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Topic: Dead cat bounce - page 3. (Read 4272 times)

sr. member
Activity: 504
Merit: 250
September 26, 2011, 04:56:27 PM
#6
It's no longer profitable to invest in new mining rigs, moreover, many people are scarcely making any profit with such low exchange rates.

There's a little something called sunk cost, and it's by no means a fallacy: when you've already committed a large budget of money and time on a mining project, you can't simply pull out if you are not "living the dream". It makes sense to keep mining for as long as you can pay the power bill, any extra is passive income that goes towards amortizing your sunk cost.

A 2Mhash/Joule, 2Ghash/second rig  draws 1KW (24KWh/day) and earns ฿1.15/day at current difficulty.There are places (Canada) where you can get a KWh for under 5c, so those people will still be mining at 1.2$/BTC, even if difficulty does not change. Conversely, people who have quality hardware but expensive electricity will (20c/KWh) should pull the plug below 4.8$/BTC.

On the other hand disruptive technology could arrive any day now (ASICs), and easily increase the difficulty by an order of magnitude with no price impact.
vip
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1136
The Casascius 1oz 10BTC Silver Round (w/ Gold B)
September 26, 2011, 04:49:33 PM
#5
No one really knows how many botnet miners there are, and miners who manage to put the bill on someone else (landlord, etc.)... they will mine at any price.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
September 26, 2011, 04:48:12 PM
#4
Well there are alot of small scale miners at around 300mh who would most likely never stop.
How often do you leave the lights on?  Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1010
September 26, 2011, 04:44:03 PM
#3
delayed electrical bills to help stall miners from pulling the plug.

That's like gambling with borrowed money.
member
Activity: 98
Merit: 10
September 26, 2011, 04:40:37 PM
#2
And also - wouldn't you expect the difficulty go down? It's no longer profitable to invest in new mining rigs, moreover, many people are scarcely making any profit with such low exchange rates.

If things stay the same, it will. Takes time for people to recalculate (if they bother in the first place). Also, there's sunk cost fallacy, and delayed electrical bills to help stall miners from pulling the plug.
legendary
Activity: 3472
Merit: 1721
September 26, 2011, 04:01:20 PM
#1

Dead cat bounce - when is it going to stop?

And also - wouldn't you expect the difficulty go down? It's no longer profitable to invest in new mining rigs, moreover, many people are scarcely making any profit with such low exchange rates.
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