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Topic: BTC cycles and super cycles - page 2. (Read 332 times)

legendary
Activity: 3178
Merit: 1054
May 03, 2022, 10:06:04 PM
#4
From historical data, there is 80% of correction from past All time highs to bottoms from which new bull runs started. In this bull run, we have yet touched to the bottom if history repeats itself.

If you simply look at the price chart, the next station for Bitcoin in case it continues falling is around $15,000 to $13,000. Combine it with past records and monthly RSI, it seems that we are possibly around the bottom. Anyway, please don't exclude the scenario that Bitcoin will drop more (RSI shows its possibility too).

I meant there is possibility for around 60% drop from $38,000 in upcoming months but there is another possibility that we already found a bottom.

In future, when less Bitcoin is left for Bitcoin future supply (for miners to mine and get from block rewards), I am sure that there will be bigger hype around future halvings. Fundamentally, I see positive future for Bitcoin.


Currently, it is fine if you are greedy when others are fearful.

we better be selling right now or suffer the loss. but there could also be the supercycle that they are claiming might happen. is this just for them to give hope that holders not sell?

the pattern seem very good to follow actually and halving correlated with it. its a solid plan to just move to USD when its really uncertain where this market flow. the moment it goes up, someone will also shout a bulltrap.  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 1208
May 03, 2022, 09:53:27 PM
#3
Don't only focus about the cycles, you forgot to think the adoption and current Bitcoin conditions isn't same as before.

On 2013 and 2017 Bitcoin circulation supply is still low, now it's already 19 million Bitcoin circulated.
On 2013 and 2017 there's no country want to accept Bitcoin as legal tender, now currently we have 3 countries accept as legal tender (El Salvador, Central African Republic, Panama).
Bitcoin difficulty is way higher than it was, retail miners and high electricity cost no longer profitable.
etc.

We may face a different cycle, though many people expect we're in bear season.
legendary
Activity: 2310
Merit: 4085
Farewell o_e_l_e_o
May 03, 2022, 09:35:57 PM
#2
From historical data, there is 80% of correction from past All time highs to bottoms from which new bull runs started. In this bull run, we have yet touched to the bottom if history repeats itself.

If you simply look at the price chart, the next station for Bitcoin in case it continues falling is around $15,000 to $13,000. Combine it with past records and monthly RSI, it seems that we are possibly around the bottom. Anyway, please don't exclude the scenario that Bitcoin will drop more (RSI shows its possibility too).

I meant there is possibility for around 60% drop from $38,000 in upcoming months but there is another possibility that we already found a bottom.

In future, when less Bitcoin is left for Bitcoin future supply (for miners to mine and get from block rewards), I am sure that there will be bigger hype around future halvings. Fundamentally, I see positive future for Bitcoin.


Currently, it is fine if you are greedy when others are fearful.

sr. member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 342
Hire Bitcointalk Camp. Manager @ r7promotions.com
May 03, 2022, 05:40:54 PM
#1
For many cycles and super cycles of BITC are in full maturation, for Hodlers they hope that Salvador took his first step, some countries have also wanted to give it through regulations, which is for me the entrance of BTC to the country, not so free, but it is entrance.

Some analysts give their point of view:

Quote
One popular analysis of Bitcoin links the price of the asset to the halving of the hashrate. In 2013 and 2017 this halving pattern held true, with the price of BTC peaking, retracing (falling), and then building again towards the next halving event.




Quote
The patterns from 2013 to 2017 and up to 2021 are easily identifiable Bitcoin cycles. In 2021 and 2022 these clear price cycles seemed to end. Whether that means that a supercycle has already started, or something else entirely, remains to be seen.

source:https://beincrypto.com/in-search-of-the-missing-bitcoin-supercycle-mass-adoption-vs-complicated-new-asset-class/

According to the article, the cycles or super ciles if they break will be beneficial for BTC, then if a super cycle is fulfilled? How should we currently? How do you miss the Bullish trend cycle, but there is not yet .. What is missing? Are world events that do not allow the behavior that came from the accumulation cycle for a couple of years?
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