Bitcoin has never lost in the long run.
What exactly makes you think so? Bitcoin is currently down ~60% from its ath ($69k), so how can you claim it has never lost in the long run?
What you mean is that historically Bitcoin's price moved in cycles, with each cycle bringing new ath, but, as the things currently are, you cannot say that it has never lost, as that's simply incorrect.
Also, the belief that the price will keep moving in the same pattern forever is naive. It's simply not possible for it to move by a similar percentage each cycle, as everything has its limits.
smart investors do not see the $69k all time high as a "value" point that has lost.
they see it as the temporary premium..
EG a bottom of $10k in 2021 that had a temporary hype of 6.9x
(flip your mindset to see the bottoms as the value, not the tops
for many years i have always evaluated bitcoin from its well tested BOTTOMS (not the highs)
EG 2017 was a $900 value not a $20k value
EG 2021 was a $10k value not a $69k value
if you look at value from the bottom and then understand things from the bottoms.. then you can then GAMBLE on your future by deciding when you buy in above the bottom which obviously if you buy in 2021 at $69k when the recent bottom was $10k(in 2021) that you will effectively be waiting 6.9x longer than if you did buy the bottom
because eventually the bottoms do rise to then out pace a previous high..
yes we are no longer in the 2011 era of a 100x spread. or in the 2017 era of a 21x spread
we are in an era of a 5x spread meaning it will take longer to reach 6.9x of old bottom becoming new bottom. and eventually after a few cycles this spread will be ~2x meaning people will need to control their emotions more and not buy the hypes(highs) as much and instead concentrate on buying the dips/corrections(near bottom)