These charts are self explanatory
*Pics*
Don't bother man, people here won't listen to anything that goes against their "to the moon" delusions when prices are going up short term.
They will just shut down their brain and the only things they see is dollar signs (pay attention, dollar signs, not the
BTC symbol
) rolling in.
They would have ignored any long term bearish argument (and some of them probably did) during the bulltraps you posted too.
My take on BTC is that for over a year it has stopped being "investment material" and has simply become "(margin) trading material".
The volatility is pretty big and the liquidity is good enough (you can still move millions around, to anyone saying that it's "thin"... "thin" compared to what?). Sure penny stocks are volatile too but there is no such liquidity that makes it worth it.
Traders can make very nice trades with bitcoin. That being said, it't not "investment material" anymore. The times of 10X-50X-100X or more ROI on your whole investment are long gone, there simply doesn't seem to be the demand required for the moon scenario the permabulls still dream about while remembering the good ol' days when bitcoin "had potential" and was in its novelty-early phase when such returns were a possibility (and that's one of the reasons I bought it at the time)
Considering current fundamentals, anything more than $10 billion marketcap (BTC around $1000) is probably an unsustainable ceiling and for all we know, if it wasn't for willy and markus mtgox bots and china we wouldn't even have reached those levels in the first place.
People pointing out that the 2011 mtgox chart looks just like a bubble bursting but the price went into bubbles after that as a reason to say "you see? we have already been there, history will just repeat itself!" are just failed attempts at being clever.
I mean I posted the 2011-2014 chart comparison few months back too (
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/this-btc-bear-market-is-very-similar-to-the-2011-btc-bear-market-866686), but just for the sake of TA and to look out for similar or different turn of events, never used it as an argument that BTC is bound to go in bear market-bubble cycles until it reaches 1 quadrillion...
That is just silly.
Prices in 2011 were more than 100 times less what they are now, liquidity was ridiculously lower and the whole landscape was completely different.
I'm not sure the world needs a bitcoin or a cryptocurrency, and if it does, it doesn't need an overpriced and overhyped one.
Sure with the blockchain or similar tech you can do plenty of fancy stuff, but such an outdated (at least today) and limited technology will certainly be replaced by something a lot better (that either exists today or will exist eventually).
Take bitcoin for what it is, "trading material" and not "investment material" anymore.
Personally I'm kinda getting tired of all the cultists around, and aside from some pure traders or posters here like Stolfi who are actually trying to be objective of what they have in front of their eyes and post actual insightful stuff, a lot of the rest is just "to the moon" delusional blind greedy kids I just can't read anymore...