Dec 31 to Jan 12 Diff thread picks closed. - page 2.

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

Quote from: adaseb on January 12, 2016, 07:26:44 AM

Most likely the winners are going to be in this group

+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.6% = page14

+8.9% = blindminer
+9.0% = gangnam2016
+9.1% = wlefever
+9.2% = tss

Watch it close at 8.7 or 8.8%

it is

Bitcoin Difficulty: 103,880,340,815
Estimated Next Difficulty: 112,947,142,037 (+8.73%) <<<<< it could drop yeah right Roll Eyes

Adjust time:   After 120 Blocks, About 17.5 hours
Hashrate(?):   882,246,022 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):
1 block: 8.8 minutes
3 blocks: 26.2 minutes
6 blocks: 52.5 minutes
Updated:   8:35 (7.4 minutes ago)

So maybe 8% to 10% is a safer guess as to the range

+8.0% = dukeneptun
+8.1% = edonkey
+8.2% = tennozer
+8.3% = Notlist3d
+8.4% = needmoney
+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.6% = page14

+8.9% = blindminer
+9.0% = gangnam2016
+9.1% = wlefever
+9.2% = tss

+9.5% = gkv9

+9.7% = fr4nkthetank

there are gaps here so a rollover can happen

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Most likely the winners are going to be in this group

+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.6% = page14

+8.9% = blindminer
+9.0% = gangnam2016
+9.1% = wlefever
+9.2% = tss

Watch it close at 8.7 or 8.8%

freedomno1

legendary

Activity: 1806

Merit: 1090

Learning the troll avoidance button :)

Going to estimate it ends at 9%
Bitcoin Difficulty:   103,880,340,815
Estimated Next Difficulty:   113,165,834,626 (+8.94%)
Adjust time:   After 125 Blocks, About 18.2 hours

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Glad we got the maths sorted... I made Yesterday 170 Blocks, 15.3%

I think we are headed for +9.5% and a finish Tomorrow about 5:07

Rich

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Quote from: fr4nkthetank on January 11, 2016, 07:02:37 PM

my high guess for diff increase now doesnt seem that high. god damn antminers s7 are selling like hotcakes i presume. still 1100$ around, + customs and duties and you only get it in 1 week and a half to two weeks. I feel diff will increase again and again. I also feel price will explode. I feeeeeeeeeeeeel it.

Yeah its still pretty bad. We are ending the day at around 15% gain. So most likely the diff increase will be between 8%-9% sometime tomorrow.

fr4nkthetank

legendary

Activity: 2294

Merit: 1182

Now the money is free, and so the people will be

my high guess for diff increase now doesnt seem that high. god damn antminers s7 are selling like hotcakes i presume. still 1100$ around, + customs and duties and you only get it in 1 week and a half to two weeks. I feel diff will increase again and again. I also feel price will explode. I feeeeeeeeeeeeel it.

Mikestang

legendary

Activity: 1274

Merit: 1000

Quote from: adaseb on January 11, 2016, 04:25:04 AM

Quote from: RichBC on January 11, 2016, 04:18:38 AM

Quote from: adaseb on January 10, 2016, 08:13:26 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on January 10, 2016, 06:45:56 PM

today tons and tons of blocks made 173 with about 20 minutes left

Yeah today ended up being +17% for the day. But I don't think we will exceed +10% this diff period with only 2 days left.

Need some help with the maths here?

I think we made 175 Blocks Yesterday (392557-392731)
175-144 = 31 additional blocks.

Now I would have expressed the 31 as a % increase over 144? 31/144 = 21.5%

However I guess this is 31/175 = 17.7%

I assume the 17.7% is correct, but why is that?

Rich

You do (175-144)/~~175~~144*100%= X

Fixed.

It's likely we will not see another flat diff adjustment until next summer, there's going to be a mad push to solve as many 25btc blocks as possible before the halving. After that, who knows what will happen.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Today looking like it's going to be as big as Yesterday. If this continues we are headed for +9.6%

Rich

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: vortexz on January 11, 2016, 06:21:15 AM

hopefully, next diff increase will finally be flat or - !

You can hope for that, but chances are very slim. I expect another at least high single digits. I don't see what will stop that.

The only great thing is the ones I mined at 220 and held onto now in 440's look a lot nicer. So past mining is paying off more and more.

vortexz

legendary

Activity: 1120

Merit: 1001

hopefully, next diff increase will finally be flat or - !

