers on SR, arrest 25 of the largest customers, and announce that the UIGEA will be applied vigorously against any US financial institution that conveys money to a bitcoin exchange.

In this hypothetical, I think it's fair to say you would want to take bitcoin loans in early August!

I agree that Pirate's rates are so exorbitant that even inside such knowledge would not assure he could cover the loans over this long time scale, so I agree that this "legitimate" scheme is unlikely.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
Si vis pacem, para bellum
Here is a BitTorrent magnet link for the movie Chasing Madoff.

Worth watching, in my view. It is a documentary, approximately 1:30 h long.

Unfortunately this forum does not recognize the magnet protocol, so you'll have to feed it into your BitTorrent client in some other way. For example, in µTorrent you use the command File, Add Torrent from URL..., then you copy the following magnet link into the dialog box (one line):

magnet:?xt=urn:btih:00552b8d379a0eed0f6e252816560d593a8f56e4&dn=Chasing+Madoff+2010+DVDRip+XviD-WiDE&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3A80&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.publicbt.com%3A80&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.istole.it%3A6969&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.ccc.de%3A80

heres an easier one :
http://thepiratebay.se/torrent/7183606/Chasing_Madoff_2010_DVDRip_XviD-WiDE
vip
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
Don't send me a pm unless you gpg encrypt it.

Does it really bother you so much that folks point out his investment has all the characteristics of a scam?


There's a difference between saying it has the characteristics of a scam and saying it IS a scam.  Perhaps you should explain that to everyone saying it IS a ponzi vs it has the characteristics of a ponzi.
hero member
Activity: 695
Merit: 500
Here is a BitTorrent magnet link for the movie Chasing Madoff.

Worth watching, in my view. It is a documentary, approximately 1:30 h long.

Unfortunately this forum does not recognize the magnet protocol, so you'll have to feed it into your BitTorrent client in some other way. For example, in µTorrent you use the command File, Add Torrent from URL..., then you copy the following magnet link into the dialog box (one line):

magnet:?xt=urn:btih:00552b8d379a0eed0f6e252816560d593a8f56e4&dn=Chasing+Madoff+2010+DVDRip+XviD-WiDE&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.openbittorrent.com%3A80&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.publicbt.com%3A80&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.istole.it%3A6969&tr=udp%3A%2F%2Ftracker.ccc.de%3A80
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
If pirate hadnt locked his own thread ,it would have kept all the bitching in a nice neat and tidy place

people who dont trust him could state  their observations there and people who do trust him could defend the scheme but now its taken over every thread and a poker player  is trying to make himself famous on the back of it for some reason

locking pirates thread was only going to cause multiple new ones ,a subject like a btcst possible ponzi or not was never going to be hushed by simply  locking a thread .....

Even before the thread was locked, it wasn't kept into one little nice place. Plus, that wouldn't have stopped Micon's topic as he thinks that the majority of investments are Ponzis on the forum.
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1000
Si vis pacem, para bellum
If pirate hadnt locked his own thread ,it would have kept all the bitching in a nice neat and tidy place

people who dont trust him could state  their observations there and people who do trust him could defend the scheme but now its taken over every thread and a poker player  is trying to make himself famous on the back of it for some reason

locking pirates thread was only going to cause multiple new ones ,a subject like a btcst possible ponzi or not was never going to be hushed by simply  locking a thread .....
full member
Activity: 206
Merit: 100
Does it really bother you so much that folks point out his investment has all the characteristics of a scam?

When you read it week after week, and when it contribute (in my eyes) to a "bad vibe" in the forum, yes it can of bother me.

I do sympathize.  OP seem similarly bothered that all of these schemes are posted under the heading "lending." Maybe we would all be a little happier if we took Matthew N. Wright's suggestion and move them to a subforum called "DEEP DARK HIGH RISK NO TRANSPARENCY THREATS TO YOUR MONEY." That would make any additional so-called FUD superfluous.

I'm happy to keep my Pirate skepticism confined to Pirate skepticism threads.  Except, of course, when BurtW shills it in the Newbie forum.  That just ain't right.
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
Ok so Micon said that BTCS&T is in its final week or two. And looking at the prices of PPT bonds of GLBSE it's clear that a lot of people are withdrawing.

So if in two weeks Pirate hasn't default, is still operating or has returned all the coins, will you stop with this ponzi talk or what?

Uh, if he returns *all* the coins, it's not a Ponzi by definition, so yes.

I would cover 2-to-1 he runs within 8 weeks though. (More than Pirate rates!)

Yes, I should have said, if it continues operation, will this witch hunt stop?

No, but I will stop beating my wife.

Does it really bother you so much that folks point out his investment has all the characteristics of a scam?

When you read it week after week, and when it contributes to a "bad vibe" in the forum, yes it can of bother me.



miscreanity: in defense of Vandroiy, the imminent collapse of bitcoin theory has the advantage of not being economic nonsense.  If you're entering a period of hyperinflation, 7% is actually great rate. Vandroiy apparently doesn't believe that it wins Occam's razor, but it at least explains the observations. I don't think it's an intentionally cynical theory, it just happens to be a viable theory.

Alternative theories--say, that shadowy buyers are willing to pay substantial premiums for bitcoins week after week--don't really make sense because you have to buy back into bitcoin to repay the loans, and then some. It also runs into a problem that Pirates supporters emphasize how 100% legal he is (even though he used to joke about money laundering early on). Such transactions would look a helluvalot like structuring.
full member
Activity: 206
Merit: 100
I would cover 2-to-1 he runs within 8 weeks though. (More than Pirate rates!)

Here is an open bet.

Yeah; put as much on these bets as my fear of counterparty risk would allow.  There's another one that's about 6 and 6 with shorter time frames.

This one is a particularly amusing bet because it's completely irrational for pro-Pirate people to have put money on it--especially months ago.  If you believe it, you'd make much more on the Pirate than about even money.  Unless his supporters are astoundingly dumb (and I don't think they are), it seems likely that Pirate and his proxies dumped coins on that bet for publicity. See also the bet with Vandroiy.
hero member
Activity: 695
Merit: 500
I would cover 2-to-1 he runs within 8 weeks though. (More than Pirate rates!)

Here is an open bet.

Of course you could always create a new one that is more to your liking, but I am pretty sure you won't.
legendary
Activity: 873
Merit: 1000
Yes, I should have said, if it continues operation, will this witch hunt stop?


"i was like the boy that cried wolf.  but there was a wolf." - harry markopolos "madoff whistleblower"

harry markopolos is an investigator who spent ten years trying to expose Bernie Madoff's massive Ponzi scheme that scammed an estimated $18 billion from investors.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=62L7VxMDg68
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