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Topic: Chill guys! - page 4. (Read 18605 times)

full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
July 06, 2011, 01:00:02 PM
#87
I think bumping is important on topics like this. Otherwise Lardycake's prognostication drops down a few pages and gets forgotten. Then new people come to the forum and Lardycake will make another prognostication and they will think "oh noes!!1! he sounds credible and reasonable. We are going down!!!11!!" and panic selling ensues.

Keeping this prediction front and center is helpful in that it provides some accountability for Lardycake... and the rest of us, too.

IMHO, Lardy is just another Nagle - he'll pop up - doom and gloom for awhile and then when he's proven to be wrong will disappear back into the shadows... under the bridge... where trolls belong.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1008
If you want to walk on water, get out of the boat
July 06, 2011, 12:57:29 PM
#86
Doh, 15$ now  Cheesy

I find it funny how its actually the pro-bitcoiners that are jumping in at the tiniest little nugget in their favour...while they like to say that its the opposite. Extra funny because $15 is still $2 lower than when I made this post.

I said we would break the $11 barrier on Friday. I still hold this prediction,

Extra food for thought: http://bitcoin.sipa.be/growth-10k.png

My prophecy of the miners leaving is coming true.

The price is going to plummet, the people that wanted to buy low have already bought low at ranges of $13-$17 thinking that is the low figure. As it goes lower they aren't going to be buying again because they already bought in thinking they were at the low.


16$
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1002
Waves | 3PHMaGNeTJfqFfD4xuctgKdoxLX188QM8na
July 06, 2011, 12:50:48 PM
#85
By replying in this topic and Lardycake replying on your reply, this topic gets bumped up every time...
And that's exactly what he hopes for... Look at the patern!

This topic is going down in... 3, 2, 1... I'll be back when it is on page 2...

edit: Oh noes, I bumped it up  Shocked
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1121
July 06, 2011, 12:46:31 PM
#84
Maybe he figures he'll get 'raptured' before it pops through 17.
sr. member
Activity: 387
Merit: 250
July 06, 2011, 12:41:28 PM
#83
Where did lardy go?

? Nowhere. Yet again another retard claiming I was wrong when we are still below the price when I originally posted the thread and I stated multiple times that we will cross $11 on Friday, yet its not Friday yet.

Seeing the mental capacity of the people posting here its no wonder they are so easily manipulated.

you know,that everyone don't believe you anymore?
so it doesnt interest anyone, doesnt matter what your sayin
hi
sr. member
Activity: 256
Merit: 250
July 06, 2011, 12:14:49 PM
#82
Hi

lardycake, lets make another 10 posts about it rising now...lol.


Hi
full member
Activity: 148
Merit: 100
July 06, 2011, 11:43:13 AM
#81
Where did lardy go?
member
Activity: 95
Merit: 10
July 06, 2011, 11:14:35 AM
#80


My prophecy of the miners leaving is coming true.

Let's see about your $11 prophecy for Friday... willing to make a bet? Or are your words empty?

 I'd also be in on this bet
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
July 06, 2011, 10:55:53 AM
#79
Thats cause youre a fuckin idiot!

Either that, or it's because I have a sh*t-ton more money than you and that amount isn't something I'll cry over if I lose.
As for why I'll keep buying more? It's my long-term savings. I won't need this money until a year from now.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1008
If you want to walk on water, get out of the boat
July 06, 2011, 10:33:06 AM
#78
The more lardy says bitcoin will drop, the more it rise  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
July 06, 2011, 10:30:48 AM
#77
Thats cause youre a fuckin idiot!

Either him, or you.
legendary
Activity: 1680
Merit: 1035
July 06, 2011, 09:48:34 AM
#76
The price is going to plummet, the people that wanted to buy low have already bought low at ranges of $13-$17 thinking that is the low figure. As it goes lower they aren't going to be buying again because they already bought in thinking they were at the low.

I bought in almost $10k at that amount thinking it was the low figure. I may be an exception, but I still plan to continue buying in every two weeks, regardless of the price.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1121
July 06, 2011, 08:39:30 AM
#75

You apparently keep misjudging me. How do you even know I have a position at all?

BubbleBoy's contribution is valuable. As I stated before, price should depend on real world value, speculative expectation is not tenable in the long term. When the economy is actually smaller than Dollar parity, anything like $15/BTC is ludicrously overpriced. The few reasons that keep the bubble from bursting are an immature market, small volumes and traders trying not to pop it while playing for small gains on volume. It could go any minute if someone decides to cash out.

As far as I'm concerned it would be better if the bubble burst quickly, we would go back down to somewhere between actual economy size (below USD parity) and $4 (tenable speculative expectation value) and then grew with the economy.

The sad conclusion from your statements is that you don't care about Bitcoin's future, you're here for the quick buck, with exit strategies in hand. If that is the case than you are no better than the banksters with '2BG2FAIL' vanity plates on their Porsches.

Protip: Real traders, the ones who actually commit money and have a trading plan before they place a trade call this "standard operating procedure". Of course, making price predictions with no skin in the game has been a forum past-time all over the internet, so I'm hardly going to ask you to stop. We just made it to your 'ludicrously overpriced' target. Hope you have a stop-loss order in Smiley

I'm here for the long haul, and that means, until bitcoin conquers the world - or conversely, it withers to irrelevance. I do know, however, I'll be around long after you've gone. Believe it.

legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
July 06, 2011, 08:29:38 AM
#74


My prophecy of the miners leaving is coming true.


Your prophecy?  Of course miners are going to leave, the profit rate for mining will tend toward zero necessarily and as that happens all but the most efficient miners will turn off their rigs. It is not a "prophecy" but a certainty.

Let's see about your $11 prophecy for Friday... willing to make a bet? Or are your words empty?
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1008
If you want to walk on water, get out of the boat
July 06, 2011, 08:27:06 AM
#73
Your trolling vs my facts  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1008
If you want to walk on water, get out of the boat
July 06, 2011, 07:57:39 AM
#72
Doh, 15$ now  Cheesy
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
July 06, 2011, 07:50:10 AM
#71
*crickets*
legendary
Activity: 826
Merit: 1001
rippleFanatic
July 05, 2011, 10:28:21 PM
#70
As I stated before, price should depend on real world value, speculative expectation is not tenable in the long term. When the economy is actually smaller than Dollar parity, anything like $15/BTC is ludicrously overpriced. The few reasons that keep the bubble from bursting are an immature market, small volumes and traders trying not to pop it while playing for small gains on volume. It could go any minute if someone decides to cash out.

As far as I'm concerned it would be better if the bubble burst quickly, we would go back down to somewhere between actual economy size (below USD parity) and $4 (tenable speculative expectation value) and then grew with the economy.

How are you measuring the size of the "actual" economy? 

I think the two important indicators are network difficulty and exchange volume / price, both of which have been growing like wildfire.  "Someone" cashed out over a million bucks today, permitting others to cash in.  It was a down day, but held up quite nicely given the ceaseless cries of doom and gloom.  That it held above $10 is more evidence of the correlation between price and difficulty (charts in my sig), and that network difficulty is a reliable measure of the size of the economy.  I'll have more confidence of this measure if the correlation continues.

If you know how to reliably measure the "real world value" of assets, maybe you should tell Wall Street.  Speculative expectation has been setting the price of things like houses, oil, bread, gold, and stocks ever since civilization moved to from a barter economy to a monetary economy.  Why should the price of bitcoin be any different?
jr. member
Activity: 56
Merit: 1
July 05, 2011, 10:04:08 PM
#69
BTC exchange rates on the other hand are still way overvalued, and still it's anyone's guess where they'll go next until the market matures.

Sorry jackwagon, I already have my strategy in place to deal with a potential speculative mania scenario.

I guess you are consistent in being rude too. Or should I be flattered because you think my opinion will move the market? You do realize that you come across as a scared, cornered animal right? That to me says that you are heavily invested in a precarious position. Not sure how you want to hedge that apart perhaps from volume trading on small bounces while generally going down, or has option trading started already?

Quote from: TraderTimm
I like this post better than most, because you've actually put something in writing that doesn't sneer at the forum in general.

Oh the irony Smiley

Quote from: TraderTimm
http://forum.bitcoin.org/index.php?topic=26117.0

You might want to read that - it is quite informative. I'm prepared for both eventualities, massive gains or complete loss.

Are you?

You apparently keep misjudging me. How do you even know I have a position at all?

BubbleBoy's contribution is valuable. As I stated before, price should depend on real world value, speculative expectation is not tenable in the long term. When the economy is actually smaller than Dollar parity, anything like $15/BTC is ludicrously overpriced. The few reasons that keep the bubble from bursting are an immature market, small volumes and traders trying not to pop it while playing for small gains on volume. It could go any minute if someone decides to cash out.

As far as I'm concerned it would be better if the bubble burst quickly, we would go back down to somewhere between actual economy size (below USD parity) and $4 (tenable speculative expectation value) and then grew with the economy.

The sad conclusion from your statements is that you don't care about Bitcoin's future, you're here for the quick buck, with exit strategies in hand. If that is the case than you are no better than the banksters with '2BG2FAIL' vanity plates on their Porsches.
member
Activity: 97
Merit: 10
July 05, 2011, 01:22:49 PM
#68
Seeing as so far I'm 100% correct, here's another lovely prediction from yours truely.

~1 month after we hit the $10 mark, the big mining ops are going to scale back, sell hardware, recoup costs. If they already paid off their hardware or are in the green then they are still going to be happy bunnies making a profit.

As they leave and the difficulty lowers, it will be more attractive to mine again. I say attractive, but I don't mean that as in to make a profit, I mean that you will be able to get a lot of coins again, they just wont be worth much.

I give it 6 months till something that's copied the Bitcoin concept and improved upon it comes along. Almost everybody left will jump ship to that. The marketplace forum will flood with people wanting to buy the new currency for BTC. The whole process then starts again with the new currency, though hopefully the improvements will make it more of a success story.

I'm actually hoping Bitcoin's price will drop. I fully expect a recovery in the future though. Bitcoin's concept will be improved. But I find it more likely that the improved Bitcoin will still be Bitcoin. Much easier to start from an already existing user- and codebase than to build it from scratch.
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