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Quote from: RichBC on January 11, 2016, 04:28:15 AM

Quote from: adaseb on January 11, 2016, 04:25:04 AM

You do (175-144)/175*100%= X

Ok thanks, but why is the increase expressed as a % of the 175 as opposed to 144?

Probably to get a rough estimate of what the difficulty might look like.

For example, if everyday we finish at +5%, then the difficulty increase will probably be around +5%

tertius993

hero member

Activity: 1029

Merit: 712

Quote from: RichBC on January 11, 2016, 04:28:15 AM

Quote from: adaseb on January 11, 2016, 04:25:04 AM

You do (175-144)/175*100%= X

Ok thanks, but why is the increase expressed as a % of the 175 as opposed to 144?

No, you were right the first time, the target is 144/day so to show the percentage increase above that target you use 144 as the denominator.

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Quote from: adaseb on January 11, 2016, 04:25:04 AM

You do (175-144)/175*100%= X

Ok thanks, but why is the increase expressed as a % of the 175 as opposed to 144?

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Quote from: RichBC on January 11, 2016, 04:18:38 AM

Quote from: adaseb on January 10, 2016, 08:13:26 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on January 10, 2016, 06:45:56 PM

today tons and tons of blocks made 173 with about 20 minutes left

Yeah today ended up being +17% for the day. But I don't think we will exceed +10% this diff period with only 2 days left.

Need some help with the maths here?

I think we made 175 Blocks Yesterday (392557-392731)
175-144 = 31 additional blocks.

Now I would have expressed the 31 as a % increase over 144? 31/144 = 21.5%

However I guess this is 31/175 = 17.7%

I assume the 17.7% is correct, but why is that?

Rich

You do (175-144)/175*100%= X

RichBC

hero member

Activity: 588

Merit: 500

Quote from: adaseb on January 10, 2016, 08:13:26 PM

Quote from: philipma1957 on January 10, 2016, 06:45:56 PM

today tons and tons of blocks made 173 with about 20 minutes left

Yeah today ended up being +17% for the day. But I don't think we will exceed +10% this diff period with only 2 days left.

Need some help with the maths here?

I think we made 175 Blocks Yesterday (392557-392731)
175-144 = 31 additional blocks.

Now I would have expressed the 31 as a % increase over 144? 31/144 = 21.5%

However I guess this is 31/175 = 17.7%

I assume the 17.7% is correct, but why is that?

Rich

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

https://blockchain.info/pools?timespan=24hrs better weather for bitfury?

Estimated Next Difficulty:    112,226,515,725 (+8.03%)
Adjust time:    After 332 Blocks, About 2.1 days
Hashrate(?):    849,079,555 GH/s

still ok atm

adaseb

legendary

Activity: 3808

Merit: 1723

Quote from: philipma1957 on January 10, 2016, 06:45:56 PM

today tons and tons of blocks made 173 with about 20 minutes left

Yeah today ended up being +17% for the day. But I don't think we will exceed +10% this diff period with only 2 days left.

mavericklm

hero member

Activity: 742

Merit: 500

Estimated Next Difficulty:    112,257,438,625 (+8.06%)
Adjust time:    After 382 Blocks, About 2.4 days
Hashrate(?):    858,994,965 GH/s

Hopping a single digit modification of the difficulty

Still 2 days and half and tomorrow is monday...

philipma1957

legendary

Activity: 4256

Merit: 8551

'The right to privacy matters'

today tons and tons of blocks made 173 with about 20 minutes left

notlist3d

legendary

Activity: 1456

Merit: 1000

Quote from: Mikestang on January 10, 2016, 02:59:47 AM

Quote from: fr4nkthetank on January 09, 2016, 01:52:13 PM

We can only hope the chinese gov thugs shut down f2pool and antpool and bitmaintech for not paying proper taxes huehuehue. now that would be fun times.

Putting on my speculation hat - That would be a loss of most of the network, and given the maximum difficulty adjustments allowed each period by the code it could take a while for difficulty to drop to a point where blocks were found ~10 minutes again. Not that I would be complaining...

Were talking about HUGE pools making a lot in profits. I don't see them being shutdown I just don't see that. I would guess Chinese government if anything would want to tax it.

But these pools have such huge backing they could easily shift countries it's based in. For all we know they have a hot site in some other country ready to switch on. And if they don't I'm guessing they could get up in another country pretty quick with resources they have.

Topic: Dec 31 to Jan 12 Diff thread picks closed. - page 2. (Read 7473 times)