Topic: Dec 31 to Jan 12 Diff thread picks closed. - page 5. (Read 7515 times)
+4.4% = philipma1957
+4.5% = lolxxxx
+4.7% = radiumsoup
+5.0% = adaseb
+5.1% = jakals
+5.5% = Quickseller
+5.7% = Kilo17
+6.5% = Amph
+6.6% = indiemax
+6.9% = torepia
+7.1% = alh >>>>>>>>>>>> not your first pick of 7.4 that was taken
+7.2% =Tmdz
+7.3% = ingiltere
+7.4% = flikflak
+7.5% = Mikestang
+7.6% = ailikun
+7.7 % = Valkir
+7.8% = zebedee
+7.9% = HerbPean
+8.0% = dukeneptun
+8.1% = edonkey
+8.2% = tennozer
+8.3% = Notlist3d
+8.4% = needmoney
+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.9% = blindminer
+9.0% = gangnam2016
+9.5% = gkv9
+10.2% = Chris_Sabian
+10.4% = VirosaGITS
+10.8% = d57heinz
No new accounts
The contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier.
You must have 30 posts or more.
http://bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 392182
Total BTC 15.055M
Difficulty 103880340815
Estimated 108263969307 in 938 blks
Network total 656414.349 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 5.30 / 680 s
+7.2=Tmdz
OK, I aam in.....
+7.4% = alh
Personally I don't think the wild swings are for nefarious purposes, but just digesting all the new hash being turned by Bitmain (sales & internal), BitFury (internal), and Avalon (
?).
+7.4% = alh
Personally I don't think the wild swings are for nefarious purposes, but just digesting all the new hash being turned by Bitmain (sales & internal), BitFury (internal), and Avalon (
?). Phil's theory that its the Russian's plant overheating is a pretty good one. Either way, it doesnt do much nefariousness. Overall it just mean the diff will raise slower.
OK, I aam in.....
+7.4% = alh
Personally I don't think the wild swings are for nefarious purposes, but just digesting all the new hash being turned by Bitmain (sales & internal), BitFury (internal), and Avalon (?).
+7.4% = alh
Personally I don't think the wild swings are for nefarious purposes, but just digesting all the new hash being turned by Bitmain (sales & internal), BitFury (internal), and Avalon (
?). 
Wow this forecasting is hard... Went to bed in the UK with 1 3/4 Hours to go on the Day. If the Blocks had come in at 10 Min Intervals that would have made a 148 Block +2.7% Day.
But.. it's as if someone threw a switch, only 3 Blocks were found in the last 1 3/4 Hours giving a 142 Block -2.13% Day. Just shows the 1 Day is a very short time in Luck / Variance terms.
Rich
But.. it's as if someone threw a switch, only 3 Blocks were found in the last 1 3/4 Hours giving a 142 Block -2.13% Day. Just shows the 1 Day is a very short time in Luck / Variance terms.
Rich
well that method i used to predict diff worked really well seemingly up until i exposed what i was doing here and let them in on how i was watching them play with our money. Its no doubt a huge farm turning on and off.. 600 peta swings over a days time isnt variance completely. its a huge farm coming on coupled with a streak of luck from the large pools.. Makes it look larger than it really is.. But i still think we have time to hit 1 exahash by months end. Once the network levels off for a month or so check out the swings in variance on this chart.. they are usually less than 10 % swings. you can see it clearly when it settled down a couple days ago.. went up and down no more than 50 ph between 1-1-2016 and 1-3-2016 then you can see the switch was thrown around the 4th and back to craziness
+8.4% = needmoney
Please
Please
+9% = gangnam2016
Wow this forecasting is hard... Went to bed in the UK with 1 3/4 Hours to go on the Day. If the Blocks had come in at 10 Min Intervals that would have made a 148 Block +2.7% Day.
But.. it's as if someone threw a switch, only 3 Blocks were found in the last 1 3/4 Hours giving a 142 Block -2.13% Day. Just shows the 1 Day is a very short time in Luck / Variance terms.
Rich
But.. it's as if someone threw a switch, only 3 Blocks were found in the last 1 3/4 Hours giving a 142 Block -2.13% Day. Just shows the 1 Day is a very short time in Luck / Variance terms.
