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You mean you can afford to lose your Bitcoin portfolio? Wow you must have just put a tiny fraction of your money in Bitcoin and just so you answer a Bitcoin investor when you are not really serious with the investment. If I may ask, since you invested only what you can afford to lose into Bitcoin, where did you invest the rest of your money that you cannot afford to lose? I will love to know that investment opportunity you have so much confidence in and believe it can never fail, the reason you chose that over Bitcoin.
I don't believe in investing what I can afford to lose because I cannot afford lose the entire portfolio I spend several months building through the DCA method. Even though I put in small amount of money per time, it is something significant for me that I cannot afford to lose same, the reason I guard it jealously, using a wallet I control my keys. What I only do is to invest amount that I can hold for long without being under pressure to sell. I do this by investing after I have sorted out my basic needs and also set some funds aside for any emergency.
Maybe you are overinvested Moreno233. You have to account for the fact that you could lose everything, sure the odds might not be high, but you have no guarantee of profiting or not losing your investment, and part of the reason that there is expression to NOT invest any more than you can afford to lose, that is to make sure that people are not investing from either their disposable income or money that they absolutely need... so if you are expecting that you need some portion of your bitcoin investment, then maybe you need to diversify into some other investments so that you don't have everything in one basket?
Sure,. everyone is supposed to be choosing their investments in such ways that they feel that they are more likely to be better off by investing into their chosen asset class (in this case bitcoin) as contrasted with if they had not invested.
One thing that we know about bitcoin is that so long as you don't use leverage, then the most that you could lose by investing into it is up to 100%, yet bitcoin remains amongst the best asymmetric bets to the upside, meaning that bitcoin has a lot of upside potential. .but it still is not guaranteed.. yet people can still have very good odds of profiting stupendously even from a relatively modest investment.. yet I frequently suggest that people (in fact everyone) invest into bitcoin as aggressively as they are able to do without overdoing it, yet that still does not mean that bitcoin is guaranteed to pay off, to be profitable, not to lose value and/or not to go to zero.
So each of us has to figure out our investment size and realize that bitcoin is not guaranteed to play out better than if we had not invested into it, so that means we might have had been better to have had not invested into bitcoin... so hopefully you figure out some ways to balance these kinds of ideas in your head in such a way that you choose an investment size that is appropriate to your finances and your psychology including accounting for some possibilities that your bitcoin investment may be a loser or even go to zero.
But, hey whatever, if you want to live in a fantasy and presume that bitcoin profits are guaranteed, then that is your choice.. it just does not seem healthy to me.. but whatever, you do you.
I think there is semantic scope inherent in the saying "don't invest more than you can afford to lose" than in its most literal sense. This is important because I fully agree that bitcoin is amongst the best asymmetric bets. When you are young, you have no children and no serious obligations to fulfill other than your basic needs, then there is some scope for additional risk taking and I think there can be scenarios where you feel very convinced that the odds are in your favor while the remaining downside risk would really hurt if it were realized.
Bitcoin is one of these things that when I came to find out about it for the first time, I thought this is going to be huge one day, but I wasn't brave enough back then to risk money that I rather kept because I wasn't sure whether I could really afford to lose it. I did have obligations back then. If I didn't, I would have been far more willing to take risks. Including risks that back then may have made me be a little afraid so to say.
Now this is not trying to argue against your point of view that acting with caution and as much rationality as possible is the right approach.
From what I am reading within your response, so far, is that there are not ONLY objective limitations involved in our assessments about "what we can afford to lose" but also several objective limitations too that even involve how convinced we are about the investment thesis of the asset (in this case bitcoin) as compared with other places that we might be able to put our money (investments or otherwise).
Surely there are levels of complications of anyone's financial life that become more complicated if a person has to support a family or even if they have a business with uncertain cashflows. The more complicated our financial life and our obligations, the less that we are able to set aside cash for investing 4-10 years or longer.
It is, but sometimes a very unique door opens in front of your eyes while you are not set up to put serious money into it. Now I know that DCA from the very early days on would have generated a fortune even with small amounts on a weekly or actually monthly basis.
DCA involves whatever amount that you have available, and so what are we talking about when we are talking about early days? You want to do two cycles or more? Two full cycles would put us at September 2016. And, maybe a reasonably small amount could be $50 per week? If you invested
$50 per week over the last 8 years, you would have had invested ONLY about $21k, yet you would have nearly 3.8 BTC, so yeah, it might not exactly be fuck you status levels of money, yet that is partly a choice in regards to how aggressively a person might want or be able to be in the event that they could have had higher levels of investment based on their discretionary income or not... Of course, you can keep those dates the same, and adjust the numbers up or down in order to figure out what a reasonable budget for you might have had been... so doubling the weekly DCA amount to $100 would double the amount invested to $42k and the amount of BTC to 7.6, and surely those are not bad places to be.
