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Topic: Critical Levels - EW analysis - page 85. (Read 355104 times)

legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 15, 2014, 06:37:41 AM
Thought it resembled an ascending triangle -- which *could* break to the downside. I am conflicted, looking at the daily, 3 red candles could be part of a continuation pattern. Looks violent on the lower timescales, but on the 1 day -- not so violent.

On small time scales I saw an ascending triangle, often associated with primary waves and corrections alike. what followed was an impulse down. an impulse may the the beginning of a larger impulse, or an abc correction. it seems like it was just an abc. The potential of a primary wave at that point was large within the medium scale so I felt I should give warning in case anyone was long. maybe in was too small a time frame to bother.

I also feel like there is really no good reason for further moves to the downside at the present moment based on the daily time scale.

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
November 15, 2014, 06:23:55 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

How far down would a break below $ 379 to the bottom take us? Back to $355? $ 333? or a complete breakdown to retest bottom lows?

It actually looks like downside potential has just been diffused. I dont see how it can easily break down and I dont have a method to project a bottom here because I dont expect one to fit in my count. I was just warning there as the market was coiled.

Thought it resembled an ascending triangle -- which *could* break to the downside. I am conflicted, looking at the daily, 3 red candles could be part of a continuation pattern. Looks violent on the lower timescales, but on the 1 day -- not so violent.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
November 15, 2014, 06:20:50 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

How far down would a break below $ 379 to the bottom take us? Back to $355? $ 333? or a complete breakdown to retest bottom lows?

Don't believe to other people. Otherwise you will become just another sheep without wool.


Just seeking opinion. At the end of the day, we are all responsible for our own trades.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 15, 2014, 06:14:40 AM

Making it up as you go along mate

Do you know what I saw to suggest immediate downside potential? no? then how do you know that has not changed?

You didn't say 'downside potential'.

You said 'violent downside moves'.

That suggested to me you were expecting a sizeable drop in price.

no I didnt say I was expecting one, I said be prepared for one. just like you would wear a helmet when you ride your bicycle.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
November 15, 2014, 06:13:01 AM

Making it up as you go along mate

Do you know what I saw to suggest immediate downside potential? no? then how do you know that has not changed?

You didn't say 'downside potential'.

You said 'violent downside moves'.

That suggested to me you were expecting a sizeable drop in price.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 15, 2014, 06:11:09 AM

Making it up as you go along mate

Do you know what I saw to suggest immediate downside potential? no? then how do you know that has not changed?
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
November 15, 2014, 06:09:16 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

How far down would a break below $ 379 to the bottom take us? Back to $355? $ 333? or a complete breakdown to retest bottom lows?

It actually looks like downside potential has just been diffused. I dont see how it can easily break down and I dont have a method to project a bottom here because I dont expect one to fit in my count. I was just warning there as the market was coiled.

Making it up as you go along mate
ask
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1004
November 15, 2014, 06:08:45 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

How far down would a break below $ 379 to the bottom take us? Back to $355? $ 333? or a complete breakdown to retest bottom lows?

Don't believe to other people. Otherwise you will become just another sheep without wool.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 15, 2014, 06:06:29 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

How far down would a break below $ 379 to the bottom take us? Back to $355? $ 333? or a complete breakdown to retest bottom lows?

It actually looks like downside potential has just been diffused. I dont see how it can easily break down and I dont have a method to project a bottom here because I dont expect one to fit in my count. I was just warning there as the market was coiled.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
November 15, 2014, 06:02:20 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

'O RLY'
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
November 15, 2014, 06:01:06 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.

How far down would a break below $ 379 to the bottom take us? Back to $355? $ 333? or a complete breakdown to retest bottom lows?
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 15, 2014, 05:32:10 AM
Be prepared for violent downside moves here.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 15, 2014, 04:28:00 AM
I am stepping back and watching for signals about which count here is correct. In the western exchanges a possible triangle is forming.

legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
November 14, 2014, 09:58:18 PM
It's as if they read your posts chestnut, went straight down to your 2435 stop loss.  Undecided

That's why I locked my thread.
Within minutes of an update, walls would pop up and moves for/against would happen. Too many people doing the same thing, and some who have a lot of money can break your counts. Front running is a problem too, but much less so.

Hi Ryan,

Would you mid sharing your medium term count for the thread? seems I am out of touch.

Sorry, but I'm not going to post a short count. Nothing to do with you, but someone is watching...
I will say, that it is my opinion that we are in 4 of C of IV still. China has to fall below 2147 to invalidate this, and the west below 360 somewhere, so there is still room.
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 14, 2014, 09:48:05 PM
It's as if they read your posts chestnut, went straight down to your 2435 stop loss.  Undecided

That's why I locked my thread.
Within minutes of an update, walls would pop up and moves for/against would happen. Too many people doing the same thing, and some who have a lot of money can break your counts. Front running is a problem too, but much less so.

Hi Ryan,

Would you mid sharing your medium term count for the thread? seems I am out of touch.
legendary
Activity: 2408
Merit: 1009
Legen -wait for it- dary
November 14, 2014, 09:25:36 PM
It's as if they read your posts chestnut, went straight down to your 2435 stop loss.  Undecided

That's why I locked my thread.
Within minutes of an update, walls would pop up and moves for/against would happen. Too many people doing the same thing, and some who have a lot of money can break your counts. Front running is a problem too, but much less so.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
November 14, 2014, 09:21:37 PM
It's as if they read your posts chestnut, went straight down to your 2435 stop loss.  Undecided
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
November 14, 2014, 08:55:21 PM
Should I go long on 417 or wait it out a little bit? Undecided

Obviously buying up here is a bit more risky, you have to sum up the risk reward yourself. Look for a dip or some flat sideways action if you decide to enter. stoploss at this point is 2450 2435.

This could escalate into wave v or III, although the valid count is currently target 2600. The bids are stacking up on Okcoin futures, so liquidity seems good for trading today.

Aight, thanks

I will try to get in at 405 or something I think
legendary
Activity: 924
Merit: 1001
November 14, 2014, 08:27:13 PM
Should I go long on 417 or wait it out a little bit? Undecided

Obviously buying up here is a bit more risky, you have to sum up the risk reward yourself. Look for a dip or some flat sideways action if you decide to enter. stoploss at this point is 2450 2435.

This could escalate into wave v or III, although the valid count is currently target 2600. The bids are stacking up on Okcoin futures, so liquidity seems good for trading today.
legendary
Activity: 2338
Merit: 1035
November 14, 2014, 08:17:36 PM
Should I go long on 417 or wait it out a little bit? Undecided
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