We have to go with where we are at right now.
Agree, we can't go back in time.
he cannot go back to December 2018 and he cannot even go back to December of 2022..
We can't go back even one second. What I was trying to say is that there were times bitcoin goes down and out, there were speculations that Bitcoin going back to some extraordinary values but that never happen. We can't go back to 2018 and 2022 but we can learn from history that what happens to Bitcoin once it goes down to such low.
He has to take responsibility for his own actions and outcome regarding whether and how to invest and whether to put it into bitcoin or somewhere else.. Is that difficult? If so, how?
Not difficult at all. It's your money and you have to figure out whether to invest it, save it or do some other stuff. You make profit, its yours and vice versa.
I think that you are still getting at the option of whether a lump sum is even available... so if there is a question whether a lump sum is available, then DCA makes more sense, but if a lump sum is available, then for sure there are more options, but it still might make a certain amount of sense to spread out the lump sum rather than investing right away
I have posted scenarios of Lump Sum and DCA over a long period of time. We can't predict what will happen in future but based on past data there is clear evidence that Lump Sum surpasses DCA if we go for long term like 4 or more years.
and if we go back to the example of someone who has an extra $3k... then there are so many ways to consider the matter, and it would seem short-sighted to completely ignore the availability of the $3k and to just DCA and buy on dips with it, since that would be presuming that the BTC price is either going to remain flat or to dip, s
o the more practical way of preparing for all price directions would be to use some of that $3k to buy right away, yet it is still a question of how much to use to prepare for up rather than preparing for down or sideways.. and each person has to live with their own decision, since there is not really any one correct answer, even though some answers (or approaches) seem more logical and reasonable than others... but people can still vary in their reason and also we might not completely know all of the reasons (the
9 individual factors) of another person without really knowing the person.
I do agree that one has to make a start from somewhere and has to make decision on it's own that how much will be good enough in the start. Just like a thousand miles journey start with a single step, Bitcoin investment journey start with your first investment. After you make your first investment, one gets an idea about how to proceed further i.e. how much to DCA and when it's good time to buy on dips.