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Topic: Crash to $2 imminent. Willing to bet. - page 3. (Read 10634 times)

newbie
Activity: 53
Merit: 0
September 23, 2011, 07:50:47 AM
#55
There's a lot of resistance at $5 but the trend does appear to be heading towards parity.

1:1?
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
September 23, 2011, 07:05:02 AM
#54
There's a lot of resistance at $5 but the trend does appear to be heading towards parity.
newbie
Activity: 53
Merit: 0
September 23, 2011, 06:58:53 AM
#53
Who knows.  Everything is possible.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
September 23, 2011, 06:53:18 AM
#52
One can never know, but unlikely to crash to such levels.
legendary
Activity: 1011
Merit: 1006
September 23, 2011, 06:40:11 AM
#51
Crash to $2-3-4 is a myth.    Roll Eyes
newbie
Activity: 53
Merit: 0
September 23, 2011, 03:45:14 AM
#50
I bet on $100 that bitcoin will crash to $2.

By when do you think?
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
September 22, 2011, 04:00:46 PM
#49
I hear Linus is doing pretty good these days...

He's got fame.  So he can just churn out books and get publishers to pay him for them.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1073
September 22, 2011, 02:51:22 PM
#48
You mean 'bankrupt' like Red Hat?
No, bankrupt like Linus Torvalds in his dorm room. If you have an access to the typical news retrieval service search for that quote from Balmer about Linux. He said that on a conference call with investment managers and had a very nice explanation followed by a nice discussion. It really explains how open-source positioning changes the financial performance of securities.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
PredX - AI-Powered Prediction Market
September 22, 2011, 02:50:03 PM
#47
So then, you are saying that, to a degree, Bitcoin is insulated from the turmoil that is hitting the larger markets.
Yeah, the bitcoin economy is still in the testnet phase. If I may borrow a Linux phrase from Steve Balmer, "Bitcoin, in a way, launched bankrupt." So you just can't apply your usual metric. It will get ripe when the first audited financial reports come out of the Bitcoin economy.

You mean 'bankrupt' like Red Hat?

I think he means Canonical
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1073
September 22, 2011, 02:33:27 PM
#46
So then, you are saying that, to a degree, Bitcoin is insulated from the turmoil that is hitting the larger markets.
Yeah, the bitcoin economy is still in the testnet phase. If I may borrow a Linux phrase from Steve Balmer, "Bitcoin, in a way, launched bankrupt." So you just can't apply your usual metric. It will get ripe when the first audited financial reports come out of the Bitcoin economy.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1073
September 22, 2011, 02:10:42 PM
#45
Riddle me this Batman.

If Bitcoin is supposed to be like a pink sheet, why isn't it even acting like a stock? Hmm...
Not enough finance professional involvement yet. Various Bitcoin-related business entities are only just getting formed. Its not yet ripe for the real interest.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
September 22, 2011, 06:35:05 AM
#44
As for the crash to $2, as I've said before, we're in a long, slow slide. If you look at a 30 day moving average, the trend is clear - the price declines steadily about $4 per month, and all the "rallies" and "crashes" are just short term noise.  Since we're currently around $5, that can't go on much longer. The endgame will be during the holiday season.

How can you make a 30 days av move chart with bitcoin?!

Like this. Straight downhill since the bubble popped in early June.

The brown line is a trailing moving average of the last 30 days. (Because it's a trailing moving average, it lags the actual data by 15 days.) Notice how all the "crashes" and "rallies" disappear and the steady downward trend becomes clear.

Just arbirtary blahblah.
Why would your abstraction be more valid than any other arbitrary abstraction of the charts?
Noise is only noise if you can't understand the details.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 20, 2011, 12:09:38 PM
#43
It is not within the expected range... Today.
Can you elaborate on that?

Hitting $2 today would be an unlikely event. I would currently place the end of the low-side tail at about $4.20
That were OPs expectations, not mine. I personally think 4.20 to be unlikely. I would place the low end at 4.4 if it even comes to that.

Of course, I am referring to the OP. But actually, I misspoke. I would currently place the end of the low tail near $4.74... So $2 is an even more remote possibility.
apparently we using both fractional exponents of the golden ratio Wink
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 20, 2011, 11:48:43 AM
#42
It is not within the expected range... Today.
Can you elaborate on that?

Hitting $2 today would be an unlikely event. I would currently place the end of the low-side tail at about $4.20
That were OPs expectations, not mine. I personally think 4.20 to be unlikely. I would place the low end at 4.4 if it even comes to that.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
September 20, 2011, 11:45:44 AM
#41
It is more than $6.70 before dropping to a value above $6, still 3x the expected $2.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 20, 2011, 11:38:43 AM
#40
It is not within the expected range... Today.
Can you elaborate on that?
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 20, 2011, 11:34:40 AM
#39
oh a bear! lawl

actually volume hasn't spiked yet and until it does this rally will continue if you like it or not  Smiley

Already back down to 6 dollars (rally  Roll Eyes ), but logs charts support my conclusion and furthermore
That is totally within the normal range, you can't make conclusion based on the 1 hour swing for a 3 day old rally, or crash for that matter.
Yeah it swings alot, people with bots are probably making a killing from it but that is to be expected.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 1128
September 20, 2011, 11:20:53 AM
#38
actually volume hasn't spiked yet and until it does this rally will continue if you like it or not  Smiley

Already back down to 6 dollars (rally  Roll Eyes ), but logs charts support my conclusion and furthermore
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 20, 2011, 10:59:25 AM
#37
actually volume hasn't spiked yet and until it does this rally will continue if you like it or not  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2011, 09:19:17 AM
#36
Where are all the bears  Wink

6.8 was the wall.
It is the time to rally down to $2.



Rally down?!
And crash up?  Grin
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