Post edited! Due to the reorganization of the topic this post has been edited. The original content of this post was just an announcement for new content.
October 17, 2021
WORST WEEKThis last week was the worst week ever, where everything went negative. At NiceHash, every 4h, payment is made if the accumulated amount exceeds 0.00001 BTC, and during that week, I received all payments every 8h (except for two or three occasions). In other words, I couldn't accumulate enough to receive every 4 hours. Afterwards, I still had a period of 3-4 hours without undermining, because my router blocked and I ran out of internet, something that had never happened to me. So, in a week I was having a low profitability, to gather a good number of hours without undermining, it was really a bad week. Of course I couldn't expect that everything would always go well. But down the stretch, things are getting tougher.
Since the average MH/s has remained the same, I started to ask myself why this drop in profitability. As explained in the NiceHash tutorials, this is due to the devaluation of the hash in the marketplace. Even so, I find it strange, at a time when Bitcoin is increasing in value, that there is such a devaluation. So I did an analysis of the numbers, since I started mining. I focused on the amount earned daily, which much of that period occurred with the Bitcoin value going down. And based on this analysis, I think there is a relationship between Bitcoin appreciation and NiceHash payments. He left here an analysis that I did, for your consideration:
I have 191 days of mining.
In just 37 days I received €3.5 or more, and all took place between April and May, with the exception of one day in August.
On the other days, I received an average of 2.74€.
This month, my daily average is 2.67€.
Note: These values are based on the corresponding Bitcoin value for each day.
In short, on average I receive practically the same amount in Euros since I started. In other words, there is no devaluation of the hash value, there is an increase in Bitcoin, which makes NiceHash adapt the value paid in BTC. As I'm counting the amount received in BTC and not in Euros, you get the idea that I'm receiving less. I'm actually getting less Bitcoin, but I continued to get the same in Euros. Of course this is just an analysis of my data, without any concrete evidence, not my opinion.
So, if I look at the amount in Euros received, I can say that I have already recovered the money, BUT what I want is to recover the Bitcoins spent, and in that sense I still need another month to get it. Therefore, this week I received an average of 0.00005544 BTC/24h, despite the internet failures, being 88% of the goal achieved.
Here's the graph from the hard week:
You can also consult the file with all the numbers (which already contains the most recent numbers)
here.
October 31, 2021
TWO WEEKS, DIFFERENT PROFITSTwo weeks ago I had the worst week in terms of BTC profitability. Despite continuing to receive the same average value in Euros, the value in BTC was the lowest, as a result of the increase in Bitcoin value. But over these two weeks, the value of Bitcoin stopped rising significantly and became slightly more stable. This gradually increased the profitability of BTC slightly.
Thus, in the week after the worst, profitability was practically the same, with a daily average of 0.00005679 BTC/24h (in the worst week it was 0.00005544 BTC/24h). Here's the graph for this week:
But for the last two days of that week, he had felt some change, leaving him with the feeling that the following week would be better. And this is what happened. Profitability increased slightly, enough that practically every 4 hours it was able to receive payment, making the average to be 0.00006151 BTC/24h.
How are the accounts for the goal after these two weeks? Despite the month of October being the month in which I received less BTC (it was almost the same as in April - first month and incomplete), I have already managed to reach 93% of the proposed amount. If I keep this pace low, I expect to reach my goal within 15 to 20 days. I remind you that I am not accounting for the expense I have with electricity, I am assuming that investment expense.
You can also consult the file with all the numbers (which already contains the most recent numbers)
here.
TO BE CONTINUEDNovember 07, 2021 - LITTLE LESS