That's a key thing that people tend to forget. The price goes up fast, which means there is no stable floor.
Because it is going up this means not it stays like this forever.
Exactly. That these floors work, we saw most notably in 2013 and 2014:
- first in the aftermath of the first rally of the year. Then the price went, one day, down to about $50. This number was the only time where the price was stable for more than a few hours (in fact, it was there about a week).
- in the 2014 bear market, the bottom was in the 150s. That was the price level where the Bitcoin price remained some weeks before the great October/November rally.
In 2016 the only floors of this kind I can see are: first, a strong one, at about USD 410, and second, a weaker one, between 560 and 585. If we see a real correction, I predict it will go down to one of these too levels - if we're lucky and the market stays relatively bullish, the 560 one, and otherwise the 410 one. I don't expect it to go lower than that.