Rich
+5.7
If it isn't to late
If it isn't to late
+4.5% = lolxxxx
+4.7% = radiumsoup
+5.0% = adaseb
+5.1% = jakals
+5.5% = Quickseller
+6.5% = Amph
+6.6% = indiemax
+6.9% = torepia
+7.3% = ingiltere
+7.4% = flikflak
+7.5% = Mikestang
+7.6% = ailikun
+7.7 % = Valkir
+7.8% = zebedee
+7.9% = HerbPean
+8.0% = dukeneptun
+8.1% = edonkey
+8.2% = tennozer
+8.3% = Notlist3d
+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.9% = blindminer
+9.5% = gkv9
+10.2% = Chris_Sabian
+10.4% = VirosaGITS
+10.8% = d57heinz
No new accounts
The contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier.
You must have 30 posts or more.
http://bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 392083
Total BTC 15.052M
Difficulty 103880340815
Estimated 109226236186 in 1037 blks >>>> (+5,14%)
Network total 921395.481 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 7.43 / 484 s
So far under 5.25%
Now it is going to be pretty warm in Tbilisi, Georgia
The sun will rise soon.
Temps are 39.4 f and blocks should slow over the next 9-10 hours. lets see what happens
+8.3 = Notlist3d
Thanks
Thanks
+7.9% = HerbPean
Thanks
Thanks
Its nice to see it take over 2 hours to solve 6 blocks.
+%5.1 = jakals.
this is my prediction.waiting the result
this is my prediction.waiting the result
Some data relating to bitfurys heat issues (time is UTC not local)
Date Blocks mined Temps °F hi/lo
Jan. 03 20 unknown
Jan. 04 33 33.3/-20.4
Jan. 05 23 37/31
Jan. 06 13 49/33
This is not enough data yet, but there seems to be a correlation.
Date Blocks mined Temps °F hi/lo
Jan. 03 20 unknown
Jan. 04 33 33.3/-20.4
Jan. 05 23 37/31
Jan. 06 13 49/33
This is not enough data yet, but there seems to be a correlation.
Yes we are under -2.9% for yesterday. Looks like its highly unlikely we will see a double digit difficulty increase with only 7 days left.
+4.5% = lolxxxx
+4.7% = radiumsoup
+5.0% = adaseb
+5.5% = Quickseller
+6.5% = Amph
+6.6% = indiemax
+6.9% = torepia
+7.3% = ingiltere
+7.4% = flikflak
+7.5% = Mikestang
+7.6% = ailikun
+7.7 % = Valkir
+7.8% = zebedee
+8.0% = dukeneptun
+8.1% = edonkey
+8.2% = tennozer
+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.9% = blindminer
+9.5% = gkv9
+10.2% = Chris_Sabian
+10.4% = VirosaGITS
+10.8% = d57heinz
No new accounts
The contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier.
You must have 30 posts or more.
http://bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 392083
Total BTC 15.052M
Difficulty 103880340815
Estimated 108825370073 in 1037 blks >>>> (+4.75%)
Network total 882568.294 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 7.12 / 506 s
So far under 5%
+8.0% = dukeneptun
Trying my luck, even though I suck at guessing Bitcoin price and other Bitcoin related predictions.
Trying my luck, even though I suck at guessing Bitcoin price and other Bitcoin related predictions.
+4.5% = lolxxxx
+4.7% = radiumsoup
+5.0% = adaseb
+5.5% = Quickseller
+6.5% = Amph
+6.6% = indiemax
+6.9% = torepia
+7.3% = ingiltere
+7.4% = flikflak
+7.5% = Mikestang
+7.6% = ailikun
+7.7 % = Valkir
+7.8% = zebedee
+8.1% = edonkey
+8.2% = tennozer
+8.5% = vapourminer
+8.9% = blindminer
+9.5% = gkv9
+10.2% = Chris_Sabian
+10.4% = VirosaGITS
+10.8% = d57heinz
No new accounts
The contest is free. You must have Signed up your account Oct 31st 2015 or earlier.
You must have 30 posts or more.
http://bitcoincharts.com/
Blocks 392083
Total BTC 15.052M
Difficulty 103880340815
Estimated 108825370073 in 1037 blks >>>> (+4.75%)
Network total 882568.294 Thash/s
Blocks/hour 7.12 / 506 s
So far under 5%
Phil, have you determined if there is a correlation with the weather and the hash rate/solved blocks, or is it still speculation?
Sun went down and hash went up. so I have to think part of the shifts are due to heat issues with the bifury plantJump to: