There is already one tiny hedge fund. Theoretically assuming that they sorted the humongous information security issue, there is no reason why some "funds of funds" could not invest into it and in turn institutional investors would not buy those "funds of funds" and as such indirectly invest into Bitcoin.
On top of that there are other ways I am sure being developed as we speak that would enable mainstream to invest into Bitcoin.
Moreover, would it not be correct to say that we do not know if inst. investors will ever invest into some tyny startup 1B$ market cap company?
As far as I can see your arguments in fact support premise that we are not in institutional investor phase. Whether we will ever get into one or not is a separate matter.
Sure, one of the fund of funds submanagers could use a small portion of their high-risk allocation to invest directly in BTC. Anything is possible. I'm sure there are hedge funds out there that would at least consider going direct. Most institutions would not touch these types of managers even if wrapped in a fund of funds (highly unlikely they would be). FYI I am not equating 'hedge funds' w/institutional investors.
Incorrect to say this ($1B market cap statement) because institutional investors invest in start-ups with no market cap; they do it through very skilled fund managers with long track records (they give the manager $10MM and he disburses to various projects, some small).
Information security, transparency, liquidity, regulatory uncertainty (less uncertain these days).....liquidity is big. Yes, they will invest in highly illiquid assets (timber, for instance...huge with institutions) but to invest in something where the market price moves so erratically at such low volume would make this a non-starter. Transparency is huge. How does one perform due diligence on BTC other than to buy into the media hype that moves the price up with little change in the underlying circumstances (correct me if I'm wrong)
Truly....
I came to this forum to learn about BTC followers; I'm bullish on the novel concept. But I find it telling that institutions have not invested in BTC start-ups.....they usually get in early. There are some very savvy people not investing in BTC. Only a few angels thus far (again, correct me if I'm wrong). That speaks volumes to me. I was bullish back in December because I saw more news coming that would push the price up -- but I was never really under the delusion that masses of common everyday people would start using BTC anytime soon. And unless they do, we are in Bubble City. I can say that and still be bullish Bitcoin.....
Your statements make a lot of sense. however, the adoption of bitcoin does not rely solely on what bitcoin can do for itself. It will need support from merchants and the community as well.
merchant adoption such as wordpress, reddit, and others soon to come onboard is huge. Eventually I think bitcoin needs one BIG player to make it "official" I'm not even talking about Walmart or Target or any of those... maybe a site like Groupon, or Living Social, or even Yelp adding a new DB field to show if the business accepts BTC or not...
something small like that can start training people and getting them used to the idea of BTC being a legal tool of payment... developers will definitely love the idea to create apps to exchange money between devices using BTC. (Maybe bump dumping Paypal?) who knows, the possibilities are endless... you just need a few key merchants to take the plunge.. Eventually it'll happen.