^ Not sure about 28k being meaningless if it's going to need to hold as solid support for the next break out above 30k.
It's only meaning is confirming $25K as a double bottom as well as the current range, which previously was in doubt. Holding it as support doesn't increase the chances of breaking above $32K imo, only of re-testing it as part of the current strong range. I don't doubt there will eventually be a break of $32K, most likely from the current long-term range, but unlikely it will happen anytime soon. $30K seems somewhat irrelevant as a resistance level now, it's purely psychological as $32K has established itself as the top of the range (similar to May 2022). Either way it'll need a lot more volume than present to break-out up or down.
Let's not forget that price was previously in a range of $15K to $25K for 9 months, so not it's worth getting surprised by remaining in the range for another two months, in fact it'd be quite fitting for market structure to repeat itself. Being bullish because price as found support from $25K and bearish when rejected from $30K/$32K, in the long-term view, is clearly becoming pointless. Finding the support from $25K again has invalidated the bearish outlook, but this doesn't make it bullish, simply back to neutral for the immediate term. Similar to rejection from $32K again, it wouldn't be bearish, simply still neutral within the range.
Ultimately we've established a range for 7 months and remain neutral within it. Anyone being bullish/bearish in the immediate term during this period was wrong, there's no denying that. Eventually either the bulls or bears will be right when the range breaks - and no doubt they'll say they told you so. But by that time those bulls/bears will be wrong enough times that being right eventually won't be that surprising either.
And it looks like BTC got up there really fast to test it. Lol.
We also went from $27K to $30K within two days back in June, but alas the resistance around $32K kept prices within the range. The exception to my analysis would be if an ETF get's approved, then sure there will likely be a moonshot to the upside out of the range. But personally I don't see this happening anytime soon either, likely early 2024, around the same time when the range will be broken based on current time-frame.
Fundamentally I think we need to break the current market structure of going from the top of the range to the bottom and visa versa. For example re-testing $32K resistance then actually holding $28K as new support, this would be the first step towards being able to invalidate the range. Without that, price is most likely going to continue ping-pong between support and resistance until something changes...
Mmmm dunno... As far as I'm concerned, the double bottom was confirmed when BTC made a higher low around Sept 25 and again around Oct 11. The run up to 28k for me and breaking clean above it was a confirmation to start getting in as momentum has been building up.
But I'm not really gonna argue... Technical analysis is a fickle thing. One guy interprets it one way while the other guy interprets it another way but they both come to the same conclusion.