This would be understandable if I saw multiple people rolling on their site for this but every time I’m on there I literally only see one user (4938518) betting.
There are definitely others. Right now user "636296" is going for the jackpot. Obviously you still have to risk a decent amount of money, so it's not like there are
that many going for it.
Furthermore, the “player” 4938519 seems to have hit the jackpot yesterday but they’re still betting the exact same way...it’s all too strange that the only player betting like that wins the jackpot and continues to do so.
Somehow the jackpot got reset to ~5.6 BTC after the JP win. I am not sure what rules they have for that. However, with the 12 required sevens, it's still EV+ right now.
(Note they can change the required sevens to 13, it is unclear when they do this.)
looks like they actually have 2 bots running, 4938518 and 4938519. What are the chances that users that close together are both wagering the same way?
Chances are very high that this is indeed the same user running a bot on 2 accounts to increase their odds (assuming that there is an account-bet-limit.) I am not sure if that's allowed per nitrogen TOS, but that would be his problem lol. If Nitrogen wanted to fake players, it seems like getting 2 more random IDs would be pretty easy.
To be clear: of course Nitrogen (or any dice site) could fake players
And I do appreciate you reporting this, I definitely take it serious and in the past I have analyzed many bets on other sites very carefully. I was planning to do the same before I saw the jackpot. But overall, I really don't think it's far-fetched to imagine people are taking a EV+ opportunity.
Personally I didn't try to go for the JP, because there is still some risk you don't win it and with the required 13 times you would still have to risk a decent sum. That being said, I even got a PM from someone after my first reply to ask some details. And he actually did give it a try with the autobet option (unfortunately he didn't win the JP though.) While it might be only 3-10 players going for it (from time to time), constantly betting 0.001 definitely increases their total wager. If someone hits the JP again and when it's not EV+ anymore, I certainly expect the wager to be lower again.