My impression of DeVCoin prices was that they seemed to go in cycles.
Dumpers dump the prices down below 100, sometimes far below 100, allowing buyers to buy up lots and lots dirt cheap.
The dumpers seemed to eventually run out of steam, and buyers would start to arrive, maybe having heard they can buy them cheap.
it is possible that it is not sheer impatience that keeps both buyers and sellers from placing an offer and waiting days or even weeks for it to be taken, it might partly be all the scare stories saying never leave money on an exchange. Whatever the reason, the big buyers and dumpers seem to just place their order almost blindly, just hey sell so many I don't care about the price I am a dumper and I need out of here in five minutes anyway so am not about to quibble about the price, or hey I heard cryptocoins might be going up so just give me however many i can buy for this amount of money.
The price goes up over 200, sometimes even over 300. VladVlad even seemed to have claimed to have bought for over 400, but maybe he wasn't talking about satoshis, maybe he was talking DVC/USD not DVC/BTC.
So the people who bought coins dirt cheap get to sell a bunch of them for double or more than double what they paid for them.
The price is high, word gets around, dumpers start checking whether they happen to have more coins to dump, maybe from merged mining or from shares.
The price gets dumped down to 100 or so or less, maybe significantly less, and the investors stock up on dirt cheap coins again.
There was one single day a month or more ago when I sold 100 million devcoins, bought them all back later the same day, took 100 bitcoins home and still had both devcoins and bitcoins on the exchange continuing to do market-making.
Right now they are dirt cheap again so much so that I am low on bitcoins to buy them with, but that is okay because every possible price from one satoshi all the way up to whatever price the dumpers have dumped it down to has offers of mine sitting there waiting for them.
I would like to pile more bitcoin there though so I can have many more offering to buy at one satoshi than at two, which in turn has more waiting to buy than I have sitting at three and so on.
I don't bother to drive the price up much by constantly offering more than whoever momentarily offers more than me because on the sell side I am selling only ten or so satoshis higher then the current high buy, so the farther I lag below the high buy the more spread I have between my own highest buy offer and my own lowest sell offer.
i have sell offers too at every possible price from whatever my lowest price in satoshis is all the way up some distance abot 300 satoshis. i'd like to stockpile more devcoins up in those higher numbers but can't as much as I'd like because i have to keep making actual sales in order to replenish my bitcoins to buy with.
But it has regularly happened that I look one day and find someone bought the price back up over 200, whereupon my having offers all the way up pays off nicely.
Really the market is still horribly thin. If you want to buy a hundred million devcoins you'll find the price is pretty high. If you want to sell 100 million other than the way i did (waiting for someone to pay top dollar for them) you'd clean out all my buy offers because i don't have them bunched up down at 5, 4, 3, 2 and 1 satoshi yet to pick me up thirty to fifty million or more at a satoshi each...
Is there some actual reason for all this FUDdy expectiona/alarmism that seems to think these regular cycles are not still happing, with right now being just another of the regular recurring buying opportunities inbetween the regularly recurring chances to sell for 200+ satoshis per devcoin?
-MarkM-
Hmmm interesting, I started watching daily when it hit 600 and got sold, that was probably you dumping lol, it hit like 100 the next day, i bought about 20 million there. Right now the market is horribly pushed to one side which should represent opportunity to a bigger buyer as the orderbook is skewed. As the sell order's pile up and price drops there is more incentive fora bigger buyer because they can accumulate with a cheaper average price, we all know if they stick in a 100 btc order in the book that it will never hit as bots will front run it all day. The only thing that will drive price higher is to pay at or above market, limit order's only add volume to selloff/buying sprees but will not change the market outlook in most cases.
I see you layer your offers and bids, so that when a cycle retracts you will profit, that is a traditional grid based strategy that may work if you "predict" the next market cycle, but looking at the chart our cycles are being pushed higher and higher which is telling me that is the direction of the market regardless of cycles, so at any point in time you may have price take off in the general direction without a retrace ie: btc above $5 and going to $7 instead of $2 like ppl were hoping. In that case you would lose your profit potential and your risk:reward calculation becomes irrelevant because psychologically you would not buy into a top or so it would seem to be a top.
If the cycle keeps working, hey great, but you may gain some btc here and there, nothing compared to if you get the general direction right at the time when you predict that the cycle is repeating but it doesn't, that is where the biggest/only relevant gains are to be had.
That is the common mistake in calculating expectancy from a trading result in that it does not factor in trading costs, position sizing, and most importantly and relevant here historical vs future results.