Of course, if we go back to your own forum
registration date of July 2011, we could lower our investment amount to a mere $10 per week and be rich as fuck from that kind of a timeline and those kinds of relatively modest DCA amounts. That would be well more than 142 BTC for only $4,700 invested.
** **The calculator only allowed me to calculate 9 years at a time, yet most of the performance of the investment comes from getting into the investment early.But the truth is that bitcoin was such a different thing from all other investment opportunities that hardly anyone could be fully rational about it. It was quite an adventure back then because it was literally impossible for the average Joe to see and understand whether there are bugs or backdoors or what the weaknesses are of such a network. I would argue that the chances for bitcoin to go from 60k to 600k today is at least as high as bitcoin going from 600 USD to 6,000 USD back then because it stood the test of time.
Well? Now you seem to be talking about late 2016 when you are referring to starting from $600. I personally consider that there were more and more onramp options available with the passage of time, and depending on your location would affect which kinds of options were available and the extent to which they might be cumbersome to set up.
The network accumulated so much value that most likely the best hackers in the world already tried their luck and attacked the network from whatever angle they might have seen an opportunity. That is something nobody really has to be afraid about today.
The attack vectors have changed over time, and surely some threats now are less relevant as compared to some of the older threats, but threats still exist, especially Sim swaps and social engineering.. and maybe even the various kinds of attacks from regulators regarding restricting on/off ramps, self-custody and threatening KYC creates other kinds of attacks that could still undermine aspects of the strength of bitcoin's investment thesis, yet from differing angles. For sure, even though institutions are getting more involved, Bitcoin is not free from attacks and/or risks...including poor people sometimes needing to be concerned about how to manage their UTXOs if they might be wanting to employ a lot of lower cost transactions on the blockchain that might become unspendable at certain points in the future.
Or even the ways that mining pools are currently operating contributes to a certain amount of centralization risks in bitcoin.
The ability to cope with a loss is a function of the ability someone has to dig their ways out of a hole in case of a bad outcome. It is not necessarily the cash someone has in the bank. That's where everyone should be realistic about their own terms. Can I somehow cope with the risk I am taking? I think one very important aspect to consider is whether second or third parties would be affected if someone decides to take a risk. Of course nobody should force themselves into insolvency risk taking behavior, but there might be a few occasions in life where shifting the boundaries at least somewhat can make sense. Maybe EV (= expected value) plays an important role as well.
Yeah, if any of us leave our coins with third parties, they might be risking our coins, yet also the ways that third parties take risk with other people's money can also screw up the price for others or even contribute to changes in the whole bitcoin ecosystem in regards to regulations and supposed ways that regulators may be proclaiming to be wanting to "protect" us.
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A lot of us have made mistakes in the past and neglected to invest in bitcoin due to ignorance and lack of understanding the potential of bitcoin and it is bringing regrets now but as long as bitcoin price is cheap using DCA will help us accumulate gradually, slow and steady to reach a good bitcoin size in order to console ourselves from missing out the early days of bitcoin.
From when did you miss out on investing into BTC, Sim_card? And from when did you start getting serious? or more serious about investing into bitcoin?
I recall in about September, October, November 2013, I had been researching into various investment related products because I was trying to figure out ways to diversify away from some dollar investments and to supplement some of the 401k investments that I had.. so I had some bitcoin related tabs in my browser that I did not look at until I was sparked from a conversation with a guy in his early 20s who had more or less gotten quite a bitcoin windfall because he had bought around 27 BTC in mid-to-late 2012, so then when I was communicating with him in early to mid November 2013, I thought that he was a bit of a goofball in regards to investment ideas and cashflow management ideas, even though he had made out like a bandit in regards to his bitcoin investment.. which each of his coins had gone from a few dollars to $600 and then to around $1,100.. .. but still that got me motivated to look into bitcoin more and within a week or two, I started buying bitcoin (pretty much at top of the late 2013 prices), yet my initial BTC buying plan (and self-authorized budget) was for 6 months of buying and then to reassess. So my missing out seemed to have had been mostly just that 2-3 months period that I had bookmarked some bitcoin related pieces of information, yet I did not follow through by actually looking into the matter until after the personal story of the guy had gotten me motive to look